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DiagonalRedLine

South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

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I'm not trying to be negative just want snow as much as the next person!

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I'm not entirely sure the models etc. have got this correct yet.

Just looking at the latest ICON rolling out now and storm EMMA currently appears to be further east than that model run is showing.

For example in the satellite pic below, the front running down the south east coast of Italy is already well inland:

latest-ir.gif

whereas the ICON has it not making that location untill 2300:

iconeu_it1-1-10-0.png?28-15

May not make an ounce of difference of course, but any correction eastward I think would be a good thing before it swings up towards us as the core of the heavier precipitation would hit our region instead of heading up to Ireland.

tempresult_cak9.gif

Also, I assume the further elongated the low pressure is eastwards, the more cold air it continues to pull in.

Either way, the ICON is still showing a decent snow event for the next two days even for me in the NE of our region :)

 

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Just now, karlos1983 said:

APERGE getting the heavy stuff going

arpege-1-31-0.png?28-16

I love the French!:D

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1 minute ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

To add the ICON and NetwX NMM look to go hand in hand. GFS, ECMWF, ARPEGE, HIRLAM all point towards heavier, more widespread snow.

I used to like the NMM suite.....If it gets this right, I'm gonna hunt it down and kill it :bomb::crazy:

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Just now, tomjwlx said:

arpege-1-32-0.png?28-16BANK!

Ahh....so it is an annoying-the-wife looking out the living room window whilst she is watching TV kinda evening:D

Best get the Blackthorn in for tom eve. Could be an all-nighter!

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1 minute ago, Bristle boy said:

Is that showing just light snow?

It's picks up a couple of frames later.

image.thumb.png.37a2a6e8a0b34f8eefb8c09847760377.png

I suspect however, that Karlos' point is that we don't really want to be playing model poker at this point.

It won't do us any good with that kind of spread.

 

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A very heavy snow shower here in Yate accompanied by gusty winds.

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Just now, John88B said:

A very heavy snow shower here in Yate accompanied by gusty winds.

Didn't expect this from looking at the radar!

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Just now, John88B said:

A very heavy snow shower here in Yate accompanied by gusty winds.

It is heading this way. Looking to my East out of living room window shows dark clouds almost here

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1 minute ago, jtay said:

It's picks up a couple of frames later.

image.thumb.png.37a2a6e8a0b34f8eefb8c09847760377.png

I suspect however, that Karlos' point is that we don't really want to be playing model poker at this point.

It won't do us any good with that kind of spread.

 

Indeed, this thread will be all the better for some positivity 😀

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Just now, jtay said:

It's picks up a couple of frames later.

image.thumb.png.37a2a6e8a0b34f8eefb8c09847760377.png

I suspect however, that Karlos' point is that we don't really want to be playing model poker at this point.

It won't do us any good with that kind of spread.

 

Correct, whilst we have no agreement, there's no point getting in a tizzy! I'll be watching activity over France overnight then progress into channel

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Just now, Bristle boy said:

It is heading this way. Looking to my East out of living room window shows dark clouds almost here

It's arrived in SG. Looks like it might get fairly heavy

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Looks v heavy 2 miles to my North towards Almondsbury motorway interchange - any one up there working at Aztec West?

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3 minutes ago, ThundersnowDays said:

Still had no snow on the ground here... 

We can't give you our West Country snow, sorry. :spiteful:

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