Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards

[CK1981]

Snow is now advancing northeast into the English Channel from the Cherbourg Peninsular.

I imagine it won’t be too long before it reaches the south coast, albeit rather light at this stage.

Edited February 28, 2018 by CK1981

[snowray]

22 minutes ago, DEYS(Kent) said:

That Euro4 is out of date - 18z just trickling out..

Yes it is and seems to not have much PPN on for us even on Friday, but its showing the cold air hanging on over the Uk, this is after all the form horse and I don't care what people say its not that easy to just shift all this cold air with just one nudge like many of the models have been showing.

[Great Plum]

1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:

Think I'm even in it, however anything coming here is so light, it's not reaching the ground.

Yes, we just have flurries of snow flying past horizontally in Reigate!

[snowray]

2 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

Yes, we just have flurries of snow flying past horizontally in Reigate!

Thats it, same as here.

[samalllpop]

It looks like the system is moving north east no? 

[samalllpop]

The system hitting tomorrow I mean 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

36 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

After nothing of note from this event so far, this evening has marked a massive turnaround for the better ?

We’ve has persistent snow for most of the evening which is now rather heavy. A nice cover is now developing!

Look forward to getting up in the morning to check the snow accumulated!

[kold weather]

Yep frontal system already knocking on the door of the channel,note this is even a little ahead of the HIRLAM which is the fastest of all the models with taking the front northwards. Anyway time for me to head to bed, hopefully I will wake up at the crack of dawn to see some good frontal progress.

Well done to those who got some good action tonight by the way!

[SnoFlakeEar]

Apparently Hiram has gone West all bets off?

[weathergeek]

6 minutes ago, snowray said:

Thats it, same as here.

And here! Snowing since 4ish yet I know that if this was wetter, straight falling snow we'd be knee deep but the accumulation doesn't match the houra of snow because it as being blown everywhere being so powdery and dry!

[CK1981]

2 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Look forward to getting up in the morning to check the snow accumulated!

I’m guessing we have a couple of inches now, but it’s hard to tell. 

Not bad going considering there was nothing on the ground at 7pm.

How’s it looking in Windsor?

[Snowman.]

3 minutes ago, Kevin Cracknell said:

Apparently Hiram has gone West all bets off?

Nah

Frontal snow 2 electric boogaloo 

 

Edited February 28, 2018 by SN0WM4N

[SnoFlakeEar]

Good news the still on track?!

[pages]

23 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

If anything, the HIRLAM model is still too far West compared to where it is on the radars..

This is.. exciting!

yeah just having a look through radar and looks about 30 miles north East of where it is modelled of HIRLAM at this time. so all good for south East. if we take it Hirlam is now correct but shift  everything slightly 20miles east it looks very  good for whole south of country. would expect slightly increased intensity also for essex/Suffolk as now the eastern end of band will be further out in north sea and with the winds being very high that will increase convection.

[Essex Chelle]

Just in from work wind is howling hete near the estuary. I'e not had chance to read today's posts so can someone update me 're storm emma and it' tracks etc. Im now due to go to Bognor in 36 hours time and I been losing faith getting really miserable in fact that we may have to cancel. What' it looking like?

[pages]

4 minutes ago, Kevin Cracknell said:

Apparently Hiram has gone West all bets off?

Kevin that is Fridays band if you run next through frames you will see that come up NE and plaster us Friday aswell lol.

[Come rain snow or shine]

1 minute ago, Essex Chelle said:

Just in from work wind is howling hete near the estuary. I'e not had chance to read today's posts so can someone update me 're storm emma and it' tracks etc. Im now due to go to Bognor in 36 hours time and I been losing faith getting really miserable in fact that we may have to cancel. What' it looking like?

 

Could be a dodgy trip. Wait and see, though.

[londonblizzard]

18z Hirlam still looks excellent for London late Thursday morning and Friday afternoon to my eyes..

[emf0778]

Alexa reckons I’ll see flurries.  She had better be wrong, want some decent snow.

[stubbys]

 

 

Is it me or are those the wind directions at the moment? Because that is how the animation plays out, UK ENE winds and France SW winds, almost a split right along the channel ?

[lottiekent]

Wind howling round the house! Temp -5c, dew point -9c

Used to tracking French blobs on the radar but it’s usually summer and in the 20’s, not sub-zero and winter!

Edited March 1, 2018 by lottiekent

[Come rain snow or shine]

14 minutes ago, stubbys said:

 

 

Is it me or are those the wind directions at the moment? Because that is how the animation plays out, UK ENE winds and France SW winds, almost a split right along the channel ?

The bands of precipitation are moving approx north east wards, but the winds will generally be east or south easterlies, at least in northern france. Looking at the sky an hour ago in West Sussex, the highish clouds were moving approx in an easterly direction, against an easterly wind,  indicating the movement of approaching weather systems from an approx westerly direction.

Edited March 1, 2018 by Come rain snow or shine
typo

[snowrye]

I cant do another early morning snow/radar watch lol,so im off to bed,fingers crossed that we all get a decent splodge over the next 48 hrs,been very hit and miss sadly,night guy's

[pages]

3 minutes ago, stubbys said:

 

 

Is it me or are those the wind directions at the moment? Because that is how the animation plays out, UK ENE winds and France SW winds, almost a split right along the channel ?

hi stubbys the French band gives impression of winds going NE but is illusion. the low is moving up in a north easterly direction from bay Biscay, the band of snow on its front is actually being blown in WNW direction as below, but on radar we see the north east edge of low coming up towards us each frame which gives the ilustion of showers going in north easterly direction. ETA for band to hit south coast 3:30am heavy stuff to arrive 7am ish.

[alexisj9]

16 minutes ago, stubbys said:

 

 

Is it me or are those the wind directions at the moment? Because that is how the animation plays out, UK ENE winds and France SW winds, almost a split right along the channel ?

That doesn't make sense unless there's a low in the channel right now.