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Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards


Captain Shortwave

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Posted
  • Location: Greenhithe near Dartford
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and hot summers
  • Location: Greenhithe near Dartford

Just had a light shower are we in for another surprise night, let's see.........

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Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
14 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Hirlam for tomorrow morning !!

Well East :)

A4744C72-2616-4AF9-AFE7-BBA9D46D8F81.thumb.png.d64943ac8a63daabfaa60563bc482c20.png

whilst that looks good, look further on-

lunchtime-

hirlamuk-1-24-0.thumb.png.95906a483261ba4eafea7bfe55faac91.png

evening-

hirlamuk-1-30-0.thumb.png.5a66b90fcb8185358517866621610715.png

lets hope the hirlam is bang on!

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1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Not too different in some of the more favourable high-resolution models. I would also suggest probably more like 7 to 12 cm of snow over the likes of Hampshire Berkshire possibly Sussex  and Surrey as well.

Wheres the entry point & eastern end - as Hirlam entry is SE kent -?

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Posted
  • Location: Sittingbourne Kent
  • Location: Sittingbourne Kent
1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Not too different in some of the more favourable high-resolution models. I would also suggest probably more like 7 to 12 cm of snow over the likes of Hampshire Berkshire possibly Sussex  and Surrey as well.

Is Surrey/Sussex it’s furthest eastern point you think

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Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl

Fingers crossed for the next couple of days then,its been so frustrating watching all these showers go north or south of me,had a couple of cms,but compared to places a couple of miles away,its nothing,not got above freezing already,which is amazing

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Posted
  • Location: Singleton, Kent
  • Location: Singleton, Kent
1 hour ago, Southender said:

Not sure what ARPEGE is smoking but it is going for 2-4cm across the region by tomorrow evening

8972_lxi6.png

In line with MetO guidance re snow pushing up from the SW tomorrow morning.

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Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming

Sorry a bit off topic... but

Just read in the guardian that the recent arctic warming is a ‘freak phenomenon linked with climate change’.

I thought it was bcos of the SSW, which I’ve read here and elsewhere is a natural (albeit unusual) phenomenon not linked to human activity...

is the guardian just doom-mongering or is it in some way linked to CC? ?

(sorry for the digression!)

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Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
22 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Hirlam for tomorrow morning !!

Well East :)

A4744C72-2616-4AF9-AFE7-BBA9D46D8F81.thumb.png.d64943ac8a63daabfaa60563bc482c20.png

Tomorrow Morning ??

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Posted
  • Location: Sittingbourne Kent
  • Location: Sittingbourne Kent
1 minute ago, bobbydog said:

whilst that looks good, look further on-

lunchtime-

hirlamuk-1-24-0.thumb.png.95906a483261ba4eafea7bfe55faac91.png

evening-

hirlamuk-1-30-0.thumb.png.5a66b90fcb8185358517866621610715.png

lets hope the hirlam is bang on!

Touch more East would be nice. Cover the whole south of the uk

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
16 minutes ago, CrimsonSunset said:

Current showers seem to be missing me just to the south. Not complaining though, it's been a fantastic day of snow here in Central London! 

Same here, got the showers north and south but missing here.

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Posted
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and ice days
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex

Just hoping the HIRLAM and METO APP is correct from an IMBY perspective.

Saying that I guess it’s good for the whole region the further east it is?

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Posted
  • Location: Singleton, Kent
  • Location: Singleton, Kent
26 minutes ago, dallas said:

Meto regional update not out yet, normally by now I think, maybe they are waiting on a few more models to update

It's out on the app. Website having technical difficulties. I posted earlier... nice upgrade for tomorrow and Friday.

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Posted
  • Location: Southend on Sea, London, Jarnac in France
  • Location: Southend on Sea, London, Jarnac in France

Afternoon all,

A few flurries flying around Southend at the moment, is the Southend snow machine about to fire back up again?

Think I managed an ice day today, -0.5 was as 'warm' as it got...

Cheers

 

FC

 

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Posted
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 161 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, warm sunny days.
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 161 ft asl

Everything's calm now - it's still dark but the snow has stopped. 

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Posted
  • Location: North of Steyning - West Sussex - some 10 miles south of Horsham
  • Location: North of Steyning - West Sussex - some 10 miles south of Horsham
23 minutes ago, cobbett said:

a rare flake has been spotted in Farnham

Corn or the ice variety?

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Posted
  • Location: Near Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Near Hull
3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Sorry a bit off topic... but

Just read in the guardian that the recent arctic warming is a ‘freak phenomenon linked with climate change’.

I thought it was bcos of the SSW, which I’ve read here and elsewhere is a natural (albeit unusual) phenomenon not linked to human activity...

is the guardian just doom-mongering or is it in some way linked to CC? ?

(sorry for the digression!)

It’s just not that simple. Global warming affects the weather in complex ways. One weather event can’t be directly linked. Someone can probably explain it much better than I can. Of course climate change/global warming is reality, but much of the reporting on it is rubbish, even on the side of those who believe it. 

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Posted
  • Location: Odiham, Hampshire
  • Location: Odiham, Hampshire
20 minutes ago, paget said:

I spotted one too! Does that make 2 flakes in total? ?

Stranger still. A string of heavy, if short-lived, showers passing through Odiham. Very heavy at the moment and drifting in the wind. the small areas of green have now gone white again. 

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Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

 

Wheres the entry point & eastern end - as Hirlam entry is SE kent -?

Hirlam probably about the most easterly but most have snow on the warm front. The real question is where does that core come up. Certainly been some eastwards adjustments today.

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