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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

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Just shows for our region the only way to get snow all round is a set up from the east and seemingly the best route is via a SSW. Think next year I'll be focusing on the strat!

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9 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

At this point I’d say no to the blob! 

Thats associated with some less cold air and more likely that would raise dew points ahead of it for the south coast.

These are already creeping up, so best outcome if I was on the south coast and had snow in my back garden , say no to the blob!

Don’t think we can stop on Nick ☹️

Its coming! 

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6 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Don’t think we can stop on Nick ☹️

Its coming! 

The outputs seem to want to take it more nw as it approaches. Just going to do a dew point check . I’ll be back!

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Ice pellets falling again! No more jizz please!!

Temperature: 0.4 °C
Dew Point: -0.3 °C
Wetbulb Temperature: 0.2 °C

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Just now, offerman said:

I was watching that too, rain snow ice rain sleet? 

Heavy snow in axminster

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Say yes to the blob 😂

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Still snowing. Approximate snow depth on pavement outside. 

Temp -2C  Humidity 90%  Dewpoint -3C   Pressure 992.3 

Fresh snow has given a nice top up. 

IMG_20180302_183246_resized_20180302_070227613.jpg

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Hang on, sleet/rain mixture now.. I cannot keep up!

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3 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

The outputs seem to want to take it more nw as it approaches. Just going to do a dew point check . I’ll be back!

I’m at -1.4c DP & temp -0.5c and I have freezing bloody rain again. 🤦‍♂️

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1 minute ago, khodds said:

Say yes to the blob 😂

 

temp.jpg

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Snowing in Yeovil...come on blob :drunk-emoji:

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1 hour ago, chris55 said:

And still caning down with snow ❄️ 

amazaballs

Its so lovely outside now. No blizzard. Went for a little walk.

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Posted (edited)

Ok I have snow, WTF 

that escalated quickly 

Edited by karlos1983
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                           Rain                                                          Snow                                                        850's
5a99b6f8568df_2018-03-02(5).thumb.png.94ce1b456c72810124b22f8b98ae0d48.png 5a99b6fb5d0c6_2018-03-02(6).thumb.png.3738851a7cf4c7084f43f3f87f57b1d4.png 5a99b6f4bdaca_2018-03-02(4).thumb.png.0d1c4e3f2edeb0fec691a3824e870c71.png

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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Ok I have snow, WTF 

Just need hail to complete the set. 

Edited by matt111
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Yes same here in creekmoor rain to snow !!!

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The thaw begins! I can hear creeking and cracking of ice and drip drip drip

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5 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Ok I have snow, WTF 

that escalated quickly 

:D You want at worst to not get the main blob, the northern edge is still marginal .

The main blob going by buoys in the Channel has higher dew points .

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Puzzling to be seeing sleet at -1*C with a -2*C dew point, an ENE wind and sub-zero 850s.

I suppose there must therefore be a warmer layer up there somewhere, just not at the 850 hPa level.

 

So while this event went well for those wanting a lot of snow in a short space of time, for longevity a lot of things have behaved badly, most notably storm Emma heading more east of the predicted track this afternoon (bringing more of a S component to the flow aloft, pushing today's snow away from the far south and reducing the capacity of the cold air to keep fighting back) and yet still not performing the split away toward the near continent that could have brought the cold boundary back south again.

Thankfully, it's March, and so there's an additional (on top of reduced negative socioeconomic impact, for example) major positive to the cold not hanging on at anything like such magnitude; much less damage or loss of life among plants and animals. Having seen such an extraordinary event play out right before my eyes and after 4 exceptionally cold days with some appetisers of snow here and there, I might even refrain from complaining about the rain next week! 

 

Of course it's not like this snowy spell is absolutely done and dusted; so much lying snow with ice in the mix or on top will take a great many hours to melt even if we see quite mild temps arrive on Sunday. Not sure just how many though!

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Lots of fun today, no school for kids or me, epic three hours out with sledges, cosy house when we got back, all my predictions and bragging to colleagues about the incoming snow was justified and turned out to be correct, wonderful Netweather model watching rewarded with proper Narnia-like outdoor beauty and luckily for us, no mishaps.

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Best snow since 2010 here. Let's hope the storm season is good as well :)

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2 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

:D You want at worst to not get the main blob, the northern edge is still marginal .

The main blob going by buoys in the Channel has higher dew points .

What's this... We got a blob on the way now?? :rofl:

I could do with a top up my foot is struggling on its own 

:santa-emoji:

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