Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

[Eskimo]

Live streaming webcam of Minehead station, they've had torrential rain for a good hour or so now!

http://www.wsr.org.uk/r-cam-md1.htm

[TJS1998Tom]

Just now, sparky1972 said:

think we are going to miss the storms today, i should have gone with the wife to Cirencester Glous as they have a good storm down there

Hoping tomorrow, though really hope June and July will be our chance for some good home grown storms, as Lincs is known for it's good home growns

[Cambridgeshire Weather]

4 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Not really, bet they'll end up moving West and wont make it this far North... we'll see though

They are moving west coming from the south east

[Cableguy]

Considering the amount of precipitation that has broken out the sferics volume is very poor in comparison, a disappointing event so far and looks to be a bust already for my area, others further north may still get lucky however.

[Derecho]

There seems to be about as much energy in these storms as a dead duracell battery at the moment. If we want to get some good storms things need to shift soon!

Rainfall is plentiful however. Though the meto forecast radar for this evening looks lacklustre with heavy rain persisting around the Gloucester/Oxford area.

Little to nothing here so yup I'm throwing in the towel for some good storms here in Southern Hampshire! Happy to be proved wrong but it all looks underwhelming to me today.

Even with these heavy rain events, there is no guarantee of epic lightning to follow with it.

[The PIT]

Well tomorrow is beginning to look a dead duck for us again. I'll wait for the latest GFS to role out but if the BBC forecast is right we will be too far south. So a week of Thundery activity around and it looks like a blank.  Just thinking about storms and wind direction. Southerly: Can bring storms, South Westerly: Can bring storms, however in recent years 99% of storms die away by the time reach Dronfield, Westerly: Can bring some but fewer and the eastern side of Sheffield is favored for this set up. North West: As Westerly. Northerly: Haven't been any storms since the early 80's, North Easterly: None I can remember, Easterly: None since 76, South Easterly: Can't recall any.

[StormChaseUK]

The storms last week had the heat over France/Germany to power them, that heat has now shifted further east  https://en.sat24.com/en

 

 

[A.J]

flash and rumble!

[matt111]

Suddenly come over dark to the east. 

[Cambridgeshire Weather]

They keep growing however decaying quickly. I blame the lack of sun

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

The words “late afternoon / early evening” are important ones to remember

[Mapantz]

1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

The words “late afternoon / early evening” are important ones to remember

Absolutely! Dinner, then Emmerdale.

[Mokidugway]

3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Absolutely! Dinner, then Emmerdale.

Copy of aquarium monthly and a gin and tonic ,lol

[Azazel]

Possible cell with wall cloud north of Andover. Will post photos shortly

[ancientsolar]

there are masses of cloud over N France and the cloud formations are being dragged towards us,. however the storms themselves are staying in France,. near to the border

[Guest]

By now there really should have been large relatively organised cells spitting out a lot of Sferics, something is missing, it just looks messy.

[A.J]

1 minute ago, Alderc said:

By now there really should have been large relatively organised cells spitting out a lot of Sferics, something is missing, it just looks messy.

it' a general lack of insolation in the relevant areas

[Guest]

1 minute ago, ancientsolar said:

there are masses of cloud over N France and the cloud formations are being dragged towards us,. however the storms themselves are staying in France,. near to the border

Yes anvils are shearing with the flow (North West) however convergence along the French coast is keeping them hugging the coastline and moving in a north, north easterly direction.

Plus they are surface based, so even if they did move into the Channel they would quickly lose intensity.

[Marcus_surfer]

Non event here

[TJS1998Tom]

1 minute ago, ajpoolshark said:

it' a general lack of insolation in the relevant areas

So today possibly being a bust for the South unless something later on kicks in?

[Barbmac]

Lots of dark clouds here, and some rain but not over us! Very humid,

 

 

[Mapantz]

It's really nice now.

Warmest it has been all day at 20.6°C

[Guest]

 

2 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

So today possibly being a bust for the South unless something later on kicks in?

I would suspect so. In fact what little Sferics activity there was appears to be reducing.

Edited May 31, 2018 by Alderc

[DIS1970]

Just now, Alderc said:

 

I would suspect so.

It's going to be a non event here i think, warm, yes, but the air seems too dry.

[TJS1998Tom]

2 minutes ago, Alderc said:

 

I would suspect so. In fact what little Sferics activity there was appears to be reducing.

Was expecting to see large storms already such as the ones similar to London the other day, the cloud seems to be holding their potential back