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East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward


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Hope it's ok to share some pictures I took whilst out around our little village this morning   I won't bore you with them all, but here's a few of my favourites  

Late Feb sun is strong, but i didn't think it was strong enough to melt roads

The thaw not very far away now. An'interesting winter indeed...and coming now to conclusion. Its been emotional and at times frustrating. Over and out. See ya-all november...ish.

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3 minutes ago, Lowestoft Weather said:

That's wrong already. We have them depths now with a big snow shower about to dump a few more cm's......I'd watch the radar.

ooh now i'm not sure whether to stay up late tonight or not.

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5 minutes ago, Jason M said:

Got a light covering in Basildon a couple of hours ago but its clear skies here so presumably not much west of here.

Any idea of our chance later , watching the radar it's going around us earlier .

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9 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Euro 4 pretty grim reading for the region as a whole

Hasn't already been massively wrong for today? The extent of the showers today was something I wasn't expecting lord knows how tomorrow will play out.

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6 minutes ago, Blessed Weather said:

Norwich based forecasters Weatherquest are providing some really good charts and explanations during this cold spell. Here's another explaining why places nearer the coast are doing better for snow this evening....

5a9473d5f1f5f_WeatherquestConvergencezone26Feb.thumb.jpg.d147455a69a3e397d05dba9cd3e26a5c.jpg

Link https://twitter.com/danholley_/status/968218129049489408

Well that pretty much means I'll be getting nothing tonight.

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3 minutes ago, nikki said:

Any idea of our chance later , watching the radar it's going around us earlier .

Early days tbh, but probably not great is the answer at the moment. Once these shower train set up they don't move much. I suppose for us we only need a very slight shift but over the last few hours we have seen less and less showers so were just feeding of the scraps. Maybe a couple of CMs overnight if we get lucky.

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Just now, Paul Sherman said:

Yh

The Fax chart Nick F posted in the other thread surely cheers everyone up in here tonight. 

Streamers galore, at least 3 of them

Can you repost here?

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fax0s.gif

Wash streamer which is currently under way and one running down the coast of Suffolk and Essex an into the Thames clearly marked as the areas at risk of highest snowfall. 

For my location the wind really needs to remain towards the north east or all that snow will just push into the Midlands and avoid Cambridgeshire.

Edited by Captain Shortwave
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2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Thanks Captain

The Twigs are Streamers

Looking at the Fax, I think you could be in a great position tonight, I wouldn't be surprised to see Southend and Shoebury get 15cm out of this.  

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4 minutes ago, Frostbite1980 said:

@Captain Shortwave will that middle streamer effect any of those further north of the region like herts/beds/bucks?

Unlikely - they are convergence zones where the winds are coming together and causing lift.  They are fairly predictable areas in a situation like this. 

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6 minutes ago, Frostbite1980 said:

@Captain Shortwave will that middle streamer effect any of those further north of the region like herts/beds/bucks?

Fingers crossed that some of the showers do push inland, that said these showers are mostly forming along convergence zones but that doesn't mean that showers couldn't occur. 

That said I might just post this chart from the 18z ICON.

icon-0-30.png?26-18

Tomorrow night, a clear disturbance developing off the coast which pushes into the region during the morning. This looks very similar to the one which will hit the NE later tonight. This should help develop and organise the showers and drive them inland. Watching the forecasts, they do seem keen on pushing an area of snow into the region at this time, something to keep an eye on.

Edited by Captain Shortwave
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1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

Unlikely - they are convergence zones where the winds are coming together and causing lift.  They are fairly predictable areas in a situation like this. 

I seem to remember a CZ a few years back that came ashore near Southwold and went across Colchester, Stanstead, Harlow, and Herts though

Never say never

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