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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards


BlueHedgehog074

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Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
5 minutes ago, Nights King said:

I'm mildly excited by possible round 2 :D

Who needs spring anyway :yahoo:

 

I've come round to that view now ;-) I want 7 inches!

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

Must be really annoying if you live in that void with heavy  snow all around you :wallbash:

Screenshot_20180318-151905.png

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford

that ppn in the channel is growing now, but when will it intensify??

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Posted
  • Location: Paignton, Devon
  • Location: Paignton, Devon
37 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Just looked in on the SW

Torquay looks to be bang in the firing line for the streamer from NOW!

Heavy snow!!!

Living in Paignton and only a couple of miles from Torquay, I can confirm heavy sideways snow here. Been non stop since 10am. Pretty impressive as we say we don’t get snow down here ! Then get it twice in 2 weeks 

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Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl

Hamburger cheeseburger lettuce and tomato - Woodfalls, Redlynch.. same thing ?

EDC68105-9D35-468A-A54A-C76E934DA536.png

0C52AB18-394A-4A21-8C6C-B5DA0E9E63BA.png

Edited by CheesepuffScott
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Posted
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers and cold winters with snow.
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL

12z Icon develops a feature tonight, not sure if it will get as far north as Bristol?

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Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire

Looking at what's gathering to the SE and thinking the effort to clear then salt an exit for my wife to go to work in her car in the morning has been futile! Other than to burn off some calories after eating too much yesterday!

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
5 minutes ago, Blizzardof82 said:

12z Icon develops a feature tonight, not sure if it will get as far north as Bristol?

It’s start point is all wrong though. Doesn’t even have that ppn over the SE that has developed for the same time. So I think the models are struggling here. Fascinating stuff 

9041AFB2-4F06-4270-BB50-079D72D6EB22.thumb.png.edb8608d85aba18f2d8f156873136bee.pngCFA6F336-8CEC-4271-BF07-304B9B1EBDFA.thumb.png.33ad355dc315b6e61f7f6111b2a418d5.png

Edited by karlos1983
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Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
16 minutes ago, Steve Caiels said:

Well I was resisting posting as I didn't want to let the SW team down, and it seems it might not be over just yet! 

So, as you have asked for updates @Man With Beard, I'd say at the moment, it is sadly another "close, but no cigar" IMBY,  Most of the South Hams has been hammered, but the extreme South West of the South Hams has its shields up again.

We had an hour of snow from 11:30 that turned everything white apart from the roads. It has all but gone now.  The kids in the local park have resorted to using their sledges on the slide!

I'm eagerly watching the next batch heading across from Kingsbridge, but it continues to evaporate before it reaches here.  After that, it looks like there is another chance coming in from the South, but my suspicion, based on radar progress alone, is that the Eastern edge will break up and anything that is left will be to the West.  

Sorry if that sounds negative - I've had a great time, really I have!  I shall remember the fine powder snow and roaring Easterly for many years to come, but the reality is that the snowfall *volumes* have not been that dramatic in this area.

 

Yes I noticed that weird gap on the radar after I posted. A tale of two halfs in Devon then! Hope you get lucky with the next batches.

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford

when is the next snow coming for us north-eastern south-westerners?!

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
3 minutes ago, Blizzardof82 said:

12z Icon develops a feature tonight, not sure if it will get as far north as Bristol?

That's the PPN currently over SE England.

The upper level steering winds would suggest a westerly movement towards Basingstoke & Newbury before swinging more WSW over Mendips and Dorset/South Hampshire.

Developing situation which will need close radar watching, but that's how I am seeing it at the moment.

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
3 minutes ago, AWD said:

That's the PPN currently over SE England.

The upper level steering winds would suggest a westerly movement towards Basingstoke & Newbury before swinging more WSW over Mendips and Dorset/South Hampshire.

Developing situation which will need close radar watching, but that's how I am seeing it at the moment.

Developing quite well now with some decent echoes mixed in, could be interesting last hurrah to winter...

How many times has that been said this spring :rofl:

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford

ppn for later tonight has been spreading northwards and southwards and now looks more defined rather than a short shower. heavier precipitation is gradually becoming wider

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Posted
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers and cold winters with snow.
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL
8 minutes ago, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

Amazing how it's its melted on roads pavements and paths despite the temp remaining below freezing. Damn mild weather! 

That will be the tarmac and concrete acting like storage heaters after this weeks milder weather.

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
4 minutes ago, Nights King said:

Developing quite well now with some decent echoes mixed in, could be interesting last hurrah to winter...

How many times has that been said this spring :rofl:

GFS develops it ? as does the Aperge 

C8FD06D8-BB69-46F9-A598-07A539CB22EF.thumb.gif.1f000ed9390f8b38ad1f87d681606a73.gif82859C24-E760-4646-999C-6588F1766C08.thumb.gif.dfc3fb1ed5ea38da438b8b07ca464f05.gif0D12872A-D5CD-4753-ACEF-29F88F556952.thumb.gif.7475e7a3da514ec186fc2194f5b693e4.gif9FFF8172-B75C-459D-B1A2-BD031B7E8600.thumb.gif.cf13e03250b72e13d9ab7e05bde656de.gif

Aperge

13126B4C-AEB5-434C-8BA6-C8535D2AD4FF.thumb.png.e422ff76e99d93a1cc75347dd681b9b3.png

Awaits Hirlam aka God model

Edited by karlos1983
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Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
8 minutes ago, AWD said:

That's the PPN currently over SE England.

The upper level steering winds would suggest a westerly movement towards Basingstoke & Newbury before swinging more WSW over Mendips and Dorset/South Hampshire.

Developing situation which will need close radar watching, but that's how I am seeing it at the moment.

I don't want to miss out *SOB*

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

GFS develops it ?

C8FD06D8-BB69-46F9-A598-07A539CB22EF.thumb.gif.1f000ed9390f8b38ad1f87d681606a73.gif82859C24-E760-4646-999C-6588F1766C08.thumb.gif.dfc3fb1ed5ea38da438b8b07ca464f05.gif0D12872A-D5CD-4753-ACEF-29F88F556952.thumb.gif.7475e7a3da514ec186fc2194f5b693e4.gif9FFF8172-B75C-459D-B1A2-BD031B7E8600.thumb.gif.cf13e03250b72e13d9ab7e05bde656de.gif

Awaits Hirlam aka God model

overview_009.thumb.jpg.5dbd0c91dbfb190495e46e02c06aa05d.jpg

overview_012.thumb.jpg.6ae4621109f31800a181b2aadd2b1c5d.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
1 minute ago, AWD said:

overview_009.thumb.jpg.5dbd0c91dbfb190495e46e02c06aa05d.jpg

overview_012.thumb.jpg.6ae4621109f31800a181b2aadd2b1c5d.jpg

i prefer the hirlam

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
5 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

I don't want to miss out *SOB*

Developing situation so don't take any forecast to literally for now.

All I'm saying is Hampshire & Dorset are at greatest risk of further snowfall tonight but some bordering northern counties like Wiltshire &  Somerset could get involved too if it continues to develop on it's northern edge as the radar currently suggests.

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford

sBkC9FgguLJ4_2mmKbx_KwCcOntIVA63gCKF-RqDNL4mAmXWkPq9PMkLnwWYxEj3u51hxsFxscX_02cWXXVFfRsDZmJj_HstZ6Ze0B_O79hEfgBAoNvss7LpR9LREbUj9w5Ydu3QGN_65PG-IcXysrPZzGTIJhPfEGglf1L9zGiHFbBifGgt3OZ2biyatfHB7wfiVFE7nBXpGHb4wSLH_TA1GqhVNOGkCkjrVXlax7HRf_HEYpZN-NLKBir0mIEtKfR7xjr9hZCYdOOZOOJ4JpY7oRWxFFxGykUuu-op8eKYsKFJQWVtTpKowN9z3opm3JYINeQQXi8Ku4lI5kvb0tuojxumqV3X1zYZ4emhzqxG5yNZfLhGJIsKw-hOO7PYd-1ZTP-z0MJFp0dxfZiTM76Q2dt9KNH0jSnMo_6LPcW4xx-kitxYdKdaOhNhcAMb7DwzPdIZfn89q2NiImuWxRjZXu1EahEPKHG6dM9Lq0zB-kC9OIfKG6ntrQPo9b1QRMxvLOMf08mQGlrAUt4gR3xHwCtW6_S5XqBR_-KBpNeZMUD27wZjKcr1qrbkrZd7UvHwjAio7g2nRgfaa7vE5izJoEEROAfee35AMtAR=w1732-h974-nofound the coolest icicles on a walk earlier!

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
3 minutes ago, AWD said:

overview_009.thumb.jpg.5dbd0c91dbfb190495e46e02c06aa05d.jpg

overview_012.thumb.jpg.6ae4621109f31800a181b2aadd2b1c5d.jpg

✅ Hirlam 

GFS

✅ Icon

✅ Aperge

something dramatic would need to happen for us to miss out then... ? 

gonna need another fridge pack ?

Edited by karlos1983
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Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth

More snow during the night? Nooooo, I need sleep????

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