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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

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Just now, Neglectedchicken said:

not what wetterzentrale is stating

Wz doesn't show mixed layer CAPE, only surface based.

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11 minutes ago, Neglectedchicken said:

That's what I reckon, unless a miracle happens :)

Knowing the East's luck, it will disappear entirely 5 miles off the coast and there'll be light to moderate rain 🙄

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Just now, Mapantz said:

Wz doesn't show mixed layer CAPE, only surface based.

Oh okay thank you

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The line I've drawn is showing the areas east and southeast of it having rain during the early hours and the arrows indicate the general direction they will move it will pivot and become a more straight area of thundery rain over Wales and Western England tomorrow afternoon. 

orca-image-1527623301429.jpg_1527623301631.jpeg

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Come on people, cheer up. Let's stop being negative and think about the maximum potential of these storms. That's what I'm doing. 

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Just now, Norfolk Sheep said:

Knowing the East's luck, it will disappear entirely 5 miles off the coast and there'll be light to moderate rain 🙄

Everyone would be waiting,excited for the storm as it arrives it disappears :D

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3 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

The line I've drawn is showing the areas east and southeast of it having rain during the early hours and the arrows indicate the general direction they will move it will pivot and become a more straight area of thundery rain over Wales and Western England tomorrow afternoon. 

orca-image-1527623301429.jpg_1527623301631.jpeg

I think they would become more scattered after the line with the majority missing out

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24 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

My track takes it into east anglia and southeast England by 10 or 11 this evening before pushing west northwest.

You say East Anglia but I think I'm (Colchester) too far South to get anything. I'm interested in why and if I'm going to miss out on the storms crossing the channel.

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3 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

Come on people, cheer up. Let's stop being negative and think about the maximum potential of these storms. That's what I'm doing. 

I'm expecting a nonderstorm sometime soon , say next 30 years ...

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Just now, Mokidugway said:

I'm expecting a nonderstorm sometime soon , say next 30 years ...

Lol. 

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Just now, Neglectedchicken said:

I think they would become more scattered after the line with the majority missing out

I would have to disagree with you sorry there won't just be dotted storms there will be a line of heavy rain stretching from northeast to Southwest so most people will get the rain in central and southern England the rain won't weaken.

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1 minute ago, Mokidugway said:

I'm expecting a nonderstorm sometime soon , say next 30 years ...

If youre lucky 😋

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4 minutes ago, Neglectedchicken said:

Everyone would be waiting,excited for the storm as it arrives it disappears :D

Standard! Or crosses Norfolk and Suffolk as rain and miraculously leaps into action west of the A1 🤣

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2 minutes ago, LimoPreacherman said:

You say East Anglia but I think I'm (Colchester) too far South to get anything. I'm interested in why and if I'm going to miss out on the storms crossing the channel.

Your not too far south I can assure you ☺️

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2 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:

Standard! Or crosses Norfolk and Suffolk as rain and miraculously leaps into action west of the A1 🤣

Always happens :D

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From now on, there's no such thing as the West. It's now north, east, south, east. Lol  😂 

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Is it me or is the North Sea cell beginning to slow down a bit in terms of producing lightning now? 

Think if I’m going to get anything tonight it will need to form towards the end of the Thames Estuary or lower North Sea, similar to this morning, but I’m not sure conditions are right for that now. 

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4 minutes ago, Neglectedchicken said:

Anyone see anything coming down from Norway and any potential?

Kent clipper maybe 😂

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1 minute ago, Thunderstruck said:

Is it me or is the North Sea cell beginning to slow down a bit in terms of producing lightning now? 

Think if I’m going to get anything tonight it will need to form towards the end of the Thames Estuary or lower North Sea, similar to this morning, but I’m not sure conditions are right for that now. 

Sadly I think you're right. Good old East Anglia, great at delivering rain. If this was January we'd get about a foot of snow....

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2 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:

Interesting how the northernmost edge is still very active

Good news to me lol. 

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