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Captain Shortwave

East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward

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1 minute ago, SuffolkDan said:

Nice shower now Pete, getting you too?

Must've just missed mate. :bad:

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My my this sun is strong.

This area is really bereft of much cloud let alone showers over the last 2 days....any reasons?

 

Capture.PNG

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The wind has seemingly turned more to an easterly looking at the cloud direction here, which bodes very well for a Thames Streamer (Tickler) to set-up. That shower that just went through appeared out of nowhere, so convection is good.  Could be an interesting night ahead.

Edited by Sno' problem

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10 minutes ago, SuffolkDan said:

Nice shower now Pete, getting you too?

Its very overcast here now, clouds kind of yellowy grey so may be about to snow, or i may just be kidding myself.

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3 hours ago, crazy_diamond said:

Oh wow, when it eventually happens, ain’t it just beautiful?

Yes and the last lot has only melted in the sun! plenty left in the shade still!

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13 minutes ago, Bryn Webster said:

My my this sun is strong.

This area is really bereft of much cloud let alone showers over the last 2 days....any reasons?

 

Capture.PNG

Cambridge got hit with a couple of hefty snow showers yesterday but other than that it has been a primarily drier sector. 

From memory - easterlies have NEVER favoured these locations highlighted, particularly the more western parts of this zone. For the eastern parts you'd need a solid North/North Easterly to tap into the streamers. When I saw the charts leading up to this cold spell I knew it would be a bit of an uphill struggle as there just wasn't that much in the way of organised activity - the one I did have hope for was last night but this ended up shifting much further North so our county (Cambs) didn't benefit at all. 

The classic conclusion for this kind of cold set up is a big 'finale' dump prior to the mild intrusion - which is Friday night. That'll give the kids most of Saturday morning to play in the snow (forecast 3-6cm) before the onset of the big thaw !

Edited by Matty88

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52 minutes ago, john mac said:

Paul what’s the chance of a Thames streamer as the wind veers more easterly?

Still at work mate not looked just wondering how hazardous the roads will be when I get back to Leigh On Sea this evening - they seem to have had loads of snow with side roads hazardous

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The thaw is under way for now.

Looking at the models, looks like a similar set up to last  night. 

Will be expecting a little bit of snow late evening and overnight, mostly dandruff with a few heavier bursts mixed in for good measure, but not amounting to much overall. 

Most of the good stuff staying Brighton eastwards.

 

As for Thursday, doesn't look like much here again but we will have to wait and see. Will be looking forward to sampling such a strong bitter wind though. 

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there is a rash of showers developing off the Norfolk/Suffolk coast and heading SW . . . which is a bit of a surprise given that we are under a direct easterly atm

bodes well for this evening and overnight which, as per previously mentioned, could mirror events of last night

Edited by Speedbird

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Just now, Speedbird said:

there is a rash of showers developing heading SW which is a bit of a surprise given that we are under a direct easterly atm

bodes well for this evening and overnight which, as per previously mentioned, could mirror events of last night

Oh dear, so just a sprinkle for us then!

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Just now, Meggy said:

Oh dear, so just a sprinkle for us then!

you could fare better, especially in a more easterly which is likely - don't despair, I was concerned until 11pm last night then the heavens opened here in Leigh

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27 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Must've just missed mate. :bad:

And yet just down the road here, 3 minute blizzard covered everything that had melted today :cold:

looking at radar, beccles about to get some now.

Edited by Blazerblue

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1 minute ago, Speedbird said:

you could fare better, especially in a more easterly which is likely - don't despair, I was concerned until 11pm last night then the heavens opened here in Leigh

We've had some really heavy showers here today, so I will take your advice and stay hopeful!

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10 minutes ago, Speedbird said:

there is a rash of showers developing off the Norfolk/Suffolk coast and heading SW . . . which is a bit of a surprise given that we are under a direct easterly atm

bodes well for this evening and overnight which, as per previously mentioned, could mirror events of last night

Yes, the cumulonimbus clouds are shooting up very quickly to my E/NE out to Sea. Round 2 coming up soon. Bbbbbbrrrrrrrrrrrrrr! 

image.jpg

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Just been talking to my husband in Barking,he said that where the snow hasn’t disappeared, it has rapidly turned to ice making untreated surfaces quite dodgy!

Edited by crazy_diamond

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1 minute ago, crazy_diamond said:

Just been talking to my husband in Barking,he said that where the snow hasn’t disappeared, it has rapidly turned to ice making untreated surfaces quite dodgy!

i hate that.

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33 minutes ago, Bryn Webster said:

My my this sun is strong.

This area is really bereft of much cloud let alone showers over the last 2 days....any reasons?

 

Capture.PNG

 

The line of that box has roughly followed the direction of the winds over the last few days so maybe not surprisinng that we haven't seen much. To our north and south are the Wash and Thames Estuary which help converge winds and create a constant flow of showers. In the middle is the fat, hump of East Anglia and anyone unfortunate enough to be downwind of this misses out on the convergence. Any showers over the hump have to travel miles and miles over freezing ground so die out before making it too far south.

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1 minute ago, crazy_diamond said:

Just been talking to my husband in Barking,he said that where the snow hasn’t disappeared, it has rapidly turned to ice making untreated surfaces quite dodgy!

My hubbie took the easy way out today and decided not to squeeze himself onto a packed train. His motorbike was out of the question too! 

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1 minute ago, Meggy said:

My hubbie took the easy way out today and decided not to squeeze himself onto a packed train. His motorbike was out of the question too! 

Lol, mine takes the bus, they don’t appear to give in to the weather quite a readily as the trains. My bro is a biker, has a Hyabusa or something, strictly for summer bimbles only!

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11 minutes ago, JennyJane1 said:

i hate that.

what ? Talking to your husband ? ;-)

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Got a nagging feeling that those showers off the coast of Suffolk are going to head straight for Kent again! 

Hope they track more E to W and give more of us some snow this evening.

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No complaints here, but since last Saturday the weather has been quite pleasant with plenty of winter sunshine.

Went into Cambridge today and it was quite a comfortable temperature for wandering around plus the forecast seems to have kept some of the old codgers indoors.

 

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14 minutes ago, Mikel Nimbus said:

 

The line of that box has roughly followed the direction of the winds over the last few days so maybe not surprisinng that we haven't seen much. To our north and south are the Wash and Thames Estuary which help converge winds and create a constant flow of showers. In the middle is the fat, hump of East Anglia and anyone unfortunate enough to be downwind of this misses out on the convergence. Any showers over the hump have to travel miles and miles over freezing ground so die out before making it too far south.

Extend that box NE and you have the rectangle of shame! The Cromer ridge might not be that high but it can really affect things. I think we have some local topography that certainly affects summer storm flow and is now doing the same as showers tend to diverge away despite looking like head on certainties.

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