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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

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Moderate convection here in SW London - whether a cell forms from this who knows?

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3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

New tower has gone up;

Screenshot_2018-05-28-17-01-25.thumb.png.a31bc4bee519a345f716c27cf4cc171b.png

I'm happy to eat my hat when proven wrong, its now or never

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It's been a convective kind of day 

 

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Edited by tomp456

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Just after a bit of knowledge here: we have reasonable and interesting convection, temp currently 24.5 C, dewpoint 18 and humidity 67%. So what are the other key factors to watch out for in order for thunder/lightning to be more (or less) likely. Wind BTW is currently 64 degrees ENE. 

 

Any advice would be super 🙂

 

Edited by Mizzle

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12 minutes ago, Alderc said:

There was never really a risk further inland, it was always dependant on where convergence would meet.

All the risk maps I’ve seen had a box for the potential for brief funnel producing storms across the central areas of Surrey - to some degree. I think convergence was expected to kick off showers that would then continue inland a little way.

Either way I agree with you at this point we shouldnt expect anything in those areas now, unless the Sussex cells get started and drift this way.

This whole area is a notorious hotspot for difficulty starting storms up - we do well only a handful of times every couple of years but when we do, it goes OFF! 😄

Edited by Flash bang flash bang etc

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It's been a convective kind of day 

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Edited by tomp456

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Now looks like this to the east. 

16A44690-4588-4249-9EC9-CF03AAB1A8AC.jpeg

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6 minutes ago, mike5900 said:

heavy rain east of southampton

Where abouts? Im in Hedge End and not a drop

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Heavy shower now developed over Calshot in Hampshire.

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Annoying, convection occurring 20 or so miles east of here, however my view east is blocked #annoying........

 

 

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Seems to be growing very rapidly easy of here. Breeze picking up as well although still offshore. 

Edited by matt111

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Looking south towards northern France, have you seen the weather over there,? 

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Got this lone wolf deciding what it wants to do 

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Towering SE and big bubbles NE of Fleet.

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1 minute ago, Mizzle said:

Towering SE and big bubbles NE of Fleet.

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I guess that is what I can see 

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2 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Got this lone wolf deciding what it wants to do 

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Coming your way

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Radar showing fairly intense little cell NW of Colchester. Wonder if that will produce any sparks? 

Edit: Yes it will! 

Edited by Thunderstruck

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The Sudbury cell is starting to look quite impressive from my back garden. Can hear thunder now and wind is really picking up. 

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@LukeyG It is growing and spreading .. seems to have stopped 'bubbling' and I don't know if that is a good sign or a bad sign 😕

20180528_173005.jpg

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As you can see the showers popping near Southampton have nothing to sustain them, to maturity its taking about 15minutes then they die a rapid death.

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