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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted

The sky looks slightly unstable this morning...

452E9DDF-F326-49B0-998D-3E667176EBE2.jpeg

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Windblade Community Regular

Windblade

Posted
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, rain, tornados, funnel clouds and the northern lights
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent
Posted
11 hours ago, Harry said:

As has been said above the charts for this weekend (bit far out at the moment though) are insane!!! Decent enough potential across S-UK this week for similar kinds of storms has we saw today - small, discreet but very potent! From Friday onwards though the potential skyrockets. Let’s go hope he conditions come to fruition. 5-7 days out not ideal.

Cant resist sharing - terms and conditions apply! All chart grabs are 18z each day starting Friday

6D9ED791-309A-4277-87E5-20B989C50858.png

5A3D9329-7CC0-4A82-8EF1-1103D1870B7F.png

E23029EB-72FD-4DF0-BA51-15399E0D006B.png

AE215A78-E999-4EB5-9510-99A672739B7E.png

81C65A61-5B28-4DCA-BEFB-7E1BD8A9E79B.png

77853491-0C1E-4B1E-9EFB-579B04CF5A23.png

Nice.

First signs of convection in tower hamlets. Small cumulus forming already. It's 8.30am and already feels very warm in the sun.

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Azazel Veteran

Azazel

Posted
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire
Posted

I don't expect too much to happen today. Chance of an isolated cell or two East London, down towards Eastbourne later today. Maybe some isolated showers up in North West Scotland too.

weather220518.jpg

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

Just for fun of course, but home-grown MCS anyone?

MCS.thumb.png.635187177d78d06a942d0de27f14afcf.pngCape.thumb.png.0bce4d0065eb72bce8f2c660ddd5bcbe.png

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted
15 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Just for fun of course, but home-grown MCS anyone?

MCS.thumb.png.635187177d78d06a942d0de27f14afcf.pngCape.thumb.png.0bce4d0065eb72bce8f2c660ddd5bcbe.png

Insane chart! 

We are getting ridiculously spoilt recently with potential like this. Some of the best I’ve ever seen in terms of severity combined with longevity. The whole of bank holiday weekend has pretty much carbon copies 4 days on the bounce. Stupendous! 

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Azazel Veteran

Azazel

Posted
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire
Posted
2 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Insane chart! 

We are getting ridiculously spoilt recently with potential like this. Some of the best I’ve ever seen in terms of severity combined with longevity. The whole of bank holiday weekend has pretty much carbon copies 4 days on the bounce. Stupendous! 

As long as the storms hold off until late evening on the Sunday i'm happy with that! Can't have a deluge ruining the Great Whitchurch Pub Race.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted

It all sounds too good to be true 

 

But back to the here and now - my car thermometer is reading 25° and I see clouds bubbling up

Defo feels like there could be a storm. Gonna drive 20mins to my west towards Horsham, have a coffee/do some work somewhere around there and wait and see what happens...

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
34 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Insane chart! 

We are getting ridiculously spoilt recently with potential like this. Some of the best I’ve ever seen in terms of severity combined with longevity. The whole of bank holiday weekend has pretty much carbon copies 4 days on the bounce. Stupendous! 

Just remember these charts are being generated of the back of wildly exaggerated dew points from GFS i.e. 23C in the south west.

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Come on people, you should know not to get too excited by this so far out. I could list many previous setups that have looked like this and not come to pass.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
14 minutes ago, Lauren said:

Come on people, you should know not to get too excited by this so far out. I could list many previous setups that have looked like this and not come to pass.

I think it’s the sheer number of opportunities we’re being presented with over the upcoming weeks that’s getting people excited, not necessarily the finer details

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Stunning convection over Kent at the moment! Another day for great time lapses 

BEFE4407-9C67-4A73-9DCF-8C1A0D32B46D.jpeg

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anything-but Enthusiast

anything-but

Posted
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms,Hot `n` sunny!
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
Posted
4 minutes ago, Azazel said:

Sferic near Maidstone?

Had a few rumbles of thunder here in Cuxton from that cell passing by just now. 

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Windblade Community Regular

Windblade

Posted
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, rain, tornados, funnel clouds and the northern lights
  • Location: NW Bexley, Kent
Posted (edited)

A friend in Cowden, Sevenoaks just told me he's got very loud thunder there. Bright sunshine in tower hamlets but I have been watching a few towers going up this afternoon. I'm leaving for home soon on the bike, so as long as anything holds off until I get in I'm good with that.

Don't fancy riding through possible hail which can smash my fairing to bits!

Edited by Windblade
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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted (edited)

Can see the anvils of the storms over Kent from here in south London, little shear evident to tilt the anvil it seems

 

8982055D-3F44-453A-B8C6-0EDB789CEE12.png

 

 

BCB12536-DDF5-44D0-83F9-F43C64C2CCAF.jpeg

Edited by Nick F
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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Nothing yet. Does feel like it's about to burst though. Getting more humid by the minute.

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Thunderstruck Community Regular

Thunderstruck

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
Posted

It’s really humid out there right now. Got eyes on the anvil of the cell over Kent but it’s moving the wrong way! Not ruling anything out though...

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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted

Had a few distant rumbles and one flash from this:

97997265-77B8-4A89-AC15-80A546A026FE.jpeg

361105EC-2696-4389-A30F-015ACFFAA401.jpeg

A7CCC576-F719-47B0-A6A2-F82EBDD13C44.jpeg

AAD640C5-A555-4AEF-982D-FC67EDAEFBBC.jpeg

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Atmogenic Seasoned

Atmogenic

Posted
  • Location: Kent,Ashford
  • Weather Preferences: Love heat & thunderstorms, but hate the cold
  • Location: Kent,Ashford
Posted (edited)

Not great pictures due to the sun being directly beside it, but I took 2 photos of that thunderstorm between Tonbridge and Tenterden 

 

 

IMG_1048[1].jpg

IMG_1049[1].jpg

Edited by Atmogenic
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