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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards


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Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    This is a convection composite as of 12:15am:

    2018-07-27.thumb.png.2da1965b6f4ae70d6d04fdcb2de59a0f.png

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    Hail from the storm in York. Wouldn't want that falling on your head!

    It was worth all the effort ?

    Explosive convection to my west in Norwich. I can see it growing, its immense! Not seen anything like it before except on Storm Chasers on the TV

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    Posted
  • Location: Earley, Reading
  • Location: Earley, Reading

    The humidity seems to have increased here, looking at lots of "active" radar, one has rain directly overhead, but nothing fell, expanded rapidly as much south of reading as north of it but flew overhead, maybe will deliver something once it goes further north.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    1 minute ago, Robert Lewis said:

    Done!

    Thanks Rob

    it helps as to where there is any action if any at all.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
    1 minute ago, Robert Lewis said:

    The humidity seems to have increased here, looking at lots of "active" radar, one has rain directly overhead, but nothing fell, expanded rapidly as much south of reading as north of it but flew overhead, maybe will deliver something once it goes further north.

    Elevated perhaps?

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    Posted
  • Location: Earley, Reading
  • Location: Earley, Reading
    4 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

    Elevated perhaps?

    I can only presume so

    Seems like the ingredients were in the mix but no ignition, i imagine it's all moved somewhere east of Oxford now.

    Edited by Robert Lewis
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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

    Another small cell has popped up West of Chelmsford, question is if it'll die down like the Reading cell or pick up into something worth watching

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    Cell fired up ENE of the capital?

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    Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate

    Brentwood. But all the cells are short-period jobs. They go up, drop a bit of rain and collapse. Is this it? Or will it build more generally?

    Edited by StormLoser
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    Posted
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
    4 minutes ago, StormLoser said:

    Brentwood. But all the cells are short-period jobs. They go up, drop a bit of rain and collapse. Is this it? Or will it build more generally?

    I would suggest to keep an eye on the rader to the west of London as an area of thunderstorms or thundery rain is likely to develop and push north northeast in roughly this area probably between 3 and 4 it’s not a certainty but that’s what I can see happening. ?2C221AB8-5836-4D8A-BD12-817F38F2777C.thumb.jpeg.6f23c955e8e0d99d73b0bccc95ca8062.jpeg

    Edited by jordan smith
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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District

    Just need a cell with some good shear and outflow to destabilize the trough, like a line of dominoes once one goes the rest follows. 

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    Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
    1 minute ago, jordan smith said:

    I would suggest to keep an eye on the rader to the west of London as an area of thunderstorms or thundery rain is likely to develop and push north northeast in roughly this area probably between 3 and 4 it’s not a certainty but that’s what I can see happening. ?2C221AB8-5836-4D8A-BD12-817F38F2777C.thumb.jpeg.6f23c955e8e0d99d73b0bccc95ca8062.jpeg

    You could not move that easterly line a few miles further east, could you?  ?

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    2 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

    I would suggest to keep an eye on the rader to the west of London as an area of thunderstorms or thundery rain is likely to develop and push north northeast in roughly this area probably between 3 and 4 it’s not a certainty but that’s what I can see happening. ?2C221AB8-5836-4D8A-BD12-817F38F2777C.thumb.jpeg.6f23c955e8e0d99d73b0bccc95ca8062.jpeg

    So basically, you've looked at the Met Office future radar and then made it your own prediction?

    I seem to remember you putting up warning maps before, shortly after convectiveweather issue one, and it looks suspiciously copied. ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    South of isle of white anyone.

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    Posted
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
    2 minutes ago, StormLoser said:

    You could not move that easterly line a few miles further east, could you?  ?

    Yeah sure haha it’s just a risk and perhaps it will be further to the east closer to you just showing the most likely area currently ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
    1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

    So basically, you've looked at the Met Office future radar and then made it your own prediction?

    I seem to remember you putting up warning maps before, shortly after convectiveweather issue one, and it looks suspiciously copied. ?

    You’ve come to that conclusion based on a couple coincidences what I wrote there was my own prediction I didn’t send it for an argument so please don’t start something out of nothing without knowing. Lots of weather sites write similar predictions but does that mean they are copying each other no?

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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, Very Warm, Warm! Sunshine & TS
  • Location: Bournemouth

    Annoying just got woken up by lightning app with rogue strike - however there are Turkey towers almost overhead. Not sure where that dot on radar is Anaprop as looks a little randonly spread for a genuine return. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, Very Warm, Warm! Sunshine & TS
  • Location: Bournemouth

    The shower just off shore from Cherbourg looks like a genuine radar return. I might be 20miles too far west if the line of initiation is IOW to Cherbourg.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
    4 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

    South of isle of white anyone.

    Yup, steering motion just east of north, quite a robust cell as well, with another firing over the Cherbourg Penn......subtle forcing in play as the predicted shortwave starts to destabalize the mid-levels....pretty well modelled so far by the hi-res suite

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    1 minute ago, Alderc said:

    Annoying just got woken up by lightning app with rogue strike - however there are Turkey towers almost overhead. Not sure where that dot on radar is Anaprop as looks a little randonly spread for a genuine return. 

    I just took this, which is in the direction of what's on the radar.

    20180727_015821.thumb.jpg.69f9120b3bd3350cba733e37d05028a1.jpg

    I have my PTZ cam pointing at it and I haven't seen any flashes.

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