SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards

[Eastnorthwest]

Just now, sunnijim said:

Yes,the GFS and met office are calling for some snow over the snow starved parts of Sussex (especially toward the South coast) after 5pm until midnight.

Last chance saloon for snowfall in the South.

The updated fax chart for midnight Monday clearly shows the cold front responible running East to West across Sussex

S J you raskle, how's tricks ,you might get some coming out of the low countries tonight ,and as you say there potential for the following night,

Good to see your still around bud,

E N W

[Tom Quintavalle]

Not long for E.Kent to wait now, looks to be holding together, over Belgium.

Regards,

Tom.

[Daniel]

1 minute ago, TomSE12 said:

Not long for E.Kent to wait now, looks to be holding together, over Belgium.

Regards,

Tom.

Are you on about the tiny blob 

[Rob Deacon]

Morning everyone

We got a dusting here in Haywards Heath West Sussex, 6mm to be exact

As it is the weekend I was up for taking the family to the snow with our sledges, can anyone help and tell me which direction I need to travel to find better snow enough for sledging?

[Dorset_mist]

Not very scientific, but here’s the bin lid. For what it’s worth the snow was better for snowman ⛄️ building with the ‘Mini Beast’

[Tom Quintavalle]

2 minutes ago, Daniel said:

Are you on about the tiny blob 

No, the band over Belgium, heading towards the southern N.Sea/Channel.

http://www.meteox.com/gmapstatic.aspx?zoom=7&type=zoom&x=208&y=256

Regards,

Tom.

 

[Daniel]

1 minute ago, TomSE12 said:

No, the band over Belgium, heading towards the southern N.Sea/Channel.

http://www.meteox.com/gmapstatic.aspx?zoom=7&type=zoom&x=208&y=256

Regards,

Tom.

 

Thank you 

[nick sussex]

Wouldn’t it be funny if the band crossing the Channel produces more than last night for coastal counties .

The fax chart does show a cold front in the Channel at 6 am tomorrow , it’s this which has moved west.

[sunnijim]

55 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:

Lottie, keep an eye on that light "sneeuw/neige", about to leave the Belgian coast.

Regards,

Tom.

It may well be late afternoon evening before any real develoment affects the far South with that one (according to the met office anyway)

Just in case the first lot dicipates and we get another round of mass disappointment in here!!

[sunnijim]

15 minutes ago, Eastnorthwest said:

S J you raskle, how's tricks ,you might get some coming out of the low countries tonight ,and as you say there potential for the following night,

Good to see your still around bud,

E N W

Hey! Funny thing is I have been in SE London since yesterday at 7am and drove into a blizzard at Junction 3 on the M25.

Home is near Brighton now and I  have been watching  developments with interest down there from the snow fields of SE London.precoius little so far down there.

I' m driving back to Brighton  later, into another blizzard maybe ( more hope than expectation).and the SE coasts first decent snow from this cold spell.

The reason I flag all that is because during thunderstorm season I often seem stuck in the wrong part of SE England.

[Tom Quintavalle]

18/03/2018  12:08 LILLE (59) Alt. 27m Neige forte Une forte averse de neige non prévue vient de passer sur Lille. Pas de tenue au sol à part sur l'herbe. Température froide : -1,8°C actu. 18/03/2018  12:14

Wormhout (59)Alt. 19m

Neige forte

--

Edited March 18, 2018 by TomSE12

[nick sussex]

Some colder 850s do filter back in towards the se later this evening and into the early hours.

Currently the models aren’t interested in any convection after the band of precip clears but too early to rule out some lighter convection at that time.

The flow looks around ene so might the Thames Estuary help a little there.

Anyway it’s a case of nowcasting for the rest of the day.

[alexisj9]

4 hours ago, Surrey said:

So later on is kind of tricky, it wasn't showing till yesterday afternoon some models disagree more more agree with each other.. 

GFS

HIRLAM (Did really well last night)

AROME Did okay last night but over did it on streamer potential 

 

 

NMM

 

 

EURO4 says no, but did so badly last night

 

I guess it will be a wait and see nothing special showing maybe 1-3cm more on top of anything laying I think the met are probs holding back for now

 

Can already see a little blob leaving the continent on radar, may be it's starting.

[Tom Quintavalle]

^^^^^^^ Heavy snow, being reported from Lille and Wormhout, just inside the Belgian border.

Regards,

Tom.

[James Oliver]

Can confirm very light snow in Dover 

[shotski]

Surely this is very wrong ??

im not expecting anymore snow for my area today. Where do they get their information from. 

[alexisj9]

57 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

For ice in se england 

Good warning to be fair, got about a mm of frozen snow or black Ice down here, froze last night and still there. Very slippery.

Edited March 18, 2018 by alexisj9

[Eastnorthwest]

25 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:

Not long for E.Kent to wait now, looks to be holding together, over Belgium.

Regards,

Tom.

Hopefully thats a trough coming toward the southeast  and will expand as it heads w N W 

[Daniel*]

56 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

For ice in se england 

Snow and ice!

It would be ironic if some in the south east see more..

[Kent Blizzard]

Nice to see people bit more level headed and calmer in here today.

Yesterday in here we witnessed flying goats, sledges, wellington boots, carrots, Lumps of coal the lot apart from snowballs 

Edited March 18, 2018 by Kent Blizzard

[Tom Quintavalle]

Some of our snow cover, on road/pavement, here in Lee SE12, seems to have evaporated, through sublimation, just like the other week. No sign of wetness. Still lies on grass, though.

Regards,

Tom.

[Stargazer]

5cm of snow here in Reading - the half marathon has had to be cancelled for the first time in its history.

[Matty J]

A good snow event for March, that can't be denied. However i do feel short changed aome what!

It's ironic how we had an Easterly flow, with moisture and yet parts of the Midlands have far more snow than us! We sat under thick cloud and snow all day yesterday but it was so light it could have snowed for a year and you still wouldn't have had enough for a snowman!

Midlands north were battered with constant heavy showers which continued all night long and showers are somewhat more exciting than a few flakes in the wind for 15 hrs.

Anyway we've had the best winter for snow since around 2010, in terms of number of falls. We must of had 8-10 separate falls now, granted not all settled but snow still fell.

Ready for spring now please!

[kold weather]

Probably a little snow this evening but I suspect probably a dusting for most, not too strong looking and pretty small coverage and quick moving. 1-2hrs of light-mod snow it seems at the moment IF it does make it. Far from certain.

It will be a nice bonus but I'd not expect much at all. Expectations need to be low IMO

[Bobby93]

Latest radar shows a few very light showers developing around the Thames estuary/Essex coast area. 

Not likely to be anything but maybe a few flakes of snow possible.