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Captain Shortwave

Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards

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21 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

After nothing of note from this event so far, this evening has marked a massive turnaround for the better 👍

We’ve has persistent snow for most of the evening which is now rather heavy. A nice cover is now developing!

Cool, you certainly deserve it CK. Quite a streamer there west of London towards Reading still going strong.

Just been light here most of the evening, probably not even added 1cm, very strong blowing wind though, bitterly cold too.

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1 minute ago, snowray said:

Cool, you certainly deserve it CK. Quite a streamer there west of London towards Reading still going strong.

Just been light here most of the evening, probably not even added 1cm, very strong blowing wind though, bitterly cold too.

I can’t see it lasting much longer tonight, before the fun and games begin tomorrow.

Just chuffed we finally got in on the action!

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Lost track of the models. Whats the latest for London tomorrow and Friday?
I see Hirlam repeatedly named

Edited by londonblizzard

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3 hours ago, Great Plum said:

Just got into the yellow warning area that’s been updated for tonight...

873F0CB5-0513-4533-8CF9-6B0985C3E381.jpeg

Think I'm even in it, however anything coming here is so light, it's not reaching the ground.

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Snow is now advancing northeast into the English Channel from the Cherbourg Peninsular.

I imagine it won’t be too long before it reaches the south coast, albeit rather light at this stage.

Edited by CK1981

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22 minutes ago, DEYS(Kent) said:

That Euro4 is out of date - 18z just trickling out..

Yes it is and seems to not have much PPN on for us even on Friday, but its showing the cold air hanging on over the Uk, this is after all the form horse and I don't care what people say its not that easy to just shift all this cold air with just one nudge like many of the models have been showing.

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1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:

Think I'm even in it, however anything coming here is so light, it's not reaching the ground.

Yes, we just have flurries of snow flying past horizontally in Reigate!

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2 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

Yes, we just have flurries of snow flying past horizontally in Reigate!

Thats it, same as here.

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36 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

After nothing of note from this event so far, this evening has marked a massive turnaround for the better 👍

We’ve has persistent snow for most of the evening which is now rather heavy. A nice cover is now developing!

Look forward to getting up in the morning to check the snow accumulated!

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Yep frontal system already knocking on the door of the channel,note this is even a little ahead of the HIRLAM which is the fastest of all the models with taking the front northwards. Anyway time for me to head to bed, hopefully I will wake up at the crack of dawn to see some good frontal progress.

Well done to those who got some good action tonight by the way!

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6 minutes ago, snowray said:

Thats it, same as here.

And here! Snowing since 4ish yet I know that if this was wetter, straight falling snow we'd be knee deep but the accumulation doesn't match the houra of snow because it as being blown everywhere being so powdery and dry!

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2 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Look forward to getting up in the morning to check the snow accumulated!

I’m guessing we have a couple of inches now, but it’s hard to tell. 

Not bad going considering there was nothing on the ground at 7pm.

How’s it looking in Windsor?

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3 minutes ago, Kevin Cracknell said:

Apparently Hiram has gone West all bets off?

D1808CD9-ABB4-4AD6-AC9B-8F41A08D0ED0.png

Nah

hirlam-1-17-0.png?28-22

Frontal snow 2 electric boogaloo 

 

hirlam-1-43-0.png?28-23

Edited by SN0WM4N

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23 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

If anything, the HIRLAM model is still too far West compared to where it is on the radars..

This is.. exciting!

yeah just having a look through radar and looks about 30 miles north East of where it is modelled of HIRLAM at this time. so all good for south East. if we take it Hirlam is now correct but shift  everything slightly 20miles east it looks very  good for whole south of country. would expect slightly increased intensity also for essex/Suffolk as now the eastern end of band will be further out in north sea and with the winds being very high that will increase convection.

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Just in from work wind is howling hete near the estuary. I'e not had chance to read today's posts so can someone update me 're storm emma and it' tracks etc. Im now due to go to Bognor in 36 hours time and I been losing faith getting really miserable in fact that we may have to cancel. What' it looking like?

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4 minutes ago, Kevin Cracknell said:

Apparently Hiram has gone West all bets off?

D1808CD9-ABB4-4AD6-AC9B-8F41A08D0ED0.png

Kevin that is Fridays band if you run next through frames you will see that come up NE and plaster us Friday aswell lol.

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1 minute ago, Essex Chelle said:

Just in from work wind is howling hete near the estuary. I'e not had chance to read today's posts so can someone update me 're storm emma and it' tracks etc. Im now due to go to Bognor in 36 hours time and I been losing faith getting really miserable in fact that we may have to cancel. What' it looking like?

 

Could be a dodgy trip. Wait and see, though.

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Alexa reckons I’ll see flurries.  She had better be wrong, want some decent snow.

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 Skitch.thumb.png.4f0c03eae22978b714e27c4395a49b14.png

 

Is it me or are those the wind directions at the moment? Because that is how the animation plays out, UK ENE winds and France SW winds, almost a split right along the channel 🤤

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