South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards

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45 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Yep. And weak convective parameters develop tomorrow, for Southern counties. Weak mixed-layer CAPE, steepening lapse rates  associated with an upper trough, ahead of an occlusion will aid some instability.

 

TT indices tomorrow would've been great if we had some extra heat ie late Spring in to Summer.

Nothing drastic tomorrow, but a risk nonetheless. Hopefully, someone across the region might get lucky!

What does does the total totals chart show? 

[Mapantz]

3 minutes ago, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

What does does the total totals chart show? 

TT index is calculation from 850hPa & 500mb temps and  850hPa dew points. It's to give a guide to storm strength and how widespread / isolated they might be.

They shouldn't be taken as a literal source though, as many other factors contribute to whether storms may or may not develop. That's where skew-t diagrams help. However, I don't fully know how to read them, yet. I just know the basics in what to look for. knocker is pretty good with skew-t - worth a PM to him if you need to know more about them.

[EllyTech]

There's talk of cold and snow North of the M4 

[EllyTech]

Talking of storms, Estofex are onto it.

http://estofex.org

[Mapantz]

5 minutes ago, EllyTech said:

Talking of storms, Estofex are onto it.

http://estofex.org

Nice to see a newer map.

[EllyTech]

 Temp 7C  Humidity 91%  Dewpoint 5C   Rain last 24 hours 1.37 cm   Pressure 993.9

[matt111]

Reached 10.1°C so just about made it to double figures although a couple of degrees below the 12.2°C on the 2nd Jan. With the sea breeze, it didn't feel that mild here. Currently 5.4°C. 

[knocker]

Still broken cloud at the moment with Ac, Sc and Cu. Temp 9C and a breeze from the SE

[Dorsetbred]

Morning all, a dry bright start to the day, with a breeze in from the east and a temperature of 9.5C.

[karlos1983]

Happy Mother’s Day to all the Mum’s ? 

8.7C, off to the boys football and I won’t need to wear 17 layers ?

[Nights King]

1 hour ago, karlos1983 said:

Happy Mother’s Day to all the Mum’s ? 

8.7C, off to the boys football and I won’t need to wear 17 layers ?

8.7C, off to the boys football and I won’t need to wear 17 layers ? until next week.

[fromey]

28 minutes ago, Nights King said:

8.7C, off to the boys football and I won’t need to wear 17 layers ? until next week.

Going to my sons rugby game wearing a jumper and ordinary socks!! 

[MP-R]

First altocumulus castellanus clouds of the year visible through lower cloud. Other than the temperature, quite a plumey look about things.

[ThundersnowDays]

 

[Mapantz]

Thick, low cloud here. You cannot see any structure to the cloud, it's like a sheet. It's feeling pretty cold in that Easterly wind, as well.

[EllyTech]

23 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Thick, low cloud here. You cannot see any structure to the cloud, it's like a sheet. It's feeling pretty cold in that Easterly wind, as well.

And radar shows a sheet of rain inbound.

Its clouding over here.

Temp 11C  Humidity 76%  Dewpoint 7C   Rain last 24 hours 0.05 cm   Pressure 988.7 

Edited March 11, 2018 by EllyTech

[karlos1983]

I should have worn more layers it was bloody freezing 

[EllyTech]

Perhaps we will just get our colouring books out today. Its going to rain for most of us again. 

[EllyTech]

2 hours ago, Nights King said:

8.7C, off to the boys football and I won’t need to wear 17 layers ? until next week year. 

[matt111]

Despite being higher than yesterday at 10.9°C, it doesn’t feel that mild and if anything feels cooler than yesterday. 

[matt111]

According to the radar it’s not raining here but according to the window it definitely is raining fairly heavily. 

[dec10snow]

For all you gin crazy folk 

 

[Dorsetbred]

Having chased a bee round the garden, I spied my camelia is beginning to burst...spring cometh..

[Nights King]

9 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Having chased a bee round the garden, I spied my camelia is beginning to burst...spring cometh..

Poor thing looks abit hungry... 

they can start flowering from around December occasionally.

[MP-R]

Very dark brooding sky out there at the moment. Have had some classic convective 50p style raindrops but awaiting a proper downpour.