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Captain Shortwave

SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards

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1 minute ago, Nick F said:

Need a lifting mechanism to bring more snow across the SE, cold front clearing south brought the lift for snow this morning, north of our region there are sunny spells generating enough surface heating as well as showers feeding off the North Sea thanks to colder uppers.

We have a lot of cloud cover plus subsidence following clearance following the front which will prevent showers for now, but convergence forecast through and downwind of Thames Estuary + wave in frontal boundary close to south coast later and overnight likely to develop snow again.

Not just the slightly lower upper temps nick but more relevantly the upper cold pool is crossing n midlands and n England. To think that was our prize only a few days ago! That would have provided better coverage for the region. Now it’s the streamer and wave on the front headed along the channel. 

To add that the metoffice don’t actually make it snow in one particular place ........... their warnings reflect probability from their models. We have seen only couple weeks ago that a small variation in the flow high up will affect the distribution of the shower lines. 

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Had a bit in the early hours and some more early morning, then woke up and my bit was gone:vava:

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You can tell it's the weekend, plenty of bread and milk on the shelves, It's the Alcohol flying off the shelves this time :yahoo:

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1 minute ago, lassie23 said:

Had a bit in the early hours and some more early morning, then woke up and my bit was gone:vava:

Yes but what about the snow :rofl:

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All very 2013-esque here: 43 mph NE'erly wind, 0C and occasional flakes of blowing snow...Vile!:good:

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If the so called Thames streamer actually followed the Thames, South Bucks would be in with a shot! Any chance the winds could turn more east than northeast? :cc_confused:

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And whilst those big showers look good on the radar and satellite over n England, the sunshine between them is melting cover in most cases. At least we have cloud cover to protect what little we have! 

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16 minutes ago, sunnijim said:

The warning kicks in at 4pm for the region,so not sure where you get 12pm from?

Imo the met office will err on the side of caution anyway with a warning  like that,so perhaps more likely after 1700 to start causing issues.

Heavy snow symbols on the Met Office site from last night were showing from 12pm, the warning though is from 4pm.

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Latest TAF for LHR is showing heavy snow showers and blowing snow for this evening, especially later in the evening.

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The winds picking up here which is helping to dry the ground but the snow isn’t melting as no sun. Good combo for later 

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Latest fax issued for 6am tmrw shows a variation in the low to our sw compared with previous output for noon. now a trough shown heading west across the West Country - this looks to be what Hirlam has been showing being thrown up overnight as the wave moves west across n France 

with the uncertainty of a wave system heading east to west, there will be some surprises come the morning - that’s good and bad! 

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Been snowing steadily here, a mixture of heavy and light. Im not too fussed about the snow depths. The thing that amazes me is the fact that it is very cold and some areas are seeing heavy and lying snow and it is mid March!!!. It is truly amazing.

Hope everyone enjoys themselves :)

 

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How I wish that system moving up from france tomoz,was moving this way,why is it so difficult to get a decent system,producing those totals,here in the south east,instead of,yet again,showers,and having to be lucky to be underneath a shower train,fingers crossed,i'll be underneath it later,but like last time,I think I may just miss out on the heavier stuff,shouldn't moan too much,as its still snowing outside,3hrs now,not settling yet,but remarkable considering yesterday was beautifully sunny and 13c,this why I love the weather in britain,so unpredictable,and thankfully so,or there wouldn't be great weather forums like this.hopefully we all get pummeled later

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Some of the heaviest snow Ive ever seen falling for hours down here and none of it is settling...i feel as sick as a parrot...we would have had a foot by now if it has settled....so dissapointed

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3 minutes ago, snowy weather said:

Been snowing steadily here, a mixture of heavy and light. Im not too fussed about the snow depths. The thing that amazes me is the fact that it is very cold and some areas are seeing heavy and lying snow and it is mid March!!!. It is truly amazing.

Hope everyone enjoys themselves :)

 

in the UK we are more likely to have snow in March and April that we are in December.  Contrary to popular conceptions (eg, christmas cards,etc).  thats always been the reality and not just because of global warming.  If anything maybe they should consider changing our winter season instead of being December, January and February to February, March and April instead?

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3 minutes ago, EML Network said:

Some of the heaviest snow Ive ever seen falling for hours down here and none of it is settling...i feel as sick as a parrot...we would have had a foot by now if it has settled....so dissapointed

Oh dear 😬 same here unfortunately. Out of interest what radio station are you on ? 

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The south north sea snow making machine looks a bit iffy for showers for Kent this afternoon at the mo..

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DP’s really taking a tumble now and wind howling and on it’s way to a more ENE tilt at this end of the Estuary. Roads/Pavements drying rapidly. Lovely jubbly

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3 minutes ago, snow freak said:

in the UK we are more likely to have snow in March and April that we are in December.  Contrary to popular conceptions (eg, christmas cards,etc).  thats always been the reality and not just because of global warming.  If anything maybe they should consider changing our winter season instead of being December, January and February to February, March and April instead?

Bit hard to justify winter being anything other than the coldest three months of the year on average.

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A total pee take this, so much snow falling, turning to rain the second it makes contact with any surface. 

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Good to see snow falling lightly without any radar returns on show. I'm taking that as a positive for later. Temp in H.bay gradually dropping close  to freezing now.

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At Watford snow started approx. 0500 to 0600 hours, mostly wet but temps gradually dropping, now +0.1*, so just about freezing depending on accuracy of thermometer but the wind and wet ground is likely to cool the ground below freezing now - not bad considering we were in double figures yesterday. For the last couple of hours snow been fairly light, though there were heavier spells earlier but still patchy where it has melted on warmer patches off ground - where it has settle about 1cm in depth. 

Wondering if the freezing temperatures will affect the cherry blossom on our tree which started blooming about a week ago.

During the course of writing this temp now at zero, humidity 81% and during the last 8 hours the bar, which had been rising, is now steady.   

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