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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Raynes Park, London SW20
  • Location: Raynes Park, London SW20

Moderate convection here in SW London - whether a cell forms from this who knows?

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Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

It's been a convective kind of day 

 

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Edited by tomp456
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Posted
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Fog, Frost, Storms and Rain if it rains like it means it.
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border

Just after a bit of knowledge here: we have reasonable and interesting convection, temp currently 24.5 C, dewpoint 18 and humidity 67%. So what are the other key factors to watch out for in order for thunder/lightning to be more (or less) likely. Wind BTW is currently 64 degrees ENE. 

 

Any advice would be super

 

Edited by Mizzle
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Posted
  • Location: Sherborne dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms. Warm weather. Not hot or cold weather.
  • Location: Sherborne dorset

heavy rain east of southampton

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Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
12 minutes ago, Alderc said:

There was never really a risk further inland, it was always dependant on where convergence would meet.

All the risk maps I’ve seen had a box for the potential for brief funnel producing storms across the central areas of Surrey - to some degree. I think convergence was expected to kick off showers that would then continue inland a little way.

Either way I agree with you at this point we shouldnt expect anything in those areas now, unless the Sussex cells get started and drift this way.

This whole area is a notorious hotspot for difficulty starting storms up - we do well only a handful of times every couple of years but when we do, it goes OFF!

Edited by Flash bang flash bang etc
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Posted
  • Location: Southampton, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow
  • Location: Southampton, Hampshire

Looking south east ish of North Southampton

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Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

It's been a convective kind of day 

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Edited by tomp456
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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

Now looks like this to the east. 

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Annoying, convection occurring 20 or so miles east of here, however my view east is blocked #annoying........

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

Seems to be growing very rapidly easy of here. Breeze picking up as well although still offshore. 

Edited by matt111
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Posted
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Fog, Frost, Storms and Rain if it rains like it means it.
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border

Towering SE and big bubbles NE of Fleet.

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

Radar showing fairly intense little cell NW of Colchester. Wonder if that will produce any sparks? 

Edit: Yes it will! 

Edited by Thunderstruck
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Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)

The Sudbury cell is starting to look quite impressive from my back garden. Can hear thunder now and wind is really picking up. 

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Posted
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Fog, Frost, Storms and Rain if it rains like it means it.
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border

@LukeyG It is growing and spreading .. seems to have stopped 'bubbling' and I don't know if that is a good sign or a bad sign

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As you can see the showers popping near Southampton have nothing to sustain them, to maturity its taking about 15minutes then they die a rapid death.

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