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Captain Shortwave

East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward

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We should do better tonight. From about 10pm the wind changes and should push showers inland north of the estuary. Might find the two SE threads are the opposite of what happened last night as Kent loses most of the showers!!!!

Just my humble opinion of course :)

 

 

Edited by Jason M

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1 minute ago, mishy said:

Is that moving as one lump? :)

You'd hope it will develop into more of a wide blob..problem is convection is breaking up over Norfolk, Suffolk....can only hope:)...be nice for those Thames north to see snow tonight.

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31 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

Finally some heavier showers starting to push into Norfolk in a discreet line. Some bright echoes exiting the Wash.

How far inland do you think they’ll get, Matt?

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Winds aren't favourable for us in NW London until tomorrow morning . We might get a dusting as the winds change in the early hours but nothing to get excited about. Bad news is that there seems to be a lot less PPN when the winds do change which would be typical of our luck. Eyes towards Thursday and Friday I recon.

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this is  for over  night

gfs-2-6.png

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Bloody cold under the clear skies now. Can really feel it now the sun is down because to be fair it didn't feel *all* that cold today due to the lack of wind. 

Looks like the action for our region will be mainly to my North tonight for a change. Hope you get something!

 

Edited by Number 23

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4 minutes ago, icy toes said:

How far inland do you think they’ll get, Matt?

Not sure to be honest, progress at the moment is very very slow as the wind is still very light.

The temperature is down to -3C already with a slight dusting of what could be only be described as icing sugar. 

Edited by Captain Shortwave

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1 hour ago, 80sWeather said:

This always happens during an Easterly here mate, the snow showers are weak around Cambs too.  

Thats a North Easterly a proper easterly would have probably developed a Thames Streamer that gave most of London snow 

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3 minutes ago, Swave Snow said:

Thats a North Easterly a proper easterly would have probably developed a Thames Streamer that gave most of London snow 

been rubbish here Swave during this cold snap. Was hoping for at least something on Thursday/Friday but even that seems to be getting downgraded

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Everything to the east of us in Essex at the moment.  Not even Southend look in the game at moment, let alone Rayleigh.   Kent doing well again. Hope the winds shift soon.

Been a great two weeks watching this unfold in the models. To date, the event itself is a little disappointing (for me) although some have done really well with several inches.  However, with a little more luck, several inches could have been par with some getting a foot plus.

i can't complain.  Two snow events this winter, 9cm in December and 4cm today.  I'd have taken that last October.  Or have my standards dropped ? 

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8 minutes ago, Snowman31 said:

been rubbish here Swave during this cold snap. Was hoping for at least something on Thursday/Friday but even that seems to be getting downgraded

yes snowman but not sure why Thursday and Friday should be getting downgraded yet, its still 3 days till Friday and a low pressure can do strange things with no jet stream to steer it

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1 minute ago, Sno' problem said:

The showers moving into east Anglia have a lot more strength to them and the ppn conveyor from the Dutch Coast is beginning to fire up again: https://www.buienradar.nl/wereldwijd/europa/zoom/actueel?lat=51.31&lon=0.252

Dutch radar.png

Agree much more potential for snow surprises tonight...winds veering more East put North of the Thames at least in the game

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2 minutes ago, Swave Snow said:

yes snowman but not sure why Thursday and Friday should be getting downgraded yet, its still 3 days till Friday and a low pressure can do strange things with no jet stream to steer it

I hope you are right. Been frustrating so far

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When Devon gets more snow from an easterly than Newmarket suffolk you know its time to give up haha

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Looks like north Norfolk coast could do well in the first part of the evening. Been tracking those showers coming in on a NNE they seem to fading as they come inland probably due to the slack flow. Hoping for that wind direction change to more of an Easterly after midnight to drag some of that convection off the North Sea. 

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1 minute ago, Snowman31 said:

I hope you are right. Been frustrating so far

me too lol its only speculation but i hope it goes the right way for us

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2 minutes ago, Norfolk_N_chance said:

Got home at 5pm to nothing and turned into a white out at 5.30pm.

Now who would you trust?

Screenshot_20180227-194126.png

The radar and the window!!

It looks like Stanhoe is about to get a nice clump of showers looking at the latest radar. ;)

Edited by Sno' problem

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Dohhh, Weather forecast for Sunday 10c max...Tonight - 5...Today Very on and off snow showers, Leaving some dusting. So for those that have done well so far...Well done indeed, For those like myself...Still time !!!

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We just need the wind to swing more to an Easterly for us to get the ppn to beef-up. It looks like midnight is the time it will swing into a better direction for us:

Pressure forecast 9pm.png

Pressure midnight.png

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I've got a feeling that the MetOffice might upgrade our region for the overnight period looking at the Dutch radar: https://www.buienradar.nl/wereldwijd/europa/zoom/actueel?lat=51.31&lon=0.252 There is a lot more ppn and seemingly heavier, that is lining up. 

It looks more promising than things did last night to me. 

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1 minute ago, Sno' problem said:

I've got a feeling that the MetOffice might upgrade our region for the overnight period looking at the Dutch radar: https://www.buienradar.nl/wereldwijd/europa/zoom/actueel?lat=51.31&lon=0.252 There is a lot more ppn and seemingly heavier, that is lining up. 

It looks more promising than things did last night to me. 

We staying up tonight then ? 

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4 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

We staying up tonight then ? 

Looks like it might be another late one, but worth it this time possibly?!?!

Here are radar shots from last night at 8pm and tonight at 8pm:

Radar on Monday night at 8pm.png

Radar 8pm Today.png

There is a lot more ppn to the West of the Dutch coast on tonight's, plus with favourable winds, there could be some nice shower activity for our region in a few hours.

Edited by Sno' problem

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