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Midlands Regional Discussion

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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

euro4 picking up a signal for a cheshire gap streamer? i would suggest it is..

Yep, as the GFS has done for days. I normally go by the GFS for streamers/showers from a few days out. Even though it’s accumulation charts are rubbish. Then the Euro4 at close range. 

People saying ‘hills/high ground only’. Can’t tell you the number of times I’ve heard that in this setup only for Stoke to get clobbered.

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18 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Yep, as the GFS has done for days. I normally go by the GFS for streamers/showers from a few days out. Even though it’s accumulation charts are rubbish. Then the Euro4 at close range. 

People saying ‘hills/high ground only’. Can’t tell you the number of times I’ve heard that in this setup only for Stoke to get clobbered.

Yup midlands looks good from tomorrow till wednesday morning!!infact theres a streamer set up straight into the midlands on the euro4 for wednesday morning!

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37 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Tomorrow is now into the range of the Euro4 model. Looks good for some of us.

1945EC10-6BF7-47D8-BE7C-AA33803499A6.jpeg

That has Chesire gap written all over it I would expect the ppn to correct further west as we have seen before. Stoke looks good for a few cms but anywhere in the Midlands or Wales could get a few cms locally. The flow also looks really unstable.

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Just now, shaky said:

Yup midlands looks good from tomorrow till wednesday morning!!infact theres a streamer set up straight into the midlands on the euro4 for wednesday morning!

BBC had snow showers here well into Wednesday.

Pretty confident but things can still go wrong!

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1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

BBC had snow showers here well into Wednesday.

Pretty confident but things can still go wrong!

Stoke looks good mate. I predict between 3 to 5 cm. Rest of the Midlands especially the west between 1 to 3cm. Could be some suprises.

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There will also be troughs crossing the country Tuesday afternoon, that could increase the showers more widely for a time.

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Yes it's looking good tonight into tomo, I will prob stop up late tonight to see how it arrives here..Would not surprise me if Meto out a yellow warning.

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Many models have this little feature passing through the Midlands tomorrow afternoon. Most likely a a trough with an enhanced area of shower activity. 

image.thumb.png.39eb10c6aa089a1f8356755329cd6682.pngimage.thumb.png.53cdac4cfb8e87d4209167c96fce81c6.png

image.thumb.png.889878d96bccd7a008e482dd4c41edfe.pngimage.thumb.png.7e5864423b4223c41ec4c45273f7738c.png

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29 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:

Ermm any houses for sale in Buxton.

123463007_Screenshot_20190121-080722_MetOffice.thumb.jpg.69da0d6de0e0ecfc14fdd047e7b73605.jpg

Sent this to the wife earlier

76611B72-F1E9-495E-B871-EDB36354FF6E.thumb.jpeg.acfacb0497064fe34d1640f049f63485.jpeg

 

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13 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Sent this to the wife earlier

76611B72-F1E9-495E-B871-EDB36354FF6E.thumb.jpeg.acfacb0497064fe34d1640f049f63485.jpeg

 

Haha. Yh been giving hints to the hubbie also lol. They seem to be the UK snow zone. What did your wife say lol.

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Im sure most will see a flurry of snow at some point over the next 48 hours   Cold North Westerlies usually delever around here.  lets hope for a few upgrades.

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1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:

Sent this to the wife earlier

76611B72-F1E9-495E-B871-EDB36354FF6E.thumb.jpeg.acfacb0497064fe34d1640f049f63485.jpeg

 

Plenty of small villages/Hamlets round here with pub B&B which do much better than Buxton due to alt and colder temps, Agree it's the highest town, Take a look at Flash for instance.. No idea if the Cat Fiddle has a new landlord yet as they do B&B.

Edited by Polar Maritime

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You can certainly see from the 6z Hirlam a streamer setting in.  how much that will produce is very difficult to predict.

 

image.thumb.png.e203f7b9278932d5e70cfad3be5bd1a9.png

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1 minute ago, weirpig said:

You can certainly see from the 6z Hirlam a streamer setting in.  how much that will produce is very difficult to predict.

 

image.thumb.png.e203f7b9278932d5e70cfad3be5bd1a9.png

The BBC video forcast certainly shows it in full force on there website, Continuing all day Wednesday to..

Edited by Polar Maritime

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7 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

The BBC video forcast certainly shows it in full force on there website, Continuing all day Wednesday to..

Yes the Hirlam also has showers continuing from that area through till wed  something to watch

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1 minute ago, weirpig said:

Yes the Hirlam also has showers continuing from that area through till wed  something to watch

Yellow warnings out now for snow and ice. I do think the details will change somewhat and be updated nearer the time..

A band of rain and hill snow will move southeastwards across the UK during Monday evening and overnight. A brief spell of wet snow is possible on high ground of southern Scotland, northern England and north Wales, with some small accumulations possible. Behind this surface temperatures will rapidly fall away with some ice forming on some surfaces. Once the rain has cleared, some hail, sleet and snow showers will follow from the northwest, with 1-3 cm above 200 metres and some small accumulations expected at lower levels.

Edited by Polar Maritime
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16 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

Plenty of small villages/Hamlets round here with pub B&B which do much better than Buxton due to alt and colder temps, Agree it's the highest town, Take a look at Flash for instance.. No idea if the Cat Fiddle has a new landlord yet as they do B&B.

Got stranded in Flash one time on my hunt for fluffy white flakes lol. That streamer is getting real beefy now. We have a window of Tuesday afternoon to Friday afternoon.

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8 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Yes the Hirlam also has showers continuing from that area through till wed  something to watch

It's looking good Wierpig. Ironic as the Easterly has gone down the pan now. But in all honesty North Westerlies are better for our neck of the woods by far. Rare an Easterly delivers

Edited by snowangel32
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Just now, snowangel32 said:

It's looking good Wierpig. Ironic as the Easterly has gone down the pan now. But in all honestly North Westerlies are better for neck of the woods by far. Rare an Easterly delivers

You are correct  North westerlies  can be brilliant if somewhat marginal    but for snow they do seem deliver more so than a easterly   fingers crossed

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Just now, snowangel32 said:

Got stranded in Flash one time on my hunt for fluffy white flakes lol. That streamer is getting real beefy now. We have a window of Tuesday afternoon to Friday afternoon.

Yes Flash is not to far from me and have worked there numerous times on Farms, Some odd folk though.. As you say we could have snow showers Tue/Wed/Thu. Radar watching at the ready!

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Just now, weirpig said:

You are correct  North westerlies  can be brilliant if somewhat marginal    but for snow they do seem deliver more so than a easterly   fingers crossed

Yes during recent Easterlys all the snow just blows away and fills the lanes here. I have always favoured a PM flow.

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6z euro 4

image.thumb.png.864a1e5e0c780106629c98db26f5dbfb.png

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13 minutes ago, weirpig said:

6z euro 4

image.thumb.png.864a1e5e0c780106629c98db26f5dbfb.png

Perfect 2-5cms across midlands and 10-20cms for the northwest!

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