Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards

[snowray]

The low has to shift east as well, and it simply is not going to do that by the look of things but I admit that ICON does come close. Yes there is still time for this to change but when Met Office changed their update and forecasts it was the kiss of death I'm afraid. Best we can achieve is a mainly snow to rain/freezing rain event(away from the coasts that is), but a stalling front struggling against the very cold air over the UK would be perfectomundo.

Not what I was expecting though, this should have been a clean undercut eastwards surely, but the Low wants to head NW, darn it!

[turkishfella]

3 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

It’s always been a risk, and still might go in our favour. We just want the low to correct south and not pull north and west (as some models are showing). Ideal track through the north of France, which would bring an all snow event as milder uppers will be kept to the south.

I know people will say ‘why look at the weekend when we have all this snow over the next few days’, but for many in the south we might not see a lot of snow from these streamers, so are relying on something decent at the weekend.

exactly, and fingers crossed for more snow from that low

[username home]

imagine if the bbc had forecasted to the extremes that some on here wanted them too..... 

[throwoff]

I have to say I am not 'feeling it' for Medway.

I know this about the least scientific reason for calling weather but I just don't see it happening here tonight, it looks wrong to me, I think EA will do well as well as the tip of Kent but I will be shocked if we get anything serious overnight here. 

[tomp456]

Another snow flurry.

Sill not enough to settle though.

 

[Snow Queen one]

Nothing else here just cold wind and sunny.  Lovely day again skies and clouds look great.

[Kent Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, throwoff said:

I have to say I am not 'feeling it' for Medway.

I know this about the least scientific reason for calling weather but I just don't see it happening here tonight, it looks wrong to me, I think EA will do well as well as the tip of Kent but I will be shocked if we get anything serious overnight here. 

Why is that? what chart if any do you get this doubt from throwoff?

[PurpleButterfly]

Suns back out now. Was a nice little snow shower that lol 

[throwoff]

Just now, Kent Blizzard said:

Why is that? what chart if any do you get this doubt from throwoff?

Not from a chart Kent, just a general feeling in my gut, granted I doubt that the METO or BBC will be on the phone anytime soon to contract my gut feeling to predict the weather, it just doesn't feel right out there for what we are meant to see.

I would be more than happy to be called an idiot tomorrow morning for going with my gut and getting it wrong.

[Kent Blizzard]

1 minute ago, throwoff said:

Not from a chart Kent, just a general feeling in my gut, granted I doubt that the METO or BBC will be on the phone anytime soon to contract my gut feeling to predict the weather, it just doesn't feel right out there for what we are meant to see.

I would be more than happy to be called an idiot tomorrow morning for going with my gut and getting it wrong.

Once this sun goes down and the showers start to roll in it'll be fine mate and will settle quick.

[throwoff]

Just now, Kent Blizzard said:

Once this sun goes down and the showers start to roll in it'll be fine mate and will settle quick.

As I said mate, I will be more than happy to admit you were right and I'm an idiot tomorrow believe me!

[Badgers01]

Just now, Kent Blizzard said:

Once this sun goes down and the showers start to roll in it'll be fine mate and will settle quick.

why will the sun going down enhance the showers? there are showers around they just don't. seem to have the oomph like they did in 2009. Then the radar was lots of bright yellow with the odd red bit for really heavy convection that is what seems lacking so far.

[yamkin]

Incoming Gravy Snow Train For The SE 

[Kent Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, throwoff said:

As I said mate, I will be more than happy to admit you were right and I'm an idiot tomorrow believe me!

When you say tonight do you mean till Midnight or can we take into count the early hours 

[throwoff]

We can include the early hours mate!

[Kent Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, Badgers01 said:

why will the sun going down enhance the showers? there are showers around they just don't. seem to have the oomph like they did in 2009. Then the radar was lots of bright yellow with the odd red bit for really heavy convection that is what seems lacking so far.

The sun has helped to thaw anything that we have had fairly quick on the roads here. Nothing to do with enhancing the showers.

Edited February 26, 2018 by Kent Blizzard

[TSNWK]

Just now, yamkin said:

Incoming Gravy Snow Train For The SE 

Hello Yamkin - really as I'm not feeling the love at the moment.. any little snippets from the council.

[Wimbledon88]

12 minutes ago, username home said:

imagine if the bbc had forecasted to the extremes that some on here wanted them too..... 

Yes indeed.

Looks like the beeb/metogroup may have been right all along. Which,to be fair,is good to know for the future.

[James1975P]

The key is the wind direction we have been getting ENE and scattered showerss sunshine changed to NE now real dark clouds rolling in to Sittingbourne now, and if  you run the radar through  you can see the difference in buildup, keep the faith

[Kent Blizzard]

1 minute ago, throwoff said:

We can include the early hours mate!

I can see out across the Thames currently, looking good for some action in an hour or so.

[throwoff]

Just now, Wimbledon88 said:

Yes indeed.

Looks like the beeb/metogroup may have been right all along. Which,to be fair,is good to know for the future.

We can't seriously be agreeing with this can we?

The beeb have been miles out for the entirety of the past 7 days. They are still showing light snow while heavy snow is actually falling across chunks of the East coast?!

[snowfall09]

Please correct me if I'm wrong but winds seem to be coming from more of a NEly direction rather than an ENE that was being modelled and forecast.

Surely a Kent streamer has as much chance of setting up than a Thames streamer at the stage?

Edited February 26, 2018 by snowfall09

[Biensie]

Wow, this thread has gone down hill and miserable..... more depressing than a week of wet and windy 'guaranteed' weather which i'm pretty confident you will be happy with next week.

I'm off..

[Met4Cast]

Right. Work done, I can now sit at home and watch the radar.

Quite a few heavy snow showers whilst driving around today, heaviest was 8/10 on the Murr scale. Everything settled but mostly melted once the sun came back out, looking good for our region tonight!

[wellington boot]

1 minute ago, snowfall09 said:

Please correct me if I'm wrong but winds seem to be coming from more of a NEly direction rather than an ENE that was being modelled and forecast.

Surely a Kent streamer has as much chance of setting up than a Themes streamer at the stage?

Think this was always expected. NE'rly through tomorrow, turning more E'rly then SE'rly Tues-Wed.