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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards


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I find an ironic observation that people who don't receive severe weather in their very own back yard are the ones who complain about unwarranted met office warnings...... The met office amber wa

130 photos taken this evening. Have attached the ones I consider decent enough to share. Apologies for some of the scratches and marks on the pictures; my camera body needs a damn good clean.  Th

Hi guys, First post here. Hope you enjoy. Here's the view in Brighton looking south east a moment ago. No processing/filtering on this image either.

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Well I arrived in London last night for my 3 night stay in Heathrow. Fingers crossed for later on. Very humid here. Sky is looking pretty good imho and what a view I will have if anything kicks off! Also not a bad view of the airport happenings so I’m a happy bunny atm ?

4C9844A5-EA30-47CF-ADF1-0F1FB2E0AC43.jpeg

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It’s so windy on the sussex coast!

wish it would be still then it would be the calm before the storm! The wind is taking the edge of the humidity which is about 60% right now. 

22c at the end of the pier...

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yay, the sun's finally come out after a loooooong absence!......temps climbing quickly and feeling very muggy despite the breeze....bring it on!

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Heading out to Twickenham for the rugby today and it’s incredibly humid and hot. A storm would be lovely to clear the air but if it could hold off till after the game and come tonight then that would be great! Sky does look quite unstable though...

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34 minutes ago, SarahWxm said:

Well I arrived in London last night for my 3 night stay in Heathrow. Fingers crossed for later on. Very humid here. Sky is looking pretty good imho and what a view I will have if anything kicks off! Also not a bad view of the airport happenings so I’m a happy bunny atm ?

4C9844A5-EA30-47CF-ADF1-0F1FB2E0AC43.jpeg

I think you’ve made 100% the right choice ?

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WRF 6Z looking good for Monday now here as well with NUCAPE around all day and building again during the night. No surface based activity though. Also an upgrade in terms of longevity for Sunday night. 

Edited by Chris.R
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19 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

WRF 6Z looking good for Monday now here as well with NUCAPE around all day and building again during the night. No surface based activity though. Also an upgrade in terms of longevity for Sunday night. 

Excellent hope the upgrades continue ?

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Atmosphere continuing to destabilise across the channel in association with the trough moving northwards. As skies continue clear across much of Southern England I expect more showers/storms to intensity and form further eastwards to the current showers.

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32 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I think you’ve made 100% the right choice ?

I hope so!! I’m feeling positive but how many times have I felt like that and been disappointed lol. The humidity is really bad and I have had a bad head all day so that normally a good sign! What time are storms supposed to kick off round here?

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Hope I’m not jinxing here but I’ve only gone and put the batteries on charge.

 

 

Edited by tomp456
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1 minute ago, SarahWxm said:

I hope so!! I’m feeling positive but how many times have I felt like that and been disappointed lol. The humidity is really bad and I have had a bad head all day so that normally a good sign! What time are storms supposed to kick off round here?

Surfaced based storms could fire at any point up until 8pm but the most significant area of interest is the potentially severe elevated stuff that will form as a result of the destabilisation of the airmass over the channel at some time around 7pm onwards.

There was mention of it moving through quicker than anticipated so I don’t know if this has changed the timings at all. I just don’t know...

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1 hour ago, tomp456 said:

It’s so windy on the sussex coast!

wish it would be still then it would be the calm before the storm! The wind is taking the edge of the humidity which is about 60% right now. 

22c at the end of the pier...

Yep same here just east of Brighton..Nowcasting I reckon for tonight...

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