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39 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office regional forecast makes for interesting reading.

7739B0C0-A0F4-4EE6-9149-CA76FB2CC2BF.jpeg

With tuesday event only a day or so away met office beeb and the lot of them still dont know what will happen with any certainty..some models show the low not even reaching far north as the midlands??

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Ok, I have to reply to this because it's misleading the entire thread, iv studied radars and the weather all my life, the low pressure that formed along the south side of the main low is pushing east,

Nathan "not a weatherman" Rao of the Express says "Army on Standby as heaviest SNOWFALL hits in next 24 hours" What a bellend!    

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1 minute ago, shezale said:

With tuesday event only a day or so away met office beeb and the lot of them still dont know what will happen with any certainty..some models show the low not even reaching far north as the midlands??

Indeed. However, there will be a trailing weather front that brings sleet and snow east across the UK, to the north of the main area of precipitation. Even if the low itself doesn’t affect us, some snow is likely.

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1 hour ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office regional forecast makes for interesting reading.

7739B0C0-A0F4-4EE6-9149-CA76FB2CC2BF.jpeg

Any human generated forecast is going to be a lot more closer to reality than a weather app model output based thing, so looks good for West Midlands ? 

Really will be more nowcasting from Tuesday onwards, possible fun week ahead?

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Between 21:00 Tue 29th and 12:00 Wed 30th

Snow, possibly heavy at times, developing overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday.

What to expect

  • There is a small chance of travel delays on roads with some stranded vehicles and passengers, along with delayed or cancelled rail and air travel
  • There is a slight chance that some rural communities could become cut off
  • There is a small chance that power cuts will occur and other services, such as mobile phone coverage, may be affected

Regions and local authorities affected:

  • Derby
  • Derbyshire
  • Leicester
  • Leicestershire
  • Lincolnshire
  • Northamptonshire
  • Nottingham
  • Nottinghamshire
  • Rutland
  • Staffordshire
  • Warwickshire
  • West Midlands Conurbation
  • Worcestershire

Further details

A band of rain pushing east across parts of England is likely to turn to snow during Tuesday evening, with snow continuing into Wednesday. Accumulations of 1-3 cm are likely quite widely, with accumulations of 5 cm in places. There is a small chance that some areas could see up to 10 cm, more especially over the higher ground.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2019-01-29

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West of region looks like missing out. Models showing it turning to snow just a few miles to my south and east.

Oh well. At least this time I know in advance that I’m likely to miss out.

Onto Thursday instead 

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3 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

West of region looks like missing out. Models showing it turning to snow just a few miles to my south and east.

Oh well. At least this time I know in advance that I’m likely to miss out.

Onto Thursday instead 

At the moment anywhere east and south of birmingham in does look like the sweet spot but one run can totally change that i remember march last year here in coventry we had nearly 8cms of snow and not a met o warning in sight

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3 minutes ago, shezale said:

At the moment anywhere east and south of birmingham in does look like the sweet spot but one run can totally change that i remember march last year here in coventry we had nearly 8cms of snow and not a met o warning in sight

Yes. My point exactly. I am East of but I suspect too far north of Brum. As I say, I will not get excited til I see it. Had enough false starts already, this winter hahaha

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The warning area is going to be adjusted as we get closer. 

A good time to remind ourselves that a warning is not a forecast. 

Very windy today. Seems like a long time since I last heard the wind battering the windows with all the high pressure that's been hanging around recently.

 

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We are still too far out to nail anything down on this scenario, that channel low could do anything as its still in the Atlantic currently.

South and Eastern parts of the midlands should see disruptive snow, northern and western area's is still a big question mark over what the top of the system brings.

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I'm just inside the warning area, and the MetO not-a-forecast has been consistently showing snow here Tues/Weds since last night.  But at the moment the idea of snow on the ground come Weds morning is something I consider only a possibility, with the Cotswolds at greater risk.   We may yet even see nothing at all!

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Just not at all confident for snow here. The cold air doesn’t look like cutting in quickly enough up here.

Had that system been further south, there would be a greater risk of snow showers here. Instead, it cuts them off.

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Keeping an open mind on this 1, but Tuesday has trended poorly for anyone north or west of Birmingham. Back edge wet snow that leaves puddles is nothing to be excited about.

On to Thursday I think. 

We just can’t get things to fall our way this year.

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6 hours ago, shezale said:

Coventry right in the middle of the warning for once!! 

Screenshot_20190127-101212_Twitter.jpg

Looks on the edge to me there ?

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