Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
Supacell

Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

Recommended Posts

Main areas at risk at the moment for heavy rain at least  seem to be from London area in a diagonal line to north Wales  over the next 48 hour period  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
32 minutes ago, Harry said:

Really @Flash bang flash bang etc? Feels much more humid here again this evening compared with the last couple of days. That could just be from all the rain recently,  but either way fresh it is not.

But then it very quickly felt very humid - I must confess I’ve been on an enclosed hot building site al day so my internal thermometer could be playing havoc - although the actual temperature gauge on my cat showed a leap of about 3° earlier in the space of 20 mins 🤔

Read of that what you will 🙂

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

*This is an update in response to the 12z runs (My Own Forecast)

VALID 6:00 UTC Thurs 31 May 2018 - 11:59 UTC Thurs 31 May 2018

The coverage of elevated thunderstorms in the beginning of the forecast period looks increasingly uncertain, with some models reducing the extent (Euro4 most pronounced in coverage). Increasing confidence though in the extent & location of surface based storms within the 12z model suite (MDT Region On Map). This is, however, a dynamic setup, radar & satellite will be useful tools in this forecast period. 

image.thumb.png.3bdcc3c5248c976a54a3af9ca9d4f80c.png

Criteria Key:

LOW (Grey) = 10 - 20% of lightning within 25 miles

SLGT (Green) = 20 - 45% of lightning within 25 miles

MDT (Yellow) = 45 - 60% of lightning within 25 miles

High (Red) = >60% of lightning within 25 miles

Severe (Dotted) = Notable threat to life and/or buildings

 

Edited by MattTarrant
  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Has anyone seen the lightning rate on the storms just North of Zurich? 😲

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tomorrow could be pretty spectacular storm wise..according to my weather app.😲⛈️

IMG_20180530_193153.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Once again tomo I’ll be up at the Shard - so should we find ourselves in a storm I think there is a good chance of a direct hit 😃😮😃

(It was hit on Saturday night so I’ve been told...)

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Once again tomo I’ll be up at the Shard - so should we find ourselves in a storm I think there is a good chance of a direct hit 😃😮😃

(It was hit on Saturday night so I’ve been told...)

And you will be in it. You are braver then me 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If the Beeb forecast is to be believed then the storms will be missing me in Worthing, which means after a brief hiatus, my storm shield will be back on. 

image.thumb.png.72244058732d7bba5d84f9d154ea753e.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, tomp456 said:

If the Beeb forecast is to be believed then the storms will be missing me in Worthing, which means after a brief hiatus, my storm shield will be back on. 

image.thumb.png.72244058732d7bba5d84f9d154ea753e.png

Payment for using the word FUNDER the other day😀

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
58 minutes ago, pad199207 said:

Has anyone seen the lightning rate on the storms just North of Zurich? 😲

This is on the NE Swiss border, some lightning strikes visible there.. as the storm approaches! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Cableguy said:

Payment for using the word FUNDER the other day😀

I'll be using much more colorful language if the storms do skip merrily round me. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

If the Beeb forecast is to be believed then the storms will be missing me in Worthing, which means after a brief hiatus, my storm shield will be back on. 

image.thumb.png.72244058732d7bba5d84f9d154ea753e.png

She’s the worst weather presenter on Tv! She really hasn’t got a clue what’s she talking about!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

I'll be using much more colorful language if the storms do skip merrily round me. 

Joking aside can't see you missing out tomorrow(far from it).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like tomorrow into Friday is my best and last chance to see thunderstorms this week. They can’t avoid me forever. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, Alderc said:

She’s the worst weather presenter on Tv! She really hasn’t got a clue what’s she talking about!!

North west bbc ENO Eroterrerrer is far worse 

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

If the Beeb forecast is to be believed then the storms will be missing me in Worthing, which means after a brief hiatus, my storm shield will be back on. 

image.thumb.png.72244058732d7bba5d84f9d154ea753e.png

I've got used to our Lincoln storm shield lately, hope that changes some point this Summer. Still if not tomorrow, Friday looking possible : P

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Holy moley.

 

Tomorrow does indeed look good.

ukprec.png

South of brum looks very good.

ukwind.png

Plenty of energy about.

ukcapeli.png

ukstormrisk.png

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Supacell said:

What is going on in here?!? This thread is normally a friendly place where people who all share an interest of storms congregate. It is not a place for arguments! I have just got back in from work to catch up on the afternoons updates and feel like I have been transported into a creche. Come on, lets keep it friendly or posts will be disappear.

Welcome to the new winter thread!!! Just need the Murr scale of lightening strikes and it will be like december all over again 😉

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Welcome to the new winter thread!!! Just need the Murr scale of lightening strikes and it will be like december all over again 😉

Would that be the Murr Cape &Li sausage??

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

North west bbc ENO Eroterrerrer is far worse 

Or the dreaded Ox! 😱😵

Edited by Chris.R
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Again I’d be surprised to see anything on the south coast, the elevated plume looks iffy and clearly nothing surfaced will develop here! To be honest living down here I don’t know what a surface based storm would look like in the summer lol! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...