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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

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The wind is already howling here, making it feel very chilly. Next week, Weds/Thurs could see gusts of 40mph across most of the South, combine that with temps around zero - baltic!

Met Office temps/humidty forecast suggests dew points of -13°C  and below.

Edited by Mapantz

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Sh$t just got real!!

DDDD4CB4-CD78-4F35-92BF-A643B84B9136.jpeg

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Biggest lesson for me over all this never tell anyone you know and sort yourself out only. People's attitudes are not worth the hassle.

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-6 Wednesday night into Thursday morning. 

 

In Plymouth...... this is going to be brutal 

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We aren’t talking about your bog standard eastily here!! This airmass will be incredibly unstable, organised troughing is more likely than unlikely!! Then we get the systems pushing up into extremely cold air! We WILL be talking about this very cold spell for a long time! 

Not many forecasted dry easterlies end up being dry, this beats isn’t forecast to be dry at all, the radar Sunday night into Monday and thereafter could be something to behold, I’ve no doubt at all we will all be in here urging showers, bands of snow or troughs to head West! Embrace this spell if you like cold, and brace yourselves for the cold because it’s coming!!!

 

Edited by karlos1983

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1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

We aren’t talking about your bog standard eastily here!! This airmass will be incredibly unstable, organised troughing is more likely than unlikely!! Then we get the systems pushing up into extremely cold air! We WILL be talking about this very cold spell for a long time! 

Not many forecasted dry easterlies end up being dry, this beats isn’t forecast to be dry at all, the radar Sunday night into Monday and thereafter could be something to behold, I’ve no doubt at all we will all be in here urging showers, bands of snow or troughs tonhead West! Embrace this spell if you like cold, and brace yourselves for the cold because it’s coming!!!

 

Come Wednesday, such as the strength of the wind, showers will easily be crossing much of the country. So, flurries are possible anywhere.

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Things are starting to get crazy, charts aren't backing down on next week.

Looking extremely cold and even snowy for our neck of the woods.:cold:

Dreamy synoptics on offer next week:cold:

Currently lovely & sunny with temp at 3.2c & DP of -2c:cold:

Edited by SteveB

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2 hours ago, SteveB said:

@ *stormforce~beka

 

Try some sticky foam that you can buy from most hardware stores like B&Q or homebase,  I think it's called stormshield or something like that.

On my door from the garage, I have also stuck the foil sheets that you put behind radiators.

You could also try fitting a very thick curtain with thermal liner.

How did you stick foil on? Our garage is part of the house so the cold comes under the garage door and then we have 2 doors in.One into the hall and one into the kitchen.No curtains I don't think as I'm pretty sure I sent some old ones to charity.Gah.I need to double check though incase they are in a junk box in the garage.

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Just now, *Stormforce~beka* said:

How did you stick foil on? Our garage is part of the house so the cold comes under the garage door and then we have 2 doors in.One into the hall and one into the kitchen.No curtains I don't think as I'm pretty sure I sent some old ones to charity.Gah.I need to double check though incase they are in a junk box in the garage.

I used double sided sticky tape. Worked a treat.

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14 minutes ago, fromey said:

Sh$t just got real!!

DDDD4CB4-CD78-4F35-92BF-A643B84B9136.jpeg

There's something amiss about this chart. Wales certainly would not get away without at least a yellow alert along with Scotland. The use of  99% at the beginning is highly unprofessional. I smell a rat?

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Just now, SP1986 said:

There's something amiss about this chart. Wales certainly would not get away without at least a yellow alert along with Scotland. The use of  99% at the beginning is highly unprofessional. I smell a rat?

Only england use this cold weather advice thingy

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1 minute ago, SP1986 said:

There's something amiss about this chart. Wales certainly would not get away without at least a yellow alert along with Scotland. The use of  99% at the beginning is highly unprofessional. I smell a rat?

'tis  genuine. I just checked their site: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

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Basically bone dry up here next week i reck. Threat of snow later next week seems to be receding (imby). Boring HP and cold.

 

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MetOffice alerts are ramped up more these days due to h&s and nanny state encroachment.

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I didn't realise it was an England only system! They have jumped straight to amber? Yikes! So presumably red is not out of the question

Edited by SP1986

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2 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Basically bone dry up here next week i reck. Threat of snow later next week seems to be receding (imby). Boring HP and cold.

 

I hope your wrong 

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10 minutes ago, SteveB said:

I used double sided sticky tape. Worked a treat.

Picture please.How do get through the door with a tin foil curtain there lol

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6 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

I didn't realise it was an England only system! They have jumped straight to amber? Yikes! So presumably red is not out of the question

They put this one out on Wednesday 

D185573F-3E3C-48FB-9007-08381B61E413.jpeg

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8 minutes ago, Nights King said:

I hope your wrong 

So do i. But read Nick F's post in mad thread (and Carinthian's post). 

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9 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

I didn't realise it was an England only system! They have jumped straight to amber? Yikes! So presumably red is not out of the question

This system by meto is for public service providers like councils. Take care type briefings. 

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20 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Basically bone dry up here next week i reck. Threat of snow later next week seems to be receding (imby). Boring HP and cold.

 

That's because most models have the front too far south at the moment but that could easily alter

gfs_t850a_eur_27.thumb.png.4c6cc738720aeb6f2403c7d148a29e15.png

But then later :shok:

gfs_t850a_eur_39.thumb.png.5a039e43d03bbe55a827fb66ab49e114.png

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Well looking at predicted totals for down here hardly worth raving about is it. Expectations gone right out the window today. Cold yes snowy disruption like we was told. No.

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Hi-res models already picking up on precip accumulation making it into our region as early as Monday....that will only be enhanced imo the closer we get! what dry easterly :D

B1BC805F-8907-43EC-AF13-F79A2A8C113C.thumb.png.380442bcd899a2bd182f487fc362b22b.png

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6 minutes ago, knocker said:

That's because most models have the front too far south at the moment but that could easily alter

gfs_t850a_eur_27.thumb.png.4c6cc738720aeb6f2403c7d148a29e15.png

But then later :shok:

gfs_t850a_eur_39.thumb.png.5a039e43d03bbe55a827fb66ab49e114.png

Not according to mad thread. Now expected to not even hit the UK but go into France. Expectations for down here have been over hyped yet again.

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The precip charts/totals aren't worth the bandwidth they're using. I wouldn't worry about them.

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