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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

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Looks like we are too Far East today for that snow out west lol. Can't win! Do have about ten snowflakes frozen to my windscreen though...

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More towards SE Wales 

2 minutes ago, Nights King said:

I'd think and hope for much greater potential than that... 2 days of heavy snow possible and only 5cm.. :cc_confused:

The snow looks much lighter than previously forecast but again still a few days yet for that to change 

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Beautiful day! My low temp was -4.2; got the day off, should be doing house chores but have a feeling I may be trapped weather watching again 🙈

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Bright blue skies and a temp here of -1.8. I haven't been in the MAD thread. And looking at the Meto app this morning snow seems to have disappeaed again. 

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Precipitation out in the channel was looking like an approaching storm front earlier this morning, has moved further south now..

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Quick check of the Metoffice for Warminster and now have yellow warning from Thurs until Saturday. Also sub-zero temps most of that time and snow. What's not to like!? BBC's Carol very bullish this morning too. I'm on board the train...

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Met have light snow showers today and the possibility of heavy ones tomorrow in between periods of sun. Hey I'll take anyt:Dhing 

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The convergence zone in the Channel as here

europe_vis.gif

needs to move a little as here and it might just impact along the south coast

PPVG89.thumb.gif.39a3a6a8b93fc605adb29a6229743054.gif

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0z Arpege shows these snow accumulations by Friday evening;

snowdepth_090.thumb.jpg.e8e194f3a6c8965f616878f56a54127e.jpg

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Had about 2cm here in Bognor Regis, steady snow through the morning dropping the kids off. Will most likely melt in sun but at least my 4 year old has finally seen snow and had a snow ball fight. Can cancel the holiday to norway now lol

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22 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

More towards SE Wales 

The snow looks much lighter than previously forecast but again still a few days yet for that to change 

IRISH met are talking 50cm + for them out of this system.

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35 minutes ago, fromey said:

What’s this Facebook page ive been reading about 

I have a Facebook Weather Page for my local area of Midsomer Norton and Radstock. I have many followers a few from afar afield as South Africa. I update it with two forecasts morning and evening with a local slant and regularly update in between using radar etc for giving an up to the minute reports of when rain, snow etc are likely to hit. The link is in my signature below.

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14 minutes ago, Gibby said:

I have a Facebook Weather Page for my local area of Midsomer Norton and Radstock. I have many followers a few from afar afield as South Africa. I update it with two forecasts morning and evening with a local slant and regularly update in between using radar etc for giving an up to the minute reports of when rain, snow etc are likely to hit. The link is in my signature below.

Unless I'm going mad I cant see your signature or the link @Gibby.

Ignore that comment @Gibby forgot I turned sugnatures off!

Edited by TheHumph
Correcting mistake

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26 minutes ago, AWD said:

0z Arpege shows these snow accumulations by Friday evening;

snowdepth_090.thumb.jpg.e8e194f3a6c8965f616878f56a54127e.jpg

Now thats more like it... a slight south east adjustment and then we have ourselves some fun people :santa-emoji:

Shame these are so inaccurate though.

10 - 20cm would be best in a decade if it happened.

Edited by Nights King

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I'm thinking tomorrow has more potential for Devon than Thursday!

Nom nom!

Screenshot_20180227-093247.png

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5 minutes ago, TheHumph said:

Unless I'm going mad I cant see your signature or the link @Gibby.

Look for Kilmersdon Weather on Facebook. 

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1 minute ago, ARTDEMOLE said:

Look for Kilmersdon Weather on Facebook. 

Thanks @ARTDEMOLE but I forgot I had my signatures turned off. Model fatigue!!!!

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28 minutes ago, Smiler1709 said:

Had about 2cm here in Bognor Regis, steady snow through the morning dropping the kids off. Will most likely melt in sun but at least my 4 year old has finally seen snow and had a snow ball fight. Can cancel the holiday to norway now lol

The ground it too cold for it to melt. You might see it vanish/diminish due to sublimation - very dry air removes the moisture from the snow, thereby shrinking its depth. The wind also blows snow from flat surfaces, tending to pile it up into what eventually become drifts.

Edited by EllyTech

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41 minutes ago, knocker said:

The convergence zone in the Channel as here

europe_vis.gif

needs to move a little as here and it might just impact along the south coast

PPVG89.thumb.gif.39a3a6a8b93fc605adb29a6229743054.gif

Morning Knocker (perhaps I should look at your short range posts before commenting) I have a question. Looking at Vis Sat, what is the explanation for the apparent circulation of cloud over the UK? Is it just the expected isobar layout or is there a low forming over us right now? - such as, a Polar low in situ? :pardon:

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I have some seen some forecasts in my time but the suggestion of 3 hours of heavy snow in plymouth tomorrow is frying my brain!! 

This is the event for this locale this week as on current modeling (can all change) friday might not be as impressive for snow as tomorrow!

@jessandjon @SNOW CRYSTAL 

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Fergieweather

W COUNTRY 2/2 Later Thurs into Thurs night/Fri, low pressure from S continues to look threatening in models. Risk of more widespread snow spreading N; moderate-heavy in places, perhaps locally blizzards. Added risk of freezing rain following for some. Detail v complex/uncertain.

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I’ve just hung my washing out in the hopes that reverse psychology it’ll snow now! Cloud is bubbling up but nothing showing on the radar

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It wont work Khodds,put mine out and hour ago,so stiff with the frost you couldn't sort it with a cricket bat lol 

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3 minutes ago, festivalking said:

I have some seen some forecasts in my time but the suggestion of 3 hours of heavy snow in plymouth tomorrow is frying my brain!! 

This is the event for this locale this week as on current modeling (can all change) friday might not be as impressive for snow as tomorrow!

@jessandjon @SNOW CRYSTAL 

Fantastic,.  can't wait. Haven't really had time to have a look this morning so that's a nice surprise. Thought we were going to miss out and just get a few flakes. Fingers crossed ❄⛄❄⛄❄

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