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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

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I've been hearing thunder to my north for the past 10 hours, on and off throughout the day. Lots of reports of flooding across Kent from friends and online, storms have just trailed the same areas all day long. 

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Euro4 making a deal of that feature tomorrow, much more so than other modelling

Precipitation EURO4 We 30.05.2018 15 GMT

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That Strom exiting the Dutch coast looks so juicy. 

Edited by Swansonson69

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9 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Possible MCS exiting the Dutch coast now. There’s hope! 

Almost the widest fetch possible - we'll just end up with a load of furry clag and a few fat raindrops, you mark my words!

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1 minute ago, Swansonson69 said:

That Strom exiting the Dutch coast looks so juicy. 

YEs some of those storms will be pushing west or northwestwards into east anglia and south east England later Tonight probably around midnight onwards and should maintain its intensity and will give southern parts a very wet start including the midlands too then it will move northwest into wales and perhaps southern portions of northern England later tomorrow with thunderstorms following behind.

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Arrgh! Look at Holland - how dare they use up all their storm budget before August 😫

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1 minute ago, jordan smith said:

YEs some of those storms will be pushing west or northwestwards into east anglia and south east England later Tonight probably around midnight onwards and should maintain its intensity and will give southern parts a very wet start including the midlands too then it will move northwest into wales and perhaps southern portions of northern England later tomorrow with thunderstorms following behind.

What are the chances of it pushing to Lincolnshire, though I imagine even the slight chance it wont be as electrical 

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14 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:

Looking forward to some mist and light drizzle over the next few days 😕 Goodness knows why Norfolk is such a storm desert now, must be payback for the 80s....

Thursday PM could be the day :good:

nmmuk-6-59-0_zjr1.pngnmmuk-6-61-0_vus5.pngnmmuk-6-62-0_uby1.png

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Just now, TJS1998Tom said:

What are the chances of it pushing to Lincolnshire, though I imagine even the slight chance it wont be as electrical 

The northern portion of it may effect you but it may not be electrical there will some thunder and lightning in this rain but difficult to say how much but I have a good idea on the track.

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1 minute ago, TJS1998Tom said:

What are the chances of it pushing to Lincolnshire, though I imagine even the slight chance it wont be as electrical 

From what I can see, there's a good chance. I don't know if it'll be electrical though.  

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3 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:

Arrgh! Look at Holland - how dare they use up all their storm budget before August 😫

We'll have to wait and see what happens after midnight, once that front edges closer?

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2 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Thursday PM could be the day :good:

nmmuk-6-59-0_zjr1.pngnmmuk-6-61-0_vus5.pngnmmuk-6-62-0_uby1.png

Certainly keeping an eye on Thursday, looks to be alright for the majority of us

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Ooh look a chance at some thunder for the storm starved south east 😄

Seriously though - there is so much convective activity heading generally this way from several different places

Today is a bit nuts - never properly experienced embedded storms - it’s like a rainy drizzly day but every once in a while there’s a storm around. Weird

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rainalarm_180529191930.thumb.gif.2e5e3f56ba1605ee098cb95b1752a91a.gif

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1 minute ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Certainly keeping an eye on Thursday, looks to be alright for the majority of us

Hmmm, that's going to be fun setting up for a weekend dog show then 😆

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Can I add as well it’s not particularly frequent when it is nearby - probably hear a lot more thunder than flashes you see. In fact only flashes I’ve seen today was up above 40th floor in London Bridge, and those were mostly just periphery blue flashes.

Thunder was very boomy, and sounded quite melancholic - a bit like a sad singer in a dimly lit bar would sound making thunder noises.

Hoping for lots more later on tonight 😀😀😀

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8 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:

Arrgh! Look at Holland - how dare they use up all their storm budget before August 😫

Image result for people who are intolerant of other people's cultures and the dutch 😃

They seem to be holding up somewhat though as they cross the North Sea. Maybe a surprise in store?

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14 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

That Strom exiting the Dutch coast looks so juicy. 

I was watching it earlier on one of the Port Rotterdam cams, fairly intense!

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Pulses of thunderstorms over the continent will push west wards and will develop more widely once it pushes inland through east Anglia into central parts there should still be a lot of lightning maintained and the rain band will tend to become larger given some places some large rainfall this is based on what I think will happen I've got an arrow on this map demonstrating the track they are likely to take.

orca-image-1527618637391.jpg_1527618637582.jpeg

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1 minute ago, jordan smith said:

Pulses of thunderstorms over the continent will push west wards and will develop more widely once it pushes inland through east Anglia into central parts there should still be a lot of lightning maintained and the rain band will tend to become larger given some places some large rainfall this is based on what I think will happen I've got an arrow on this map demonstrating the track they are likely to take.

orca-image-1527618637391.jpg_1527618637582.jpeg

I'd slightly tilt those arrows north a little but other then that I agree. 

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Watching the North Sea closely but it looks at the moment like all the electrical stuff will pass to my north. 

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Massive thunderstorm over the Netherlands . Good for you guys in east anglia . Some thunderstorms rumbling well too the east of Scotland too 

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4 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

I'd slightly tilt those arrows north a little but other then that I agree. 

I think the arrows are accurate the storms will move in a west northwest direction and become elongated through east anglia central England too then a broad area of thundery rain for Western England after midday.

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3 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

I'd slightly tilt those arrows north a little but other then that I agree. 

And I think they'll be elevated storms, storms whose intensity is almost unaffected by a sea-crossing...It's not unknown for such thunderstorms to come out of France, move right up the North Sea and still be electrified on reaching the Shetland Islands...A wee hop across the Southern NS should be a problem oughtn't cause too much problem...I HOPE!⛈️

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