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Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards


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Officially signing off from my Perch by the window. Have a great year -  Enjoy it with your Families- Current pic - 4.5 inches    my favourite pic - Cheers All

So this is it, the end of winter. Time to look forward to Spring..... Wait, what's this?        Apparently not. So for the time being, we will remain as one for this cold spell. Ple

Some photos from the last couple of days. Near Bewl Water in East Sussex.

Posted Images

Had about 1 cm of snow overnight, which was a nice surprise.

I have noticed some high res models suggesting a streamer through the Thames Valley this evening, so that's definitely one to watch!

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4 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:

Disagree

no southerly movement 

Agreed, although the flow is flattening out somewhat to a straighter E-W flow.

It is curious that none of the models really show anything for today. Those outrageous upper temps, combined with a brisker and flatter E-W flow off the North Sea (and obviously the lowest pressure of anywhere on the East coast) suggest at least some showers or a brief attempt at a streamer, and yet the models show nothing whatsoever. You wouldn't expect them to forecast a streamer, but normally when it's possible you get at least some pale blues and greens around the coasts.

It's my head telling me there should be showers coming in off the Thames estuary today, but it's also my head telling me to trust the models on this one... What a conundrum...

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A nice 1cm here in North Surrey but enough to make it nice ! As most of the roads around here are private and gated no gritting so the local roads are all iced with an icing sugar dusting !! They are so slippy :) 

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46 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Looks like cloud firing up already up the thames- snow already into Southend etc

@Southender

@Paul Sherman

Yeah it seems to be firing up. Nothing of note fallen yet since daybreak though, so a bit of false readings so far. Need to see the dark echoes...wind really starting to howl though from EESE, so that's a good sign.

Still, it's generating a fair bit of cloud cover, which is fine by me to preserve snow across the piste.

Edited by Southender
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3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

It is look at the last 3 - london in the firing line now

160F55BE-6DA8-4596-B8D1-718F59801674.thumb.png.cf69f3b67f7272535dd5fc563b835c12.png27944F33-1FD5-47E0-A96A-06175A1EFF0E.thumb.png.ba4fbb885e6a12df616f75a9a3ed190e.pngF975AAE4-3FFD-4311-928A-F6ED03CF5178.thumb.png.8ae8ff87a82811d9c83b1db21339fc55.png

The NW radar definitely doesn't show any southerly movement. Wonder if it's an optical illusion as some energy shifts south and the colours shift accordingly...?

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1 minute ago, wellington boot said:

The NW radar definitely doesn't show any southerly movement. Wonder if it's an optical illusion as some energy shifts south and the colours shift accordingly...?

Would be nice to see that track further south, but I don't see that coming our way...

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3 minutes ago, wellington boot said:

The NW radar definitely doesn't show any southerly movement. Wonder if it's an optical illusion as some energy shifts south and the colours shift accordingly...?

dunno but the cloud bank no the north of me suggests its accurate

plus home & dry never been wrong for me

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4 minutes ago, wellington boot said:

The NW radar definitely doesn't show any southerly movement. Wonder if it's an optical illusion as some energy shifts south and the colours shift accordingly...?

It does as Steve says I think - individual showers moving WNW but the convective showers are happening increasingly further SW. Below radar images at 9:50 and 8:50

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Capture2.PNG

Edited by Jimmy0127
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I think the initiation point is pretty much on the Coastline today and not 30-50 miles out meaning Coastal parts will see the snow showers building but places further down the line will get the goodies.

 

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