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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

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If we take a look at the cloud height on the Sat24: https://en.sat24.com/en/nl/km

It is clear for the most part that the storms in the far SW are decaying. 

And if anything the very large active storm possible MCS over France is maintaining, if not growing in size. We should expect further activity by 7/8pm.

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36 minutes ago, Joey.G said:

I find the Derbyshire climate at this time of year... Specifically this evening... Disagreeable :D

Arrived in Sailsbury, just going to find a good vantage point and wait and see. Gl mate 🤞

Completely agree with that. There has not been a decent storm around our parts since 2015. May be possibilities over the next couple of days to break the drought. Good luck to you too mate.

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image.thumb.png.35c208b5a7aafb3d96bc2d5d92661160.png

2 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

If we take a look at the cloud height on the Sat24: https://en.sat24.com/en/nl/km

It is clear for the most part that the storms in the far SW are decaying. 

And if anything the very large active storm possible MCS over France is maintaining, if not growing in size. We should expect further activity by 7/8pm.

Isnt for the most part unstable air in the shaded area?

I suspect things to kick off properly down south/SW in about an hour.

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On the cliff top at Kimmeridge now, mainly wind swept Cumulus/stratus passing briskly to the SSW although some of the Cumulus are quite active, still warm for location. Looking South it's hazy, but hoping with the help of my polarised sunnys to start picking up some more unstable mid level stuff from the South. Note to self should have worn long trousers, bugs here are hungry!

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Sorry guys but I'm calling a bust....






If it's dull and cool weather you are after in the next 7 days 😄😄. Central Northern France is looking good on blitzkorung 😊

 

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Just now, Quicksilver1989 said:

Sorry guys but I'm calling a bust....






If it's dull and cool weather you are after in the next 7 days 😄😄. Central Northern France is looking good on blitzkorung 😊

 

I'm calling it a bust too. Cannot believe its nearly 6pm and there is not a sign of a storm any where near here. Jeez, all this hype for nothing. AGAIN. 

 

ps that's sarcasm. Not expecting anything if at all, until later on this evening 

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Farrrrrr too early to call it bust. Sheesh! Some never learn, do they?

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Been virtually cloudless all afternoon but have some of this passing through now which looks promising 

05AB6495-6B08-4593-A03A-2CFFC9448494.jpeg

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I can also confirm, towers are going up just to the SE of me.

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9 minutes ago, Lynxus said:

image.thumb.png.35c208b5a7aafb3d96bc2d5d92661160.png

Isnt for the most part unstable air in the shaded area?

I suspect things to kick off properly down south/SW in about an hour.

That MCS will drain all the power from anything around it, it's overnight more favoured conditions will produce fresh storms in places

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Yes, thing happening all of a sudden here in Bournemouth. Looking very good! 

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3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

I can also confirm, towers are going up just to the SE of me.

Promising signs, I've seen a few reports of this elsewhere too and can be seen on Sat24.

In regards to a bust, the NMM, AROME & EURO4, all don't show anything of note till 7pm, 9pm and 9pm respectively.

 

Netwx SR.pngArome.pngEuro 4 9.gif

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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1 minute ago, StormChaseUK said:

That MCS will drain all the power from anything around it, it's overnight more favoured conditions will produce fresh storms in places

Oh havent you seen?

Its gonna look like this later! /s 🤣

image.thumb.png.59b1bc2b7ee4f0f8291b2ae0e06859a4.png

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Latest NMM showing what could actually be a noisy night for many, with a more easterly extent of the precipitation too. I’d say in the next hour or two, we could start seeing some activity fire up over N’ern France and the channel, ahead of the current possible MCS in situ. Watch that clear slot explode soon over the channel and behind that strip of cloud marching North over the S midlands and Home Counties. 

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There's a line of what looks like storms kicking off across the country. I can see multiple rain spots on the radar. 

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3 minutes ago, LB1994 said:

Been virtually cloudless all afternoon but have some of this passing through now which looks promising 

05AB6495-6B08-4593-A03A-2CFFC9448494.jpeg

Towers forming just to my south. Lots of accas.

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I'm torn. Champion's League or out chasing the storms. I've git a feeling they could be a bit special this evening. 

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7 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

I'm calling it a bust too. Cannot believe its nearly 6pm and there is not a sign of a storm any where near here. Jeez, all this hype for nothing. AGAIN. 

 

ps that's sarcasm. Not expecting anything if at all, until later on this evening 

Lol I was joking.... patience, the storms are just building up now 😊

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Just wait and watch it all come to life in a matter of minutes it’s still very early often the best storms happen around dusk or just after!

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Like that!

240877B8-9CDD-494B-BCA7-4BD746CDFC63.jpeg

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Some cumulus (or perhaps lowish based Ac Cas if it's come off the sea) that's recently appeared are getting bigger and more bubbly i.e 'congestus' like quite quickly.

 

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2 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

Like that!

240877B8-9CDD-494B-BCA7-4BD746CDFC63.jpeg

WOAH!!!!

FLASH  FLOODING! Kangaroos in the road. People looting! Its gonna be crazy!

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I'd willingly give up a whole year of storms ( ok that's about 2 in total) just to be rid of this damned E/NE'ly. It's been relentless for months bar the odd couple of days here and there. 

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