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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Exeter, Devon, UK. alt 10m asl
  • Location: Exeter, Devon, UK. alt 10m asl
    6 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

    Met office seems to have imploded!

    Yes - just for locations in Cornwall & Devon it seems - Bit awkward when you can not pull up a forecast for the city that the MO are based in.....

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    Sod the snow, Tom Baker is trying to steal your car. 

    I want to see this in the morning.  

    Good afternoon all ,with the passing of my beautifull wife last Autumn things have been rather busy at home but now starting to quieten down ,so today i,v been for a great walk up local woods .with th

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    Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset

    Clear and sunny until 10.30 then rapid cloud up with snowflakes in the wind recently. It's almost as if it's practising for summer!

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    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    Light flurries here in Bath 

    Edited by fromey
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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl

    Just been outside and on kissed on the nose by a Unicorn :-)

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    Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
    15 hours ago, karlos1983 said:

    I’m not in the best of ways, can someone give me a quick summary of how the end of the week looks.

    ps cheers @Man With Beard for your words in the Mad thread, hard work being Purbeck coaster ??‍♂️

    Hi Karlos, sorry only just picked up your post, hope you're ok

    It seems to be the usual Dorset coast nightmare!! The chance of a blizzard, but also the chance of missing it while 20 miles away they're snowed in!!

    I think it is completely 50/50 right now, even if the models look 30/70.

    Still at least for me it isn't going to be a snow-free week. Two very light snow showers already this morning!

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    Posted
  • Location: Draycott, Cheddar
  • Weather Preferences: I'll have cold and cold with a side serving of cold.
  • Location: Draycott, Cheddar

    We've got the odd snow flake falling near Cheddar.

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    Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL

    Not sure I'm going to get any work done this week! Too busy checking the radar, various model outputs and reading @Bring Back1962-63excellent posts!

    Snow showers working their way further across our region currently..

    image.thumb.png.afbd71715ba767284ef9c1c9d7f9748a.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl

    Heavy flurries in Downton. I dont notice anything accumulating. 

    Edited by CheesepuffScott
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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    Yep been flurrying on and off for an hour here. Not heavy enough to make a difference but nice all the same

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
    2 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

    Hi Karlos, sorry only just picked up your post, hope you're ok

    It seems to be the usual Dorset coast nightmare!! The chance of a blizzard, but also the chance of missing it while 20 miles away they're snowed in!!

    I think it is completely 50/50 right now, even if the models look 30/70.

    Still at least for me it isn't going to be a snow-free week. Two very light snow showers already this morning!

    LOL yes I’m fine, was in a bad way this morning, but self inflicted!!

    i agree 50/50 atm! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
    3 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:

    Not sure I'm going to get any work done this week! Too busy checking the radar, various model outputs and reading @Bring Back1962-63excellent posts!

    Snow showers working their way further across our region currently..

    image.thumb.png.afbd71715ba767284ef9c1c9d7f9748a.png

    This chart is a bit of an exaggeration though. It's more like a bit of blossom blowing in the wind in Portsmouth.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    It comes to something when it's 2 degrees warmer here than in Portland.

    Today's sunshine has meant that February's total is now higher than September's, last year.

    Edited by Mapantz
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    Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire

    As @Man With Beard has just pointed out in Knocker's thread, the Hirlam has shown more activity than the other models, so it could be argued that it has a better handle than the others for today.

    12Z

    image.thumb.png.b513f88912aa9d85c9844d1dc05337cb.png

    Now

    image.thumb.png.d8d911dd22ef98a20eed1dcaa7806c81.png

    So then if we run that forwards to 18Z, we get...

    image.thumb.png.959dd0b406350051ce7db75dc5e6d655.png

    Have a run through for the rest of the day here --> https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/hirlam.php

    It looks decent and as I type we have quite a bit of snow blowing around in the wind.

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    Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
    1 minute ago, Man With Beard said:

    This chart is a bit of an exaggeration though. It's more like a bit of blossom blowing in the wind in Portsmouth.

    Yes, the very light pink areas are definitely just flurries by the look of it!

    Still, nice to see even that as I didn't think we get even that today!

    Liked your excellent analysis in the MOD thread btw :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

    Very cloudy here with the odd flake falling every  now and again. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
    8 minutes ago, jtay said:

    As @Man With Beard has just pointed out in Knocker's thread, the Hirlam has shown more activity than the other models, so it could be argued that it has a better handle than the others for today.

    .......

     

    Will be interesting to compare its output with the radar over the next few hours as that slightly heavier precipitation comes across.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    See my main issue about whether it snows or not at the end of the week is that unlike the rest of my family I wasn’t so keen on moving to the coast when we did in 2016 for this exact reason, well one of the reasons anyway. Hopefully it won’t matter come the end of the week. 

    Clouded over here now after a sunny start, might see a bit of dandruff if I’m lucky from that decaying shower heading this way. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    2 hours ago, Bristle boy said:

    As i hinted in post yday eve AWD that Thurs/Fri low looks like it is heading out away from Ireland into the Atlantic. Might end up being a non-event. Extreme version of the situ mind you

    It's Ok.  Warning is now back along with a snowfall forecast right up until the end of Friday on my Meto App.

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    1 minute ago, Azazel said:

    covering of dandruff has melted now in the balmy -1C sun.

    Baltic compared to the dizzy heights of 2.3°C not long ago. 1.4°C now with the cloud moving in. 

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