June 2018 C.E.T. forecasts and optional EWP contest

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield still on 15.8C +3.0C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.

[Summer Sun]

16.1 to the 13th

2.4 above the 61 to 90 average

2.4 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 16.1 to the 12th & 13th

[The PIT]

No change sunny Sheffield still at 15.8C +2..9C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.

[The PIT]

No change again at Sunny Sheffield with average temp at 15.8C +2.8C above normal. Rainfall unchanged

.

[Summer Sun]

16.1 to the 14th

2.4 above the 61 to 90 average

2.3 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 16.1 to the 12th, 13th & 14th

[Summer Sun]

16.0 to the 15th

2.2 above the 61 to 90 average

2.2 above the 81 to 10 average

_______________________________

Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 16.0 to the 15th

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 15.6C +2.5C above normal. Rainfall unchanged

[Weather-history]

Looks like the driest first half to June since 2006 for England and Wales.

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield still at 15.6C +2.4C above normal. Rainfall 25.6mm 35.1% of monthly average. Only three days without rain here but seven of those days were trace conditions. 18mm came in one day. We are now on 10 consecutive days with either trace condition or measurable rainfall.

[Summer Sun]

15.9 to the 16th

2.1 above the 61 to 90 average

2.0 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 15.9 to the 16th

[Man With Beard]

Probably looking at mid 16s this month if current charts hold up? 

[Methuselah]

11 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

Probably looking at mid 16s this month if current charts hold up? 

As my guess was for 16.6C, I'll be happy with that...OTOH, my rainfall prediction (73mm) looks like it'll be out by about...73mm!

[Summer Sun]

15.8 to the 17th

2.0 above the 61 to 90 average

1.9 above the 81 to 10 average

_______________________________

Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 15.8 to the 17th

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 15.5C +2.2C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.

[summer blizzard]

On 17/06/2018 at 12:02, Man With Beard said:

Probably looking at mid 16s this month if current charts hold up? 

Euro would only start increasing the CET from the 24th and you get less movement towards the end so probably not that high, especially after corrections. Should be round about last years figure though.

Assuming a finish with a 16C in front of it then only 1785 and 1786 are consecutive years to match 2017 and 2018. They were also yet more examples of the front load, sinking like the Titanic as summer goes on. 

[Summer Sun]

15.8 to the 18th

2.0 above the 61 to 90 average

1.8 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 15.8 to the 17th & 18th

[BornFromTheVoid]

Here's the forecast based on the 06z GFS

Rolling CET... Anomaly to 81-10 rolling avg (Daily Avg: Anomaly to 81-10 daily avg)

15.9C to the 19th... +1.9 (17.4: +2.2)
16.0C to the 20th... +1.9 (16.8: +1.7)
15.8C to the 21st... +1.7 (12.5: -1.9)
15.7C to the 22nd... +1.5 (12.8: -1.8)
15.6C to the 23rd... +1.4 (13.8: -1.0)
15.6C to the 24th... +1.4 (15.4: +0.5)
15.7C to the 25th... +1.4 (18.5: +3.2)
15.8C to the 26th... +1.6 (19.8: +4.5)
16.1C to the 27th... +1.7 (21.8: +6.2) [Daily Record: 22.8C in 1825]
16.3C to the 28th... +1.9 (22.7: +7.1) [Daily Record: 22.6C in 1976]

We look likely to see the coolest days of the month in the second half of this week, before temperatures begin climbing towards record breaking territory next week. Should the heatwave extent beyond the high resolution section of the GFS, we could be in the high 16s before corrections are applied.

[Summer Sun]

15.9 to the 19th

2.0 above the 61 to 90 average

1.8 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 15.8 to the 17th & 18th

[BornFromTheVoid]

Little change in the outlook compared to yesterday. 16.5C to the 29th is the latest estimate. Of note though, is the GFS suggests that with a min in the low 17s and a max in the low 29s, a daily mean of around 23.3C could be achieved on the 29th - which would be the warmest June day ever recorded!
A little far away to get excited about, but worth keeping an eye on.

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield back up to 15.7C +2.2C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.

[Summer Sun]

16.0 to the 20th

2.1 above the 61 to 90 average

1.9 above the 81 to 10 average

_______________________________

Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 15.8 to the 17th & 18th

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up to 15.8C +2.2C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.

[Weather-history]

Possibly could end up being the driest summer month for England and Wales since August 1995. Depends on if there is any thunder outbreaks. 

 

[Summer Sun]

15.9 to the 21st

1.9 above the 61 to 90 average

1.7 above the 81 to 10 average

_______________________________

Current high this month 18.7 to the 1st

Current low this month 15.8 to the 17th & 18th

[mb018538]

With the hot weather coming up, any idea where this June is likely to sit amongst all time June months? Obviously 1976 is top of the tree, and we're not beating that, but it must be in the top percentage?