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Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: North of Steyning - West Sussex - some 10 miles south of Horsham
  • Location: North of Steyning - West Sussex - some 10 miles south of Horsham
    Just now, WeatherMoose said:

    A little bit of snow in worthing 

    A sudden band of light snow has appeared where you and I and some others are.

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    Officially signing off from my Perch by the window. Have a great year -  Enjoy it with your Families- Current pic - 4.5 inches    my favourite pic - Cheers All

    So this is it, the end of winter. Time to look forward to Spring..... Wait, what's this?        Apparently not. So for the time being, we will remain as one for this cold spell. Ple

    Some photos from the last couple of days. Near Bewl Water in East Sussex.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dorking, Surrey
  • Location: Dorking, Surrey
    1 minute ago, Come rain snow or shine said:

    A sudden band of light snow has appeared where you and I and some others are.

    And the tongue of snow to the north of Horsham is now producing some light stuff in Dorking.

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    Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London
    1 minute ago, nick sussex said:

    The next person to use an App forecast and go into one in here will be banned ! 

    How many times can you say the same thing, apps are useless , automated forecasts are crap.

    The weather doesn’t behave according to an app.

    Will people please stop checking apps every 10 minutes and just wait and see what happens .

    Moan over ! 

    NS newly assigned App moderator ! 

    The apps have actually been quite accurate at short range i.e. 1 to 12 hours but beyond that, useless.

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    Posted
  • Location: HARROW WEALD NORTH WEST LONDON
  • Location: HARROW WEALD NORTH WEST LONDON
    1 minute ago, ajkwilson said:

    Will that off the east come in the below direction ????

     

     

    w.png

    been studying that and I think that's going to be the snow from a line through lind9n down to brighton

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    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
    5 minutes ago, Thinon said:

    The apps have actually been quite accurate at short range i.e. 1 to 12 hours but beyond that, useless.

    You’re banned! :D

    The same thing happened a few days back, a lot of misery peddling by some in the threads because the damn App said no.

    And then more moaning about the weather warnings when as we’ve seen the weather doesn’t behave according to a weather warning.

    Anyway that’s my last word on Appgate! :D

    Edited by nick sussex
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    Posted
  • Location: Nr. Tunbridge Wells (150m/450ft asl)
  • Location: Nr. Tunbridge Wells (150m/450ft asl)
    13 minutes ago, colonelks said:

    Mine has gone again, my Dad is coming down with a bigger ladder as the block is clearly further up what a pain!

    Yes ours involved me perching on an upper floor windowsill, holding the frame with one hand and reaching with the other to pour hot water on the top section of the pipe... NOTE: I am NOT recommending this course of action...

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    3 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

    There looks like enhanced precipitation forming ahead of the main band and heading towards the Home Counties!

    Pretty much exactly like the high resolution models suggested, this will help to focus the precip in the next 2-3hrs or so. Then we need to hope that the stronger precipitation continues to slowly spread eastwards.

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    Posted
  • Location: North of Steyning - West Sussex - some 10 miles south of Horsham
  • Location: North of Steyning - West Sussex - some 10 miles south of Horsham
    3 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

    You’re banned! :D

    The same thing happened a few days back, a lot of misery peddling by some in the threads because the damn App said no.

    And then more moaning about the weather warnings when as we’ve seen the weather doesn’t behave according to a weather warning.

    Anyway that’s my last word on Appgate! :D

     

    I blame Nixon. First, Watergate. Then Appgate.

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    12 minutes ago, ajkwilson said:

    Will that off the east come in the below direction ????

     

     

    w.png

    no. unlikely 

    its moving North but recurving NW

    Any PPN the SE sees isnt on the radar yet - it will need to develop-

    Edited by Steve Murr
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    Posted
  • Location: Woodingdean (near Brighton)
  • Location: Woodingdean (near Brighton)

    MO updated warning for tomorrow have got ridden of the 10-15cm and changed the wording to a few cm ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    17 minutes ago, ajkwilson said:

    Will that off the east come in the below direction ????

     

     

    w.png

    Yes, about to do a type up on computer against hilram and Arpege it's Intresting I get what the models are hinting at now draw a diagonal from IOW into biscay and ignore everything on the western side, focus on the Eastern side of that line 

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    Pretty much if you haven't got at least light snow now, your probably not going to get anything from the main batch coming up from France, could still be showers on the eastern side however.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedford, 30m asl
  • Location: Bedford, 30m asl
    48 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Yes - I put in the MOD thread that the models had really slowed down that front- almost to a stall

    Euro 4 goes for 10cm across London... by sat 6am- PPN front starting friday Eve ( slightly later than usual )

    Hmmm not quite I'm afraid Steve

    It's starting from an expected base of between 2-10cms across the London area before the front hits:

    18030212_2_0106.gif

    (which, by the way, seems rather unlikely - it's forecasting a few cms of snow through the region overnight but we'll have to wait and see)

    So when we then switch to what it forecasts on top of this:

    image.thumb.png.9b3fcd1330c93d3fccad972ea7fd9ece.png18030306_2_0106.gif

    Maybe another 2-5cms it looks like from that. Precipitation rates generally between 0.5-2mm per 3 hours so nothing too drastic, especially running into ever increasing dew points (so snowfall ratios possibly a little less impressive than in the previous few days)

    But we have seen the EURO4 underestimate PPN amounts before so we'll have to see what unfolds

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    Bay of biscay snow machine.. 

    Screenshot_20180301-133204.thumb.png.6ceb4cf3aa319bffa29b4d7c131686b1.pngScreenshot_20180301-133209.thumb.png.e6ecb671e915394492917d4256832c0d.png

     

    Blob watch commences and also falls in line with hirlam

    overview_007.thumb.jpg.6056da51855343de58cba2d25304c274.jpg

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
    9 minutes ago, EJA said:

    MO updated warning for tomorrow have got ridden of the 10-15cm and changed the wording to a few cm ?

    We won't even get that I'm afraid!

    At least Brighton way has had some decent ish snow this week!

     

     

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