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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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jtay Veteran

jtay

Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
Posted
8 minutes ago, Tom dewey likes thunder said:

Wiltshire and Dorset and Somerset and Gloucestershire and other parts of the best country are not in the weather warning anymore and I looked at the rainfall map there's hardly any showers in the South West today is not much happening

You could well be right Tom, as the excitement looks to have shifted North today. At least that's what the Euro4 for 15z is suggesting.

image.thumb.png.3696c4fb72ccb5bbb18f5c83ba0a2f8d.png

Maybe a few showers in the west of our region.

I can't say that I'm that bothered, as the weekend approaches. I'd just like to see some sunshine.

 

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted (edited)

That lightning in Wales is getting quite close to me now, only 40 miles.  I take it that stuff is elevated though? 

Rather cloudy here now, 22.7°C. Do think I can hear distant booms every now and again but probably the docks. 

sun’s back out now; feeling juicy. 

Edited by Chris.R
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Frosty hollows Experienced

Frosty hollows

Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
Posted

We're not really in the firing line here today, yet it feels even more primed than yesterday.  Less blanket low cloud and lots of broken cloud.  Feeling a lot warmer and convection already underway. Wouldn't be surprised to see some thundery showers later

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Cambridgeshire Weather Contributor

Cambridgeshire Weather

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder snow is the best phenomenon
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
Posted
21 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

We're not really in the firing line here today, yet it feels even more primed than yesterday.  Less blanket low cloud and lots of broken cloud.  Feeling a lot warmer and convection already underway. Wouldn't be surprised to see some thundery showers later

Today just feels like its all going to go boom doesn't it ?

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Very sunny now and 23.8°C; Some 3° warmer than forecast by all models. 

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Darandio Apprentice

Darandio

Posted
  • Location: Redcar, Cleveland
  • Location: Redcar, Cleveland
Posted
15 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

These areas seem at highest risk but the Midlands may far well.

orca-image-1527853927182.jpg_1527853927400.jpeg

I don't really see anything happening on the Eastern side. Happy to be proved wrong given i'm in that area but I just don't see it.

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Mizzle Community Regular

Mizzle

Posted
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Fog, Frost, Storms and Rain if it rains like it means it.
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border
Posted
46 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

We're not really in the firing line here today, yet it feels even more primed than yesterday.  Less blanket low cloud and lots of broken cloud.  Feeling a lot warmer and convection already underway. Wouldn't be surprised to see some thundery showers later

Glad it's not my 'novice' status leading me awry and I'm not alone in thinking the signs seem to be about. North Hants not expecting anything today and yet it feels ripe. Warm and sunny blue skies, low level convection building all around with humidity 76% and DP 17.1. Feels much more like something could happen than previous few days.

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markw2680 Accomplished

markw2680

Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
Posted

Certainly feels a lot more likely to happen today than yesterday, more sun= more heat and much better looking sky compared to this time yesterday, time will tell of course

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Gray-Wolf Accomplished

Gray-Wolf

Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
Posted

Some rapid cloud growth over the Lancs/Yorks border with the NW oif Lancs looking like it could turn into ground zero over the coming hours?

High cloud between the lancs border and Leeds trending SE to the wash looks to be holding down convection that could impact my area?

Maybe later.

Back to the cloudscapes ( I'm sure I watch a very ropey funnel form and then fade in the cell now headed for Burnley/Blackburn?)

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
33 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

These areas seem at highest risk but the Midlands may far well.

orca-image-1527853927182.jpg_1527853927400.jpeg

Think you need to draw your blob a little more across the midlands and towards the south.

In fact just do what CW have done - draw it round the whole isle.

 i’m watching small small towers going up over west London as we speak

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

 Sun now blazing down; just about to hit 25°C. 

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Fiona Robertson Community Regular

Fiona Robertson

Posted
  • Location: Livingston (ish)
  • Location: Livingston (ish)
Posted

Would you believe it? It fell apart as it passed over me and is now reorganising north of me. Look at the rainfall radar animation and see what happened as it passes over the A71 just west of Livi.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 Sun now blazing down; just about to hit 25°C. 

Temperature seemed to be irrelevant yesterday. Sure I saw my van say it was 27° at one point and we still got nothing

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Jordan S Experienced

Jordan S

Posted
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
Posted
19 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Think you need to draw your blob a little more across the midlands and towards the south.

In fact just do what CW have done - draw it round the whole isle.

 i’m watching small small towers going up over west London as we speak

Yeah haha was suppose to draw a line over the midlands and central England 

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Cambridgeshire Weather Contributor

Cambridgeshire Weather

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder snow is the best phenomenon
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
Posted

Everywhere in the UK will have a possibility of thunderstorms. There's  cells popping up everywhere... However, where they develop they are going to be slow moving as the winds are low therefore some areas won't get any and some will receive a lot of rainfall in a short space of time. The west midlands and southern Scotland would see more generalised rain slowly dissipating in a south east direction..

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
6 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

These areas too, anything to the south and east of this area will see only isolated showers/thunderstorms.

749F037D-E73F-4045-BBAE-07F2C9D272F7.jpeg

I think just stating anywhere in the U.K. is enough for today. Ireland also has a good chance for some strong storms

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Jordan S Experienced

Jordan S

Posted
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
Posted
3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I think just stating anywhere in the U.K. is enough for today. Ireland also has a good chance for some strong storms

Yes I saw that definitely a good place but if we compare yesterday to today then the further north the better the chance places south of the m4 won’t see too much.

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Cambridgeshire Weather Contributor

Cambridgeshire Weather

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder snow is the best phenomenon
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
Posted

From the satellites I can see thunderstorms forming near Hereford, some in West London and across south west England. South Ireland too travelling northwards.

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Frosty hollows Experienced

Frosty hollows

Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
Posted
3 hours ago, Azazel said:

Just about anywhere could catch something today so my map looks a little like a mosaic, but my untrained eye is drawn to 3 areas I think could perhaps see something a little more intense.

weather010618.jpg

Good call on the SW activity. Plenty of beefy showers on the radar now

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