South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

[kevvo]

Beast from the East, you gave us a feast.

The blow from below, you delivered us snow.

Ides of March, the death of Caesar,

now bring spring a little nearer.

 

[Lyn-M]

Currently +0.6°C here, wind has dropped and there's only limited drizzle falling.  I guess it may freeze by morning though.

[Leon1]

please dont let the snow be gone by morning  

[EllyTech]

13 minutes ago, matt111 said:

My rain gauge is alive. Not sure how I feel about that. 

My gas bill is humongous. Not sure how I feel about that. 

[Climate_Eyes]

Actually, make that 10 minutes. It's raining

 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

Just now, Climate_Eyes said:

Actually, make that 10 minutes. It's raining

 

Still snow here just. -1.2c and DP: -2.7c

[matt111]

4 minutes ago, Climate_Eyes said:

Actually, make that 10 minutes. It's raining

 

It's not pleasant what you've got coming. 

DRIP DRIP DRIP. 

And the ice on the windows clearing. 

Edited March 2, 2018 by matt111

[matt111]

2 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Still snow here just. -1.2c and DP: -2.7c

Make the most of the final minutes of it. 

[Climate_Eyes]

1 minute ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Still snow here just. -1.2c and DP: -2.7c

Fingers crossed Beka, hopefully places like Reading will fayre better.

Hope you're felling better btw. Whisky 'n' lemon!

[jy]

So Spring is over then lol

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

It's not pleasant what you've got coming. 

DRIP DRIP DRIP. 

And the ice on the window is clearing. 

Oh for goodness sake stop moaning ... At least your gonna have clean winda'z!!! ;-) Natures spring clean lol

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

Make the most of the final minutes of it. 

God don't. I think I am going to cry for real.

[Climate_Eyes]

2 minutes ago, matt111 said:

It's not pleasant what you've got coming. 

DRIP DRIP DRIP. 

And the ice on the windows clearing. 

Yeah I knew instantly, the fine ice crystals and then rain makes a hissing sound as it strikes through my FREAKING SNOW.

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 minute ago, jy said:

So Spring is over then lol

Still snowing there dude?

 

[CheesepuffScott]

29 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Depends how much snow you have, but I can’t see all my snow being gone in one night, it would take a lot of rain and mich higher temps. 

Got about 4-5 inches on the hill I go sledging. Up to a foot in the drifty bits

[Nights King]

3 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Make the most of the final minutes of it. 

ppn moving so slow im not sure ill ever see it 

[CheesepuffScott]

Still snowing here!

[john w]

Well what a spell.

In good old Bracknell we didn't do too badly, I think 10cm in places. My memory o this spell will be the extent of snow I saw in London, the cold and actually the ski=resort nature to the snow - powder.

There is an irony that I think a swathe of the country that is something like west of the A22 and south of the M4, broadly speaking, has to have very specific and marginal or deep cold circumstances to expect snow. On Northeasterlies, there is too much country in the way. North westerly often the wrong side of marginal (though a north westerly meeting hot and warm in the summer is often brilliant for our patch). Easterly, streamer specific, South Easterly or southerly, by what you would call 'absurd' normally give us the battleground scenarios for the snow that we all crave. Sliders or Channel Lows, the best of those.

The synoptics and temperature profile have been perfect and this will have been a 1 in 20 year event for most (5% chance in any given year), For some 1 in 50 (60's being the last incursion). It proves extremes happen, hot and cold. It certainly does not prove that climate change is a myth (pseudo geopolitical message in there for any doubters), if it bans me so be it. There are places a little east of me that got a fair bit less than Bracknell. But, the deep cold here was akin to being on a ski lift in the alps in January at times. That is saying something.

I suppose it goes to show the great fragility and chaos that occurs on a global scale when events high up in our atmosphere take place. The irony of this being we are only just about understanding the connection it has. You can predict climate, you can predict weather with greater certainty now. But, for island nations and mountain areas, its incredible how often nowcast or T+12 is about as accurate as you get at times. So often events start from a tiny difference somewhere. Teleconnectors try to put this down to global wind anomaly, angular momentums, sunspots, lunar cycles and other technical measures I have a very limited understanding of. Such is the fragility of the system, that difference has to manifest perfectly to the solution that occurred last night for many. A low managing to punch through when the norm would be the cold winning out. The beast from the east, The ability for the high to retrogress so quickly and in some respects...allow the low through, The low moving in (and it stil seems bizarre to say it) - a northwest direction. 

We shall now endure a thaw and many will see drizzle or light rain tonight. In my area, I expect the snow to be widely gone by Monday or Tuesday and while at heart I am a coldie, I tend to think by mid march, I can ditch the hat and scarf and by early April, which features by birthday, that first beer in the pub, outside, maybe in just a t-shirt can take place.

I shall very much go back to lurk status now and comment when need be. Unless winter proper makes an unlikely reprieve. I am never too sure if I should be in this thread or over the way. I feel over the way has too many people south and east of me who generally fair better, whereas here, we always seem to be chasing the same dream. That said, I am so glad the south west got the spell it got for those that seek it. For those that don't, remember extremes can happen and be prepared. 

If you take April 1 2017 to March 31 2018, it has been a record breaking year globally. Hurricane Irma, the Typhoons/cyclones to hit Japan and Asia, Aussie heatwaves, California wildfires, our cold spell just now, Ex Orphelia. Who is to say 2018/9 wont do the same. Equally, who is to say it will.

Until next time.

Edited March 2, 2018 by john w
typo

[Blizzardof82]

3 minutes ago, Nights King said:

ppn moving so slow im not sure ill ever see it 

The Beast is fighting back 

[karlos1983]

6 minutes ago, Nights King said:

ppn moving so slow im not sure ill ever see it 

That might be a blessing mate, it’s not pleasant! It’s actually quite disturbing! I’m not sure I’ll have a snowman left by morning ?

 

Edited March 2, 2018 by karlos1983

[karlos1983]

Well Darn it, ice days are gone ☹️

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

That might be a blessing mate, it’s not pleasant! It’s actually quite disturbing! I’m not sure I’ll have a snowman left by morning ?

 

That ppn is my friend it will fall as snow. 

[karlos1983]

Just now, Nights King said:

That ppn is my friend it will fall as snow. 

I hope so for your sake! I expected rain so my 10 mins of snow was a bonus.  ? ?

 

[matt111]

Tropical here. 1.3°C

The drippings ramped up even more and now it's accompanied by a pouring sound. Sounds like a rapid thaw going on. 

 

[EllyTech]

1 minute ago, Nights King said:

That ppn is my friend it will fall as snow. 

I'm biting my nails. There's nothing but freezing rain headed for me. Hope it turns to snow before it gets here. I love my powerderpuff wonderland.