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Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl

    Well, my children’s school have finally succumbed and given them a snow day (despite there being no more snow on the ground than yesterday!)

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    Officially signing off from my Perch by the window. Have a great year -  Enjoy it with your Families- Current pic - 4.5 inches    my favourite pic - Cheers All

    So this is it, the end of winter. Time to look forward to Spring..... Wait, what's this?        Apparently not. So for the time being, we will remain as one for this cold spell. Ple

    Some photos from the last couple of days. Near Bewl Water in East Sussex.

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    To add first signs of things kicking of albiet early.. down in Kent, expect the radar to kind of fill out with PPN as the front moves north 

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    Posted
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl

    Now in Dover its more like Hail stones, temp falling - 0.1

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    Posted
  • Location: East Kent
  • Location: East Kent
    11 minutes ago, James Oliver said:

    Raining in Dover? Temperature is 0.2 degrees? 

    I am fully expecting to be still under the green bit by the end of today, just our little bit, made of teflon  I tells ya! :D

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    Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy, wintry weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
    13 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    roads like a ghost town here I have to say today is by far the worst day for driving the ice is un real! And yet the select few want to drive within 1 foot of my back bumper. 

    Back onto today and already the snow from last night has filled the foot prints in and made the drifts even bigger couple of the drifts near 7 -8" now!

     

     

    Eyes down to the Radar again

    Hi Surrey,

    Yes, if the ppn is heavy enough, it's likely to be snow, rather than freezing rain. We seemed to have imported, much less cold 850 hPa temps now, which has caused the freezing rain issue. Temps, just above the surface and especially the surface, itself, are still mostly below freezing.

    Regards,

    Tom. :hi:

    Edited by TomSE12
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    Posted
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl
    5 minutes ago, soopdragoon said:

    I am fully expecting to be still under the green bit by the end of today, just our little bit, made of teflon  I tells ya! :D

    Is it likely to turn back to snow? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL

    Morning

    Wind very noisy around the house all night, nothing accumulated overnight with the flurries I saw falling just after midnight but not surprised given the wind..Maidstone probably have them!

    Currently -2.3c (after a high of -0.2c at midnight) and DP -6c.

    Edited by lottiekent
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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    1 minute ago, TomSE12 said:

    Hi Surrey,

    Yes, if the ppn is heavy enough, it's likely to be snow, rather than freezing rain. We seemed to have imported, much less cold 850 hPa temps now, which has caused the freezing rain issue. Temps, just above the surface and especially the surface, itself, are still mostly below freezing.

    Regards,

    Tom. :hi:

    All models that can predict freezing rain have it only effecting costal areas which I would agree with inland we are okay. The reason being is now the temps have recovered slightly on shore wind is playing a factor

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    Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester
    14 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    roads like a ghost town here I have to say today is by far the worst day for driving the ice is un real! And yet the select few want to drive within 1 foot of my back bumper. 

    Back onto today and already the snow from last night has filled the foot prints in and made the drifts even bigger couple of the drifts near 7 -8" now!

     

    Using the HILRAM there is scope for more snow today and quite a bit! Note aswell wind is still an issue! Big gusts coming through here 

    7am Radfar grab vs 7am HILRAM Pretty bloody close if you ask me.. I Would ignore any rain showing on the charts to start with that will be freezing rain or snow. The snow builds from about 8-9am so the next hour or so will be pretty quiet radar wise 

    overview_007.jpg?2018030200 5a98f4589d18c_snow1.thumb.jpg.15ab5c7f4b11b6d4f7d92e1ddc5a07f1.jpg

    Running it through then..

    overview_009.jpg?2018030200overview_010.jpg?2018030200 overview_011.jpg?2018030200overview_012.jpg?2018030200overview_014.jpg?2018030200

    overview_015.jpg?2018030200overview_021.jpg?2018030200

     

    Even by 9PM it still wants to bring snow in.. Now the ARPEGE

    overview_009.jpg?2018030200overview_012.jpg?2018030200overview_015.jpg?2018030200overview_018.jpg?2018030200

    Moves it through slightly quicker but same sort of idea... 

    AROME which hasn't been doing that great if I am honest 

    preciprate_009.jpg?2018030200preciprate_011.jpg?2018030200 preciprate_014.jpg?2018030200 preciprate_016.jpg?2018030200 preciprate_017.jpg?2018030200preciprate_018.jpg?2018030200preciprate_019.jpg?2018030200preciprate_021.jpg?2018030200

    GFS for fun!

    Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

     

    Eyes down to the Radar again

    Hmmm those charts looks seriously good for the midlands!!especially arpege!!any snow accumulation charts mate?

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    Posted
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl

    The best chance we had today and its pouring with rain. ?

    Screenshot_20180302-064803.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    Just now, shaky said:

    Hmmm those charts looks seriously good for the midlands!!especially arpege!!any snow accumulation charts mate?

    I take them with a massive pinch of salt as it is VERY hard to predict where the heaviest of the PPN is likely to be. For instances not one model has that heavy PPN over Kent right now... 

    BUT here they are by end of play today

    HIRLAM                                                     ARPEGE                                                      GFS (lost the plot?)

    snowdepth_024.jpg?2018030200 snowdepth_024.jpg?2018030200snowdepth_024.jpg?2018030200

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    Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
    5 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    All models that can predict freezing rain have it only effecting costal areas which I would agree with inland we are okay. The reason being is now the temps have recovered slightly on shore wind is playing a factor

    I've had the freezing rain since I woke at about 5 ( in Boxley )

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    1 minute ago, Kent Blizzard said:

    I've had the freezing rain since I woke at about 5 ( in Boxley )

    close to the mouth, with that strong Easterly wind that will be why

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    Posted
  • Location: Tenterden(TN30) Kent
  • Weather Preferences: All weather extremes
  • Location: Tenterden(TN30) Kent

    Light snow in Hawkhurst, It's freezing out in the wind!

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    Posted
  • Location: .
  • Location: .
    24 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    roads like a ghost town here I have to say today is by far the worst day for driving the ice is un real! And yet the select few want to drive within 1 foot of my back bumper. 

    Back onto today and already the snow from last night has filled the foot prints in and made the drifts even bigger couple of the drifts near 7 -8" now!

     

    Using the HILRAM there is scope for more snow today and quite a bit! Note aswell wind is still an issue! Big gusts coming through here 

    7am Radfar grab vs 7am HILRAM Pretty bloody close if you ask me.. I Would ignore any rain showing on the charts to start with that will be freezing rain or snow. The snow builds from about 8-9am so the next hour or so will be pretty quiet radar wise 

    overview_007.jpg?2018030200 5a98f4589d18c_snow1.thumb.jpg.15ab5c7f4b11b6d4f7d92e1ddc5a07f1.jpg

    Running it through then..

    overview_009.jpg?2018030200overview_010.jpg?2018030200 overview_011.jpg?2018030200overview_012.jpg?2018030200overview_014.jpg?2018030200

    overview_015.jpg?2018030200overview_021.jpg?2018030200

     

    Even by 9PM it still wants to bring snow in.. Now the ARPEGE

    overview_009.jpg?2018030200overview_012.jpg?2018030200overview_015.jpg?2018030200overview_018.jpg?2018030200

    Moves it through slightly quicker but same sort of idea... 

    AROME which hasn't been doing that great if I am honest 

    preciprate_009.jpg?2018030200preciprate_011.jpg?2018030200 preciprate_014.jpg?2018030200 preciprate_016.jpg?2018030200 preciprate_017.jpg?2018030200preciprate_018.jpg?2018030200preciprate_019.jpg?2018030200preciprate_021.jpg?2018030200

    GFS for fun!

    Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

     

    Eyes down to the Radar again

    Thank you so much for posting this. Better than any of the professional forecasts!

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    Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
    4 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Morning All

    made it safe into work-

    Last day today- going out with a band of snow later - then roll on spring :)

    Peak should be 3-6pm just in time for the rush hour

    850s mix below 0c at about 1pm - so up till then poss freezing rain, after 3 they drop to -2c so more snow...

    stay safe

    X

    You too mate. Thanks for all your input over this snowy spell 

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    Just now, West is Best said:

    Thank you so much for posting this. Better than any of the professional forecasts!

    LOL! Don't say that, I do it because it is my hobby and that I am fascinated by all weather types! I also like to make sure that people learn how to read these charts and understand them a bit better and most importantly that even with all the super computers churning away trying to figure it out, we still get it wrong. 

    Im waiting for the met office have to say around 10am if anything 

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    Think the main focus maybe a touch north than today, northern home counties. Probably going to be a decent fall, will be back to wet snow mind you and I'm not totally convinced it will settle that well close to the coast either, inland should be fine.

    Probably 3-5cms today, more towards the north of the region.

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    Posted
  • Location: Kettering 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, snow and cloud formations
  • Location: Kettering 80m asl

    We had snow all day here yesterday but didn't amount to very much.

    All schools and even my work are closed today.

    Is it due to snow again as there isnt much showing on the radar right now!

    Met off app hasnt been to good or the radars as we sat under a band of snow yesterday evening/night and it wasnt snowing!

    My kids are still asleep but i no they will be asking when its going to start snowing again when they wake up lol 

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    Posted
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: snow (but who doesnt like that)
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
    21 minutes ago, <> said:

    Light snow in Hawkhurst, It's freezing out in the wind!

    Is it still snowing now ???

    my local school have decided to open and I have to say I’m not impressed about the whole fact, of course I want my children to be at school but I don’t want to get them there to have to go out and get them in an hour or so

    Edited by DonnaThw
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    Posted
  • Location: Crawley
  • Location: Crawley
    19 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Morning All

    made it safe into work-

    Last day today- going out with a band of snow later - then roll on spring :)

    Peak should be 3-6pm just in time for the rush hour

    850s mix below 0c at about 1pm - so up till then poss freezing rain, after 3 they drop to -2c so more snow...

    stay safe

    X

    Hi steve, 

    Thanks for your input over the winter and during this cold spell. Really appreciate your insight.

    I'm also hoping for spring now. 

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Cold Cold
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey

    Morning all ?

    nothing here overnight except for the strong gusts (Farnham,Surrry) 

    the snow very frustratingly petered out before it got here but we did get a few cm yesterday so I won’t moan!

    temp -1.4

    dp -3.7 

    hoping for a little bit today!!?? 

    Stay safe!

     

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