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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards


BlueHedgehog074

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset

6.8mm of rain from around midnight. Currently cloudy with some sunny spells. 9.6°C.

March rainfall is now at 90.4mm.

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Posted
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Fair to Foul...
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset

Sunny spells just starting Otherwise cloudy 8.2c. WSW Breeze 4-12 mph..

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

That’s quite interesting.... I don’t even have a rain gauge atm.... :pardon:

0D2FA9FB-16F3-4FF6-97E9-1480100900DF.thumb.png.3d47b3b4e78fe4cbb8462babc4725efa.png

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Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire

My humble request to Mother Nature is that if we must have a 3rd winter outbreak that it waits until late Good Friday to allow my local football teams to play their annual derby and is gone in time for me to be able to go out to work on the Tuesday morning!!

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Just peaked at 12.1c !

oh and a mystery 53.59mm of rain :rofl: 

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

oh and a mystery 53.59mm of rain :rofl: 

I did notice a 50' x 50' black cloud over your way, terribly unlucky!

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
9 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

I did notice a 50' x 50' black cloud over your way, terribly unlucky!

I’ve just figured out what’s happening ?‍♂️

My rain gauge has obviously decided to spring back to life, it’s in the back of my car, so when I’ve rocked up on my drive and the kids have moved it, BINGO Rain!! ? :oops:

on the plus side I know it’s working again 

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

Quite pleasant out there in the sun although still a nagging cool breeze. 8.7°C after a high of 10.1°C. 

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Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL

As the beginning of Easter comes into range of the UKMO, looks to me that the recurring theme (at the moment anyway!) is very much how I posted yesterday:

UKMO, GFS and ICON for Thursday 29th have that LP anchored to the West/South West of us feeding up increasingly milder air. Unfortunately, I would imagine this means mild, damp and drab weather for us over Easter. Yuk!

Modele UKMO - Carte prévisions   gfs-0-144.png?12  icon-0-144.png?23-12 

The ECM may still keep its colder evolution later but if it does, it's looking increasingly isolated!

EDIT: I missed out the GEM which although looking very similar on the 29th actually moves the low SE allowing cold and snow to spread in on Easter Sunday

Edited by wiltshire weather
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Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
16 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:

As the beginning of Easter comes into range of the UKMO, looks to me that the recurring theme (at the moment anyway!) is very much how I posted yesterday:

UKMO, GFS and ICON for Thursday 29th have that LP anchored to the West/South West of us feeding up increasingly milder air. Unfortunately, I would imagine this means mild, damp and drab weather for us over Easter. Yuk!

Modele UKMO - Carte prévisions   gfs-0-144.png?12  icon-0-144.png?23-12 

The ECM may still keep its colder evolution later but if it does, it's looking increasingly isolated!

EDIT: I missed out the GEM which although looking very similar on the 29th actually moves the low SE allowing cold and snow to spread in on Easter Sunday

EDIT no 2. - looks like the GFS also takes the LP SE eventually and brings in cold and snow for Easter Monday, although its fairly short lived.

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford

all these disagreements are annoying! Hopefully, they will come to an agreement by the end of this weekend. I'd like a last cold spell, then warm weather and thunderstorms! Then cold again by December or November

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
2 hours ago, karlos1983 said:

Just peaked at 12.1c !

oh and a mystery 53.59mm of rain :rofl: 

Just checked the garden.. is that what 54mm of rain looks like, jeepers...:cc_confused:

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
31 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

all these disagreements are annoying! 

Who's disagreeing? Let us know and we will send in the "Hit Squad" (AKA Karlos & Mapantz) they will put things to right. 

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
2 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Who's disagreeing? Let us know and we will send in the "Hit Squad" (AKA Karlos & Mapantz) they will put things to right. 

disagreements of the ecm and gfs lol

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL

After a so-so day it managed to climb to some warmth of 12.7°C at: 13:02 with some sunny intervals. Now I see rain falling on the conservatory roof, a wet evening looks  on the menu..

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

:bad:

B5F4A3CE-0F14-48C3-98A6-445A3168C7E6.thumb.png.d4f49d1b52391e9d7f85c31287a2cc8d.png

 

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
11 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

:bad:

B5F4A3CE-0F14-48C3-98A6-445A3168C7E6.thumb.png.d4f49d1b52391e9d7f85c31287a2cc8d.png

 

Yellow rain and not yellow snow....Yuck...

Lets see  how much your non existent rain gauge collects tonight

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
2 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Yellow rain and not yellow snow....Yuck...

Lets see  how much your non existent rain gauge collects tonight

It’s back outside now, so hopefully it registers some rain, now that it’s .... err .. the rain ☺️

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford

Downgrade alert! I would like a cold and snowy Easter but hopes are now low. My cut off point for wanting cold weather is now 15th April. My cold weather excitement will be back on November 15th. Very low chance, but this might come back at T120, like the 2nd Beast from the East last weekend.

Edited by Leon1
Dunno.
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Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
36 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

Downgrade alert! I would like a cold and snowy Easter but hopes are now low. My cut off point for wanting cold weather is now 15th April. My cold weather excitement will be back on November 15th. Very low chance, but this might come back at T120, like the 2nd Beast from the East last weekend trip. 

Yep, looks like for us down south, the likelihood of an Easter cold, snowy spell has all but disappeared on the main models this evening.

Still time for it to change of course but that's how it looks right now.

I wouldn't have minded if it was exchanged for some lovely springlike and sunny weather but that looks in short supply unfortunately :angry:

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
18 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:

Yep, looks like for us down south, the likelihood of an Easter cold, snowy spell has all but disappeared on the main models this evening.

Still time for it to change of course but that's how it looks right now.

I wouldn't have minded if it was exchanged for some lovely springlike and sunny weather but that looks in short supply unfortunately :angry:

Mmm.... same here, my rated weather goes

1. Cold and Snowy

2. Hot and Sunny

3. Thunderstorms.

4. Winds

5. anything other than cold rain and damp

6. anything other than cold rain and damp

7. anything other than cold rain and damp

8. anything other than cold rain and damp

9. anything other than cold rain and damp

10. anything other than cold rain and damp

11. anything other than cold rain and damp

12. anything other than cold rain and damp

13. COLD RAIN AND DAMP

Edited by Leon1
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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
16 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

Mmm.... same here, my rated weather goes

1. Cold and Snowy

2. Hot and Sunny

3. Thunderstorms.

4. Winds

5. anything other than cold rain and damp

6. anything other than cold rain and damp

7. anything other than cold rain and damp

8. anything other than cold rain and damp

9. anything other than cold rain and damp

10. anything other than cold rain and damp

11. anything other than cold rain and damp

12. Dull and cool

13. COLD RAIN AND DAMP

This would be mine apart from the addition of the bit in bold. 

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