Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards

[Bryn Webster]

1 minute ago, SLEETY said:

Temp dropped 3 degrees  since 4.30 0.2c now 

I saw the buoy stations off Norfolk fall to 0C around 4pm ... knew it was coming then  .... -1C in Cambridge :)....10m asl

Edited February 25, 2018 by Bryn Webster

[throwoff]

1 minute ago, Nizzer said:

Like I said earlier. This doesn't sit right with me. I hope this doesn't go tits up!

Everyone else has the SE in firing line and it moving west into the rest of the UK.

Beeb have this badly wrong.

[Seasonal Trim]

Just now, throwoff said:

Everyone else has the SE in firing line and it moving west into the rest of the UK.

Beeb have this badly wrong.

Even though your're probably right, you can't say that for certain until after the event. 

[cookie27]

I still reckon as this is the best winter weather we have had for 30 years and I reckon might beat 1987...we should defiantly do the snow cup

[craigore]

11 minutes ago, Justin123 said:

Thames streamer possible as early as rush hour tommorow, could cause tricky commutes!! I have to travel from canvey to London and back tommorow, I’m hoping tails will be ok, even for tommorow, Monday night looks even better. Canvey is looking one of the best spots for the next few days, inc Southend/ dartford/ sittingbourne, if this produces 20’s of centimetres it would make up for the lack of snow for many years now! 

The problem wth streamers is they will only effect 20-30% of us ..

We really want widespread showers ,otherwise they will be a lot of us disapointed by Weds

Im hoping as the wind veers N.E then E then S.E  there will be more of a even distribution for most if not all of us.

[shotski]

Just now, throwoff said:

Everyone else has the SE in firing line and it moving west into the rest of the UK.

Beeb have this badly wrong.

Just saw their forecast which was updated an hour  ago. They talk of heavy disruptive snow for the south east ???? What forecasts are you looking at. 

[anything-but]

Current state of play.... 

Edited February 25, 2018 by anything-but

[Hellboy]

6 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

I understand they use a blend of all model data (which we have access to), so their forecasts jump about as a result. The Met Office use GLOSEA and MOGREPS, so tend to be more accurate and consistent.

Thanks! 

Here's hoping they change they change their tune in time for Countryfile. 

[Justin123]

7 minutes ago, craigore said:

The problem wth streamers is they will only effect 20-30% of us ..

We really want widespread showers ,otherwise they will be a lot of us disapointed by Weds

Im hoping as the wind veers N.E then E then S.E  there will be more of a even distribution for most if not all of us.

Yes totally! This is highlighted in Met office forecast, However, when the deepest cold is with us, likewise bringing instability, and aiding lake effect snowfall, all areas will see snowfall I’m confident with that, even if some places have a few cm, to others having 15+ I’m confident we will all be relieved come Wednesday. Also models are worst at forecasting showers, could form anywhere. Anyway for our region there has been upgraded in the last 6-12 hours for snowfall earlier tommorow. So fingers crossed guys.

Edited February 25, 2018 by Justin123

[Bobby93]

8 minutes ago, craigore said:

The problem wth streamers is they will only effect 20-30% of us ..

We really want widespread showers ,otherwise they will be a lot of us disapointed by Weds

Im hoping as the wind veers N.E then E then S.E  there will be more of a even distribution for most if not all of us.

Agreed, we want to see showers pushing in off of the North Sea from all over the place. Surely with the uppers and the flow there will be showers everywhere and not just the streamers.

Anyone got any opinions on this?

Edited February 25, 2018 by Bobby93

[CK1981]

2 minutes ago, Hellboy said:

Thanks! 

Here's hoping they change they change their tune in time for Countryfile. 

I don’t think they will as it’s probably prerecorded. They’ll continue to sit on the fence.

[Donna3397]

14 minutes ago, throwoff said:

And that’s likely falling on top of nearly 48 hours of on off snowfall....

The black bars “ does that show snow”???

[Rinse The Raindrops]

Essex Weather Centre‏Verified account @EssexWeather 8m8 minutes ago

More

There are now four severe weather warnings in force by the @MetOffice with a AMBER warning for Clacton, Maldon, South Woodham Ferrers, Basildon, Rayleigh, Southend-on-Sea, Canvey Island and Grays: https://essexweather.org.uk/severe-weather-advisories/ …

 

[yamkin]

1 hour ago, Jayces said:

I'm sure I read a post from someone somewhere saying that grit is no use with this sort of snow as it's dry and grit only works on wet snow? Can't remember who or where though sorry. I guess we will find out in the morning :-)

Salt & grit 

[Meggy]

Serious question - I have a friend flying into Southend airport from Amsterdam at 10am tomorrow morning! is he likely to have problems? Thanks everyone!

[JennyJane1]

Back from my honey and vanilla scented bath (sounds posh but it was wilkinsons cheap stuff) and find you lot have posted over 91 posts in the hour i've been gone, so i take it things are happening on the radar?

[shotski]

1 minute ago, CK1981 said:

I don’t think they will as it’s probably prerecorded. They’ll continue to sit on the fence.

Their forecasts are fine, showing heavy disruptive showers and then heavy snow Tuesday ??

[john mac]

1 minute ago, Meggy said:

Serious question - I have a friend flying into Southend airport from Amsterdam at 10am tomorrow morning! is he likely to have problems? Thanks everyone!

Think they will be fine

[Southender]

1 minute ago, Meggy said:

Serious question - I have a friend flying into Southend airport from Amsterdam at 10am tomorrow morning! is he likely to have problems? Thanks everyone!

No. He will be fine tomorrow morning. 

[Mal_UK]

1 minute ago, Meggy said:

Serious question - I have a friend flying into Southend airport from Amsterdam at 10am tomorrow morning! is he likely to have problems? Thanks everyone!

I think tomorrow morning will be fine. Tomorrow evening might be localised issues but morning is looking ok , unless something special builds up overnight!

[yamkin]

1 hour ago, Pixel said:

i have that one..  its predicting snow too.. pix to follow (-:

I have one too 

[CI Weather]

52 minutes ago, Essex Chelle said:

Yay another islander? 

Yep!

[Justin123]

1 minute ago, Meggy said:

Serious question - I have a friend flying into Southend airport from Amsterdam at 10am tomorrow morning! is he likely to have problems? Thanks everyone!

They will be fine, however if it was Tuesday at 10 a different kettle of fish, even later Monday could cause problems. 

[jright35]

Awaiting country file weekly forecast!

[CK1981]

Just now, shotski said:

Their forecasts are fine, showing heavy disruptive showers and then heavy snow Tuesday ??

I’ve not seen the latest forecast from them, but they have been very poor over the past few days.