Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

    some sharpish showers breaking out now over parts of the west country as the elevated clag starts to break up

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    Posted
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol
    Just now, ajpoolshark said:

    some sharpish showers breaking out now over parts of the west country as the elevated clag starts to break up

    Me thinks this is a matter of time before we see our first lightning strike over the region. Especially since temperatures will continue to rise and the introduction of more unstable air from the SE.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester

    Absolute rubbish so far in this part of the midlands!!last 3 days we have had homegrown/north sea muck and no sun at all!!today again same old story!!what a waste of some really warm 850hpa temps really!!oh well lets see what tomorrow brings!!

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)

    Looking increasingly pessimistic for my neck of the woods. Not being a doom-sayer, just observing the stubbornness of this dross and the lack of any apparent activity 

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......

    Our clag too is breaking now revealing bigger/taller clouds than we seen all week. I do hope something does make it to us later. If after dark it can miss us completely as long I can see/hear them!!!

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
    1 minute ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

    Me thinks this is a matter of time before we see our first lightning strike over the region. Especially since temperatures will continue to rise and the introduction of more unstable air from the SE.

    yup, agreed Ben

    we've gone from this... 1245.thumb.png.a0cb7da005f27d138ce8f209d07bdad2.png

    to this... 1325.thumb.png.8b3c9282f7af0546023cfe77a02496fb.png

    in 40 mins

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

    Accuweather still going for storms at 7pm here. Can't see i happening myself. 

    It's apparently sunny in Hove....but overcast in worthing! 

     

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Taunton Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: warm summers,gales, thunder lightning frosty mornings .
  • Location: Taunton Somerset
    59 minutes ago, Dean E said:

    Just regarding the Met Office Amber warning area, which took me by surprise given that Central Southern England seemed more at threat with Severe storms than The South West according to model outputs earlier. (Would love to see their models right now)

    But this area has caught my eye. Rapid clearance of any clouds during recent frames indicates the main area for potential IMO. With steering flows being NNW, this puts everyone in the Amber Warning area at risk. Possible good call by the Met? We shall see.

    image.thumb.png.8ac9e18b8037798ab114035c7f2c3967.png

    Well good call so far, as very heavy rain is now falling here in the south West . 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    The sky here is brightening...What chance of me seeing some AC grimsleyanus formations do you reckon, aj?

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Exeter and Chapmanslade
  • Location: Exeter and Chapmanslade

    We’ve just had a thunderstorm wanting issued to the airfield. The most recent TAFs for the area:

    Exeter PROB30 TSGR

    Bristol PROB40 TSGR

    Cardiff PROB30 TSGR 

    PROB40 is the highest probability you can get on a TAF, so smile if you are in Bristol, and cross your toes

    All TEMPO so ‘lasting less than one hour’

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder snow is the best phenomenon
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire

    What a disappointment today has been, like i said last night, overestimated :)

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, Very Warm, Warm! Sunshine & TS
  • Location: Bournemouth

    Still in the gloom and clag, not really changed since about 8pm on Monday.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol

    And there we have our first sferic just North of Brighton. The coverage of showers are increasing by the minute it seems on the radar.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, Very Warm, Warm! Sunshine & TS
  • Location: Bournemouth

    I think we are done for the day. Absolutely in a dry slot, nothing else likely to fire downwind - game over!

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
    4 minutes ago, Neglectedchicken said:

    What a disappointment today has been, like i said last night, overestimated :)

    It's not even 2 o'clock and beefy showers are already developing ? How can you claim it's a disappointment already?

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Wendover, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Wendover, Buckinghamshire

    Suddenly we have lift off with the showers across the southern UK, they just need to become electrified now.

    Pessimistic about the storm potential on the coast here though it must be said, but I won't throw in the towel until the last of the crud for this lot passing over goes through. One of those days you feel where things could rapidly change if the sun actually makes an appearance.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder snow is the best phenomenon
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
    4 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

    It's not even 2 o'clock and beefy showers are already developing ? How can you claim it's a disappointment already?

    Not much has changed over the past hours... Forecasts were predicting as early as 6am and now its 2pm.  It is quite a disappointment.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

    sferic detection just north of Brizzle

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Blackwood SE Wales
  • Location: Blackwood SE Wales
    Just now, ajpoolshark said:

    sferic detection just north of Brizzle

    it wouldn't surprise me , but nothing showing up on livelightningmaps or blitzortung o,o

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
    11 minutes ago, Neglectedchicken said:

    What a disappointment today has been, like i said last night, overestimated :)

    I disagree NC...as stated in an other post and indeed on most hi-res modelling, from roughly now onwards is the time to sky/radar watch

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
     Share

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...