Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
DiagonalRedLine

Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 16/03/2018 Onwards

Recommended Posts

Guest

ive been prancing about in my shorts all afternoon and im down to just the 2 stellas...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Another stormy night very windy again with southerly gales.  Always feel that these very stormy periods precede changes in weather patterns. Currently 7c

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, Northernlights said:

Another stormy night very windy again with southerly gales.  Always feel that these very stormy periods precede changes in weather patterns. Currently 7c

Indeed it is incredibly mild, 12.9c at the moment. Also blawin an absolute bloody. Just peeked into the model thread. Some folks seem to be getting their hopes up, can't think why! 😜

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Noticeably milder today 10 degrees when I left to work back of 7.   Forecaster on 5 live suggested it might get colder on Xmas day very briefly then a quick return to milder westerly winds....😳.    I know the winter hasn’t officially started yet but there hasn’t even been a hint of colder weather this neck of the woods this year.  Usually we get a few frosts and flurries by now but not a thing.. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, mistyqueen said:

Indeed it is incredibly mild, 12.9c at the moment. Also blawin an absolute bloody. Just peeked into the model thread. Some folks seem to be getting their hopes up, can't think why! 😜

Lots of hopes being pinned on the SSW and with nothing else to pin anything onto we can hardly blame them.

It's mild, cloudy & breezy here. Kinda raining but more like drops in the breeze than real rain.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

9C here. Windy and wet. Meanwhile up in Perthshire after the snow came the floods. Just as well for the cottages that wall is there.

157045F8-F20B-4365-A87A-F8419E687558.jpeg

A7C1E503-15AC-4820-9E18-E46240E1CB6A.jpeg

  • Like 4
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bed didn't last - rain lashing on the window. Now THAT wasn't supposed to happen.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This is as good as it's going to get today, the weather is set to an indefinite slumber.

20181219_082155.thumb.jpg.5b47a035d2a14a66b0d10cbd539ca3f2.jpg

The best we can hope for is some haywire chart action and a big displacement of the MT.

Edited by CatchMyDrift
  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I can see a lot of unhappy people in the MT as the current models are looking poor for cold weather anytime soon. There is another SSW on it's way over the next week or so and the models are going to be all over the place because of that. This is what happened earlier this year and we done really well for cold and snow after an SSW took place. I think the models will start showing signs of proper cold and snow after a few more days. It is still only December and with this SSW happening earlier than the last one then I think we could be in for something special as we head through January. Obviously a SSW doesn't guarantee cold and snow but it certainly increases the chances. Remain positive people and have a great Christmas :santa-emoji: 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A nice sunny day here today with just a few small clouds floating past, much better after all of the dreich rainy days recently,  current conditions Temp 7.7 C pressure 996.92 hPa Falling 

IMG_0118.thumb.JPG.8ec0cb7ab6e33752353f96592501dd30.JPG

some charts for midday / early afternoon on Christmas day 

gfs-0-150.thumb.png.9648802fb90b1cf3e12924b7c3300e28.pnggfs-9-150.thumb.png.3c03a3a2d7d1c4dfd343f9e2c8b9c7d5.pnggfs-2-150.thumb.png.f60cc2743f7b82690697f455d5630d5e.png 

167805702_gfs-2-150(1).thumb.png.f2f0f9c5ed7cec680b50e3b714297a91.png1085354163_gfs-9-150(1).thumb.png.b6cc0573f72ffefded17e9058d8a50ff.png107820957_gfs-0-150(1).thumb.png.d3cde47a6466a6a60aeb4a6c05b70c4b.png  

ECM also show the ridge of high pressure moving in

ECM1-144.thumb.gif.8d907a7514da9b882847682a9a574b53.gifECM1-168.thumb.gif.d01b1441e58d379b745f356413b2bb9b.gif 

looks like the UKMO has a pesky little low trying to spoil the dry Christmas day theme 

UW144-21.thumb.gif.4d4a7f3975c7f5570530fff7e440718f.gif

overnight ICON

icon-9-156.thumb.png.354bf36f5dfce62f00c0a1419ea2f222.pngicon-2-156.thumb.png.13058b36da29e7840d1cef1bfb634601.pngicon-0-156.thumb.png.bddf3dddab438aeea453cd8d5005cc95.png  

GEM

gem-0-156.thumb.png.cbd9d773081c83a2d5e3ca847bbcc33b.pnggem-9-156.thumb.png.5bed9f34069a8fba4118c771d50e02e4.pnggem-2-156.thumb.png.bfdc5fb7a62140f5a2cd6da19e22f5b2.png  

NAVGEM

navgem-8-150.thumb.png.3d0cf2be3903d087fdd0cb6c55660d49.pngnavgem-0-150.thumb.png.f882a52f82fe1dbe81581a7c9413526f.png  

CMA

cma-0-156.thumb.png.71dc8f4ad3f258dedadae0deb096ad79.pngcma-2-156.thumb.png.bc4512bd52322f1c14eda9507febf370.pngcma-9-156.thumb.png.bd8eef9fcfa0c907a7f32ed065a126a7.png  

FIM

fim-0-156.thumb.png.e3773188aa9e69c9e42fb32fd36af97e.pngfim-2-156.thumb.png.7efce17164b9a488246a199f725f87ea.pngfim-9-156.thumb.png.a4918620e3a59dcd263bc38ab7b36abc.png  

CPTEC looks like the one you want for a chance of a white Christmas 

cptec-0-156.thumb.png.329062368a80b20bdd1dac841f150647.pngcptec-1-156.thumb.png.4e1d19280d5fba17fceaf89f6ae6c8e5.pngcptec-2-156.thumb.png.6bccb1c3eace8efef1746710784a489c.pngcptec-9-156.thumb.png.69adeec862dfb6a3fe309e69713b3622.png 

CFS

1 month cfs-0-156.thumb.png.5126453f89551231bc80423c5ecd326e.pngcfs-1-156.thumb.png.474d327488682e99aa74751cf5625087.pngcfs-3-156.thumb.png.2111e41e51762d6af30d7fcd978e43bc.png  

9 month cfs-3-168.thumb.png.42698274f5af7e575c5eec7fb3bbc439.png cfs-1-168.thumb.png.e890c90267c1c1099554ee52cc9580d5.png cfs-2-168.thumb.png.560ff462445dd525e5edf8e4eb800e91.png cfs-0-168.thumb.png.3d76671b41e67aaac1c331311d793122.png possibly something a little bit wintry / sleety

so it looks like a ridge of high pressure and a dry settled Christmas is the most likely outcome but still time for this to change, if I cant have a white Christmas I would rather a dry sunny and frosty one like those being shown  rather than a mild wet and windy one. 

:santa-emoji:🎁:reindeer-emoji:🎄

 

 

  

 

 

Edited by Kirkcaldy Weather
  • Like 7

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks for these @Kirkcaldy Weather  I was kind of hoping for a white snowy one but as I have to drive to Edinburgh on the day perhaps it is for the best that dry benign weather appears to be the form horse.

Edited by Norrance

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

After yesterday's deluge a much quieter affair today.

A bit of hazy sunshine in the morning then overcast for the rest of the day.  Dry and a high of 6C in light winds.

Discovered slugs all over the winter kale this afternoon, taking advantage of the milder weather the blighters  😡

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Form horse @Norrance🤣

Someone spending too much time in the model thread 😁

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, edo said:

Form horse @Norrance🤣

Someone spending too much time in the model thread 😁

Potentially...

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ah, but is it 'stella' and 'nailded on' yet or still 'F1'? 😉

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Some weekend snaw snaps (from Sunday). We got well whumphed and the snaw was the dense and claggy variety. Its weight took out the gutters on one side of the garage. The cover lasted through Sunday and Monday and still a covering of slushy melting wintry mush on Tuesday morning at first light. A decent wee event to start the season. 

IMG_20181216_0949131.jpg

IMG_20181216_0946066.jpg

IMG_20181216_0946097.jpg

IMG_20181216_0947127.jpg

IMG_20181216_0946144.jpg

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Off early this morning to Ellon. Slight overnight frost, calm, dark, but clear sky. Temp 3C. 

There was a beautiful sunrise over the North Sea, I couldn’t find a suitable lay-by on the A90 to stop and take a pic.

Tried out the new Western Peripheral from Stonehaven for the first time but was completely bamboozeled in the Dyce area – went through the airport short stay car park and had to pay a couple of LSD to be released. 

Homeward journey less eventful, cloudy, light rain, mildish,  6C.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Potentially...

😆clever

 

lets hope murrs sausage appears soon.... be nice to have a festive chill as a second best to snaw

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
52 minutes ago, Polar Gael said:

Its weight took out the gutters on one side of the garage.

The last time I lost gutters due to snow was 2009/2010 sometime. Does that mean we can add your broken gutters to the list of 'teleconnections' pointing to a similar winter outcome? 

45 minutes ago, ciel said:

Tried out the new Western Peripheral from Stonehaven for the first time but was completely bamboozeled in the Dyce area – went through the airport short stay car park and had to pay a couple of LSD to be released. 

No wonder you got lost. Dyce is confusing enough as it is, but if you were on LSD I'm not surprised you ended up in the short stay. Lucky having a few extra though to pay your way out. 🤩

I think with the models at the moment the best strategy is to sit back, relax, enjoy, Xmas and hope that Jan brings the winter that everyone, including the MetO (albeit cautiously) seem to think is coming. Until then I'll keep scanning the model runs, but no point getting disappointed or stressed. Personally I know that the snow will arrive in strength around 2-3rd week of Jan anyway. Why? Well that's when most kids across Scotland sit thier prelim exams, so snow then would cause maximum mayhem. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Morning, that's me broken up for Crimbo, yeehaa! Setting off for Cornwall on Friday, intending to take part in the boxing day sea dip so hoping the sea temperature won't be too brutal. No chance of snow for me but will check in to see how you're all faring up here. Merry Xmas to all, have a great one 😀

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A cold night last night and the frost is not lifting in shaded areas.  Currently 3.5C, dry and dead calm - plenty of blue sky to be seen towards the E/NE but quite cloudy here with limited hazy sunshine.  All in all a good day to get things done before the chaos of the kids going on holiday this afternoon!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 19/12/2018 at 20:16, Polar Gael said:

Ah, but is it 'stella' and 'nailded on' yet or still 'F1'? 😉

Or even FL as I have seen a few times recently.

Edited by Norrance
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Quinach said:

A cold night last night and the frost is not lifting in shaded areas.  Currently 3.5C, dry and dead calm - plenty of blue sky to be seen towards the E/NE but quite cloudy here with limited hazy sunshine.  All in all a good day to get things done before the chaos of the kids going on holiday this afternoon!

Same here fine day for working outside and both yesterday and today there were wintry looking showers out to the NE across the Firth making the horizon very colourful as the setting sun highlighted them in pink. In spite of the overnight frosts most of the bulbs are breaking the soil  surface so signs of spring already.

Edited by Northernlights
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...