Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

[Swansonson69]

7 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I know it is possible but I doubt that’s the case here

Hence why I said one or two. 

[Derecho]

Lightning everywhere in the UK now!!!!!!!!!!! aside from Retford, Lincolnshire and Wigan

Edited May 29, 2018 by Quicksilver1989

[Swansonson69]

7 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

Lightning everywhere in the UK now!!!!!!!!!!! aside from Retford, Lincolnshire and Wigan

In fact if that was ever the case in the UK, they'd still be lightening in those places lol. 

[Derecho]

2 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

In fact if that was ever the case in the UK, they'd still be lightening in those places lol. 

Lol I really hope you get your storms but you may have to wait till later in the week I'm afraid. Anyway time to take a break from the thesis writing and go for a nap. Cya all tomorrow.

[Mizzle]

A strike in Egham????

Edit: Or a false positive

Edited May 29, 2018 by Mizzle

[Tom dewey likes thunder]

There is a have shower in the channel going Dorset way on met office rainfall radar

[alexisj9]

France stuff now going west.

[Mustang]

27 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

In fact if that was ever the case in the UK, they'd still be lightening in those places lol. 

Hey you left Chelmsford out, not a single flash of lightning seen and bone dry.

[Swansonson69]

30 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

Lol I really hope you get your storms but you may have to wait till later in the week I'm afraid. Anyway time to take a break from the thesis writing and go for a nap. Cya all tomorrow.

Thursday, Friday and saturday are looking the best for me. Although convective outlook puts me in the low zone for tomorrow lol. 

[Tom dewey likes thunder]

Some heavy showers  in channel  near south and west coast on rain fallrader on met office 

Edited May 29, 2018 by Tom dewey likes thunder

[Swansonson69]

Is there supposed to be cells firing up in the channel?

[Jordan S]

8 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

Is there supposed to be cells firing up in the channel?

Yes.

[Swansonson69]

12 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

Yes.

Ok, they look intense. 

[Jordan S]

3 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

Ok, they look intense. 

Yeah they do I think most of this cluster of thunderstorms over France will stop pushing northwards once it gets near the coast and push west across the channel sort of hugging the coast in a few hours time.

[Tom dewey likes thunder]

I was looking on lighting maps and lighting dot warminster in Wiltshire on real lighting maps but I think is false alarm

[Tom dewey likes thunder]

This lighting dots outside of bay of biscay on real lighting maps

[Swansonson69]

12 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

Yeah they do I think most of this cluster of thunderstorms over France will stop pushing northwards once it gets near the coast and push west across the channel sort of hugging the coast in a few hours time.

They already look like they're going west. 

[Jordan S]

4 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

They already look like they're going west. 

The forward motion of the storms is northwestwards but the wind  flow across southern uk and the channel is a north east easterly which kind of eroded the top part of the storms and pushes them westwards

[Jordan S]

This is where I think a band of heavy rain perhaps thundery still will effect us from France in a few hours time.

[Swansonson69]

18 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

This is where I think a band of heavy rain perhaps thundery still will effect us from France in a few hours time.

I don't know. I don't think it'll get that far if I'm honest. 

[Milocation]

2 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

I don't know. I don't think it'll get that far if I'm honest. 

I agree, it's extremely slow moving and will most likely fizzle out over the channel. Hopefully it makes it all the way! Fingers crossed!

Edited May 29, 2018 by LimoPreacherman

[Jordan S]

2 minutes ago, Swansonson69 said:

I don't know. I don't think it'll get that far if I'm honest. 

Fair enough but this is my prediction of the places likely to have it but ofcourse I could be wrong.

[Jordan S]

1 minute ago, LimoPreacherman said:

I agree, it's extremely slow moving and will most likely fizzle out over the channel. Hopefully it makes it all the way! Fingers crossed!

It should keep some of its intensity but it will be more of a rain maker than thunderstorms.

[Swansonson69]

4 minutes ago, LimoPreacherman said:

I agree, it's extremely slow moving and will most likely fizzle out over the channel. Hopefully it makes it all the way! Fingers crossed!

It already looks like it's decaying.

[Jordan S]

Just now, Swansonson69 said:

It already looks like it's decaying.

That’s the left side the part of rain on the right is what will probably push into Kent then other parts of southern England probably it’s northern limit being south midlands.