South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 21/05/2018 Onwards

[Dorsetbred]

Morning All, warmer this morning as we appear to be under a veil of cloud, currently 5.7 °C with RH 95%.

[jethro]

Came on here just to say, it really is a beautiful day

I know there's clouds, it's cool, it's grey

But for me, it is a beautiful day

You're strangers all, but kind of not

So I've got to share the news I've got

Right now in my baby's arms does lay

A bouncing boy, born this day

A brand new grandson, oh lucky me

Forgive me all for sharing my glee!

[CheesepuffScott]

A cloudy day, 16C max. Looks brighter and warmer tomorrow and Wednesday; and after that it looks quite stormy for Friday / Saturday if the models are right!

[Dorsetbred]

1 hour ago, CheesepuffScott said:

...; and after that it looks quite stormy for Friday / Saturday if the models are right!

Does look to be a tad more autumnal, than warmth of 24C 

[Dorsetbred]

Morning all, an overnight low of 8.0 °C starts the day as the sun rises in a cloudless sky. A bit different to yesterday’s gloom.

[Mapantz]

A low of 5.9°C this morning.

Currently blue skies at 18.6°C 

[matt111]

Much nicer than yesterday with blue skies and feeling pleasant. 17.4°C

[CheesepuffScott]

Not a bad day. Clear skies and up to 18C

[kumquat]

Curry tonight as it's an Indian Summer day.

[CheesepuffScott]

Cracking sunset!

[bellanite]

On 08/10/2018 at 13:23, jethro said:

Came on here just to say, it really is a beautiful day

I know there's clouds, it's cool, it's grey

But for me, it is a beautiful day

You're strangers all, but kind of not

So I've got to share the news I've got

Right now in my baby's arms does lay

A bouncing boy, born this day

A brand new grandson, oh lucky me

Forgive me all for sharing my glee!

Congratulations

[Andy Bown]

26 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Day 2 Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 10 Oct 2018 - 05:59 UTC Thu 11 Oct 2018

ISSUED 20:14 UTC Tue 09 Oct 2018

ISSUED BY: Dan

Upper low over northern Iberia (the remnants of the rainfall event over southern Britain last Saturday) will weaken and be absorbed into the forward side of the main upper trough approaching from the Atlantic. An increasingly moist airmass will advect from France across southern Britain during Wednesday evening and night, destabilising as subtle upper forcing engages with the moisture plume. 

 

Sporadic bursts of showery rain will likely develop over the English Channel and portions of England and Wales during Wednesday evening and overnight into Thursday morning. A few hundred J/kg CAPE accompanied with subtle forcing may allow some sporadic lightning to occur, moreso on the rear (western) side of any showery rain, but unlikely to be too widespread. 

 

Naturally there is some uncertainty as to where any lightning may occur - but two main areas of interest might be E Devon / Dorset / Somerset / Wiltshire into SE Wales during the night, then another area towards SE England / Home Counties by Thursday morning at the end of the forecast period. However, neither look convincing enough to warrant an upgrade at this stage.

 

http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2018-10-10

Interesting possibilities tomorrow night! I will be on the lookout for AltCas during the day.

Ian Fergusson mentioned the low chance of thundery activity on Points West.

[Mapantz]

34 minutes ago, Andy Bown said:

Interesting possibilities tomorrow night! I will be on the lookout for AltCas during the day.

Ian Fergusson mentioned the low chance of thundery activity on Points West.

It has been such a long and quiet period of weather that I haven't really looked properly at any charts for such a long time.

 

[Frosty hollows]

On 08/10/2018 at 13:23, jethro said:

Came on here just to say, it really is a beautiful day

I know there's clouds, it's cool, it's grey

But for me, it is a beautiful day

You're strangers all, but kind of not

So I've got to share the news I've got

Right now in my baby's arms does lay

A bouncing boy, born this day

A brand new grandson, oh lucky me

Forgive me all for sharing my glee!

Yay congratulations!

[MP-R]

I can bet that if it were summer now, tomorrow's trough would somehow miss giving us an electrical show lol. Could be some surprises though - it's been so long without thunder here!

[Dorsetbred]

Morning All, a misty start to the day currently 11.5 °C, RH 99%.

[Mapantz]

A low of 7°C. A very heavy dew this morning.

Currently sunny and 15.7°C.

[matt111]

Blue skies and feeling warm. 20.1°C

[jethro]

Any photography gurus in here? I really need some help.

[CheesepuffScott]

A clear and warm afternoon after a misty start. 21C, enjoying it while it lasts

[Leon1]

2 hours ago, jethro said:

Any photography gurus in here? I really need some help.

I wouldn't say I'm a guru but I own a good camera and I know how to take a good photo...

[jethro]

2 hours ago, Leon1 said:

I wouldn't say I'm a guru but I own a good camera and I know how to take a good photo...

I'd be eternally grateful for any tips, posed the question here, any chance you could pop over and give me some tips please.

 

[Leon1]

21 minutes ago, jethro said:

I'd be eternally grateful for any tips, posed the question here, any chance you could pop over and give me some tips please.

 

Just sent a message to it  

[Mapantz]

Been a while since I've seen some of this..

[jtay]

22 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

Just sent a message to it  

Good man.

Super quick sit in the Sun, beer and bbq this evening, before it set. Tiring stuff trying to squeeze it all in.