Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards

[Come rain snow or shine]

Just now, WeatherMoose said:

A little bit of snow in worthing 

A sudden band of light snow has appeared where you and I and some others are.

[steveinsussex]

Slide 50 miles east pleaseeeeeee

[nick sussex]

The next person to use an App forecast and go into one in here will be banned ! 

How many times can you say the same thing, apps are useless , automated forecasts are crap.

The weather doesn’t behave according to an app.

Will people please stop checking apps every 10 minutes and just wait and see what happens .

Moan over ! 

NS newly assigned App moderator ! 

[ajkwilson]

Will that off the east come in the below direction ????

 

 

[saint]

Looks to me like a fair bit bit of PPN to the east of the low just becoming visible on the radar over France.

[surrey snowboy]

1 minute ago, Come rain snow or shine said:

A sudden band of light snow has appeared where you and I and some others are.

And the tongue of snow to the north of Horsham is now producing some light stuff in Dorking.

[Thinon]

1 minute ago, nick sussex said:

The next person to use an App forecast and go into one in here will be banned ! 

How many times can you say the same thing, apps are useless , automated forecasts are crap.

The weather doesn’t behave according to an app.

Will people please stop checking apps every 10 minutes and just wait and see what happens .

Moan over ! 

NS newly assigned App moderator ! 

The apps have actually been quite accurate at short range i.e. 1 to 12 hours but beyond that, useless.

[Lampostwatcher]

1 minute ago, ajkwilson said:

Will that off the east come in the below direction ????

 

 

been studying that and I think that's going to be the snow from a line through lind9n down to brighton

[ajkwilson]

Just now, Lampostwatcher said:

been studying that and I think that's going to be the snow from a line through lind9n down to brighton

50 miles east and ill be happy !

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

There looks like enhanced precipitation forming ahead of the main band and heading towards the Home Counties!

[nick sussex]

5 minutes ago, Thinon said:

The apps have actually been quite accurate at short range i.e. 1 to 12 hours but beyond that, useless.

You’re banned! 

The same thing happened a few days back, a lot of misery peddling by some in the threads because the damn App said no.

And then more moaning about the weather warnings when as we’ve seen the weather doesn’t behave according to a weather warning.

Anyway that’s my last word on Appgate! 

Edited March 1, 2018 by nick sussex

[wellington boot]

13 minutes ago, colonelks said:

Mine has gone again, my Dad is coming down with a bigger ladder as the block is clearly further up what a pain!

Yes ours involved me perching on an upper floor windowsill, holding the frame with one hand and reaching with the other to pour hot water on the top section of the pipe... NOTE: I am NOT recommending this course of action...

[kold weather]

3 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

There looks like enhanced precipitation forming ahead of the main band and heading towards the Home Counties!

Pretty much exactly like the high resolution models suggested, this will help to focus the precip in the next 2-3hrs or so. Then we need to hope that the stronger precipitation continues to slowly spread eastwards.

[Come rain snow or shine]

3 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

You’re banned! 

The same thing happened a few days back, a lot of misery peddling by some in the threads because the damn App said no.

And then more moaning about the weather warnings when as we’ve seen the weather doesn’t behave according to a weather warning.

Anyway that’s my last word on Appgate! 

 

I blame Nixon. First, Watergate. Then Appgate.

[SMU]

12 minutes ago, ajkwilson said:

Will that off the east come in the below direction ????

 

 

no. unlikely 

its moving North but recurving NW

Any PPN the SE sees isnt on the radar yet - it will need to develop-

Edited March 1, 2018 by Steve Murr

[steveinsussex]

It looks amazing for the sw

[rubble79]

So jealous of the SW. They are literally about to get my dream snow  

[Southender]

Ice flow in the Thames at Leigh (Southend)

So yes, it certainly has been a beast here. 2010 this happened last. Before that 1987 I believe. So only the 3rd time in 30 years! Appreciate some haven’t felt the full effects, but here in Southend with 7” snow, 3ft drifts nearby, 5 days of snow falling, icicles, blizzards and several ice days etc it is going into the old memory bank as one of the best in my living memory.

Edited March 1, 2018 by Southender

[EJA]

MO updated warning for tomorrow have got ridden of the 10-15cm and changed the wording to a few cm ?

[NO LONGER POSTING]

17 minutes ago, ajkwilson said:

Will that off the east come in the below direction ????

 

 

Yes, about to do a type up on computer against hilram and Arpege it's Intresting I get what the models are hinting at now draw a diagonal from IOW into biscay and ignore everything on the western side, focus on the Eastern side of that line 

[cookie27]

Gritters have been out in force here so they must be expecting something more

[kold weather]

Pretty much if you haven't got at least light snow now, your probably not going to get anything from the main batch coming up from France, could still be showers on the eastern side however.

[snowking]

48 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Yes - I put in the MOD thread that the models had really slowed down that front- almost to a stall

Euro 4 goes for 10cm across London... by sat 6am- PPN front starting friday Eve ( slightly later than usual )

Hmmm not quite I'm afraid Steve

It's starting from an expected base of between 2-10cms across the London area before the front hits:

(which, by the way, seems rather unlikely - it's forecasting a few cms of snow through the region overnight but we'll have to wait and see)

So when we then switch to what it forecasts on top of this:

Maybe another 2-5cms it looks like from that. Precipitation rates generally between 0.5-2mm per 3 hours so nothing too drastic, especially running into ever increasing dew points (so snowfall ratios possibly a little less impressive than in the previous few days)

But we have seen the EURO4 underestimate PPN amounts before so we'll have to see what unfolds

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Bay of biscay snow machine.. 

 

Blob watch commences and also falls in line with hirlam

 

[tomp456]

9 minutes ago, EJA said:

MO updated warning for tomorrow have got ridden of the 10-15cm and changed the wording to a few cm ?

We won't even get that I'm afraid!

At least Brighton way has had some decent ish snow this week!