South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards

[matt111]

Looks very dark to the SW of here now. 

[matt111]

Well that very dark threatening sky delivers a couple of minutes of moderate rain. 

[Mapantz]

2 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Well that very dark threatening sky delivers a couple of minutes of moderate rain. 

Instability rapidly disappeared after the sun went down. CAPE levels were quite modest this afternoon, more so with any sunshine. I can't see anything other than rain for the most part now.

[festivalking]

Utter chaos on the roads getting out of Plymouth tonight. That's what a couple hours of downpours will do. More disruption than yesterday' yellow warning for rain!!!

[AWD]

Latest 12z Arpege model shows a respectable "spring" covering of snow across many parts of our region by the end of the weekend;

How much of this would actually survive the stronger sun etc remains to be seen.

[Andy Bown]

7 minutes ago, AWD said:

Latest 12z Arpege model shows a respectable "spring" covering of snow across many parts of our region by the end of the weekend;

How much of this would actually survive the stronger sun etc remains to be seen.

Also the ground temperature beforehand, last time it had been freezing for nearly a week whereas even tomorrow will be comfortably 12c after a week of 10c to 13c maxes and not even any chilly nights.

[Nights King]

2 minutes ago, Andy Bown said:

Also the ground temperature beforehand, last time it had been freezing for nearly a week whereas even tomorrow will be comfortably 12c after a week of 10c to 13c maxes and not even any chilly nights.

The little warmth the ground has gained wont last long with a strong sub zero breese saturday night into sunday...

The easterly wind and low dp's will suck heat out of ground far quicker than some gentle radiation frost.. 

Edited March 15, 2018 by Nights King

[wiltshire weather]

9 minutes ago, Nights King said:

The little warmth the ground has gained wont last long with a strong sub zero breese saturday night into sunday...

The easterly wind and low dp's will suck heat out of ground far quicker than some gentle radiation frost.. 

There is very little sun around Saturday or Sunday either, so I would think any snow that does fall may build up quite nicely.

[karlos1983]

App looking good!

[Nights King]

My met app shows light snow for sunday but what is impressive is 2 ice days forecast mid march 

Shame I got no heating oil left though  It is currently a mild 10c in most of house with electric heater on in  bedroom 

Edited March 15, 2018 by Nights King

[Polar Bear]

3 hours ago, Mapantz said:

Managed 12.3°C today. Even got the first lawn mow of the year in.

 How on earth did you manage to mow the lawn after all that rain? Ours is on a hill and drains well but is saturated. Do you have a special machine? 

[Mapantz]

3 minutes ago, Polar Bear said:

 How on earth did you manage to mow the lawn after all that rain? Ours is on a hill and drains well but is saturated. Do you have a special machine? 

Surfaces had dried out completely here. The ground is a sandy loam to around 5ft, then gravel under that, so water drains away instantly, no matter if 2 inches falls in an hour.

[Polar Bear]

16 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Surfaces had dried out completely here. The ground is a sandy loam to around 5ft, then gravel under that, so water drains away instantly, no matter if 2 inches falls in an hour.

Ah ok. Quite lucky then. ??Sorry meant fortunate. .. am tired. 

Edited March 15, 2018 by Polar Bear

[Mapantz]

4 minutes ago, Polar Bear said:

Ah ok. Quite lucky then. ??Sorry meant fortunate. .. am tired. 

Lucky when rain is a factor, but it's a pain in the weeble during Summer. I have to mix in some organic matter to help hold the water in the soil better, so plants don't die off. No joke, you can poor so much water on the soil, but the next day, it'll just be grey dust to around 8 or 9" down.

[Zephyr]

The stick insects are back 

 

[Man With Beard]

Hi all ... I made a vow to myself at the end of the last cold spell to cut right back on my time on the weather charts ... well that's gone well and truly out of the window in the past 24 hours!! Couldn't miss out on the beast mark 2!!

So many odd ways there may be snowfall over the weekend (or none of course) - front moving south Saturday, the dregends of N Sea convection, trough moving up from the south Saturday night, convergence zones - hey, I'm not even ruling out another channel streamer on Sunday night/Monday morning. 

Good luck to everyone who still wants snow!!!

Edited March 15, 2018 by Man With Beard

[khodds]

13 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

The stick insects are back 

 

Love a nice stick insect; as long as it runs our way!

[Frosty_wsm]

Can't see the half marathon that's supposed to be taking place this Sunday morning in Weston going ahead going by the forecasts in seeing. 

[jethro]

1 hour ago, Mapantz said:

Lucky when rain is a factor, but it's a pain in the weeble during Summer. I have to mix in some organic matter to help hold the water in the soil better, so plants don't die off. No joke, you can poor so much water on the soil, but the next day, it'll just be grey dust to around 8 or 9" down.

What you need is some of this stuff, it's expensive if you want to treat all your garden but absolutely invaluable if you have plants that you continually have to water. http://www.treesandhedging.co.uk/broadleaf-p4-water-storing-granules/p568

[EllyTech]

3 hours ago, Nights King said:

My met app shows light snow for sunday but what is impressive is 2 ice days forecast mid march 

Shame I got no heating oil left though  It is currently a mild 10c in most of house with electric heater on in  bedroom 

You're going to feel like the poor Broad Beans then, they've already been frost bitten and are now facing another cruel onslaught. 

[jethro]

7 hours ago, EllyTech said:

You're going to feel like the poor Broad Beans then, they've already been frost bitten and are now facing another cruel onslaught. 

Next year if you're doing autumn sowing for an earlier crop, go for broad bean 'Aquadulce Claudia', they're as tough as old boots and withstand anything the weather can throw at them - you'd have to have another 1947/63 to finish them off.

[kumquat]

Beautiful sunny morning here - balmy sunshine on the patio. 8c 'feels like' 18c in the suntrap. Difficult to believe we might see some snow this weekend.

[EllyTech]

59 minutes ago, jethro said:

Next year if you're doing autumn sowing for an earlier crop, go for broad bean 'Aquadulce Claudia', they're as tough as old boots and withstand anything the weather can throw at them - you'd have to have another 1947/63 to finish them off.

Thanks Jethro. I'll take that as an edorsement for the very one's I put in. They are renown for hardiness but still, the little 4 inch plants have some blackened foliage. Fleece surrounds them. I think it was simply the brutal wind chill that got them. I hope they bounce back. Thanks.

[jtay]

The HIRLAM is going with....

...which is nice.

[noonoo418]

There must be snow potential on the way....the MAD thread is becoming a bit of a slugfest, with sadly little sensible discussion!!