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Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards


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Officially signing off from my Perch by the window. Have a great year -  Enjoy it with your Families- Current pic - 4.5 inches    my favourite pic - Cheers All

So this is it, the end of winter. Time to look forward to Spring..... Wait, what's this?        Apparently not. So for the time being, we will remain as one for this cold spell. Ple

Some photos from the last couple of days. Near Bewl Water in East Sussex.

Posted Images

Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    2 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

    Let’s hope it’s on to something, as that puts you and I well and truly in the ‘win zone’

    I think as it spreads north it will gain some traction and intensifie 

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    1 minute ago, Sarah Anne said:

    Steve murr when you say thats it for today

    Do you mean the whole region of this thread 

    As @kold weather mentions the further south & west you are the more chance you have of getting in on the action from the low over france -

    Just looking at the models above ^^ they look a bit to far east to be !

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    Posted
  • Location: Minster Ramsgate Kent
  • Location: Minster Ramsgate Kent

    Just picked the daughter up from school, Minster- Westgate, some drifting, but the standard of driving is woeful, people crawling along at 10mph with their chins on the steering wheel

    snow easing now Thanet -3.5c

    Edited by A Wintry Mix
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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    3 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

    Let’s hope it’s on to something, as that puts you and I well and truly in the ‘win zone’

    Looks like it develops the southern end of the front. There are showers in that area which I'm assuming the models are keying in and developing and strengthening nicely.

    You and me are both far enough west to at least have a chance later this afternoon, but its 50-50 at best. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Cold Cold
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey

    Very fine stuff falling from the sky again, but sky looks very imposing and white!

    As I'm in the West of the region I'm hoping to catch some of their precipitation later or tomorrow, whenever it appears.

    Forecast is saying no snow for us tomorrow, hoping that really changes!

    (Farnham, Surrey)

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Medway - 125m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: Medway - 125m ASL
    8 minutes ago, Oaks said:

    So is that it for West Kent as the met office says ? This weather front that's gonna hit the South West won't come near us will it ?

    Would also like to know this as I haven't seen my boyfriend for 2 weeks as he's been away on business and he can' come if the trains are bad:(

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    Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
    3 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    I think as it spreads north it will gain some traction and intensifie 

    Seems to be some spread north east from Brest through the Channel Islands. This is the area I’m watching for eastward development.

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    Posted
  • Location: Horley, near Gatwick
  • Location: Horley, near Gatwick

    Tomorrow morning last hurrah for my region (Gatwick) and then that’s game over for this spell. Hoping the snow can stay grounded long enough in favoured areas for me locally to get the kids onto the sledges Saturday before we put them away until 2023 ?

    Had I not been ‘fortunate’ enough to be a working nomad this week, I’d have seen pretty much sweet FA. Cold and bits of powder snow have been impressive however, a real throwback. Cracking drive out to Balcombe on Tuesday and a brilliant two hours at London Bridge yesterday, that memory will endure as that was hen’s-teeth rare in the heart of the capital.

    Topographically in an unfavouraed spot in Horley but seeing a colliding front come up from the channel and then all the decent precipitation bugger off yet again to Kent and Essex (not all of Kent and Essex, I know), as well as bunny hopping over the north Downs to places like Thorpe, has been hard to stomach last night and this morning. 

    What has been an almost reassuring relief for me this week is to see that in the age of (albeit debated) climate change and AGW, Britain can still ‘do it’ when it comes to unusual and deep cold. If the synoptics are favourable, the cold is there.

    So, that’s me done with regard to winter posts unless tomorrow early doors springs a local surprise (experience tells me no and that favoured locations for this spell will remain favoured). Adore the snow but if ain’t going to really snow I’ll be turning my less-avid attention to the first long-fetch southerly of the spring and that first amazing day of the year - as good as any snow day - when the thermometer teases 20c in a sheltered garden with the sun on my face.

    Sadly, that looks a way off and more of that vile cold rain (see below) looks to be a feature for the reasonably foreseeable. 

    As winter’s go, I’ll mark this down in my locale as the epic winter of cold rain (7 unbelievably close and absolutely hideous near misses) and the year that winter rediscovered its growl in the UK, which gives me renewed hope for when this all kicks off again in eight months time!

    Great forum, this. Thanks for your company.

    Toodles. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Surrey Hills - Holmbury St Mary 184asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunder
  • Location: Surrey Hills - Holmbury St Mary 184asl

    My big mistake was buying a new sledge for our daughter on Sunday...

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    As @kold weather mentions the further south & west you are the more chance you have of getting in on the action from the low over france -

    Just looking at the models above ^^ they look a bit to far east to be !

    Having ran 06z HIRLAM over and over in the last hour it looks about right for where it is placing precip, the main snow shield comes up, A3 then due north from there probably the boundary but could go a little east or west from there. The high resolution models then develop another area on the back end of the front, probably from the area of showers.

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    Posted
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers but not too hot and colder winters with frost and snow
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
    6 minutes ago, Oaks said:

    So is that it for West Kent as the met office says ? This weather front that's gonna hit the South West won't come near us will it ?

    Looks that way for us in Kent and Hirlam dont seem so bullish about tomorrows snow either(really need an Eastward movement of 25-30 miles for us to get in the proper action tomorrow.I think the Orpington,Locksbottom Bromley area has been unlucky in last 2 days as we have literally been on the edge of everything.Have only 4cms here which is pretty poor and very unlikey to have any more today and tomorrow looks dodgy now.Rant over and good luck to those West of me who may still have less than this bit of NW Kent and hope you get significant totals over next 48 hours.Really feel this could be good for Surrey and Hampshire this time:good:

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    Posted
  • Location: Ramsgate,East Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: BEASTERLYS
  • Location: Ramsgate,East Kent.

    Have just had to pick both kids up from school.

    To be fair it seems to be letting up but roads are now becoming a problem & i suppose they worried about buses later.

    Temp still -4.2.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Potters Bar, 120m ASL
  • Location: Potters Bar, 120m ASL

    Just slightly miffed that i looked forward to all this and it wasn't even close to happening

    Screenshot_2018-03-01-10-31-41.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, Ice days, warm sunny days.
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl
    46 minutes ago, matty40s said:

    Shirley not...

    That one has been rinsed out 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Croydon
  • Location: South Croydon
    1 minute ago, WeatherMoose said:

    Just slightly miffed that i looked forward to all this and it wasn't even close to happening

    Screenshot_2018-03-01-10-31-41.png

    Same. Really thought things were turning last night for a bullseye but it’s all just gone west! 

    I shouldn’t really care but I am sulking today. It’s like the 90’s all over again lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    This is 11z HIRLAM, looks pretty close in terms of position of front:

    hirlam-1-4-0.png?01-10

    For those in the east of the area, watch the showers to the SE of the main frontal zone, and hope it expands!

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    Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
    11 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    I think as it spreads north it will gain some traction and intensifie 

    Seems to be some spread north east from Brest through the Channel Islands. This is the area I’m watching for eastward development.

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    Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
    Just now, kold weather said:

    This is 11z HIRLAM, looks pretty close in terms of position of front:

    hirlam-1-4-0.png?01-10

    For those in the east of the area, watch the showers to the SE of the main frontal zone, and hope it expands!

    I was just going to post the same. HIRLAM is the best fit for the current position of precipitation over the Brest Peninsular.

    ARPEGE has everything too far south west when you compare with current radar returns!

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    Posted
  • Location: Singleton, Kent
  • Location: Singleton, Kent
    2 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    This is 11z HIRLAM, looks pretty close in terms of position of front:

    hirlam-1-4-0.png?01-10

    For those in the east of the area, watch the showers to the SE of the main frontal zone, and hope it expands!

    Fully agree with both your posts re HIRLAM. Arperge also close but not as spot on as HIRLAM. The showers SE of the front also show up on the two latest sat images and are moving NE.

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    Posted
  • Location: Horsham
  • Location: Horsham

    That’s the second secondary school in Crawley closing at lunchtime.  I wouldn’t mind but nothing is happening here and it’s not due to either ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London

    #BeastFromTheEast #BigFreeze #snow #shirley #croydon

     

     

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