Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards


BlueHedgehog074

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
Just now, Singularity said:

A few inches and counting, snow turning heavier now.

Extremely concerning that ALL models now agree on between 3 and 6 hours of freezing rain here overnight, some of it heavy. That'll cause some damage I'm sure, while compacting the snow so that I can't record the peak depth which will likely be around midnight (well, I could try if I stay up... am I that mad? Maybe!).

How far inland please?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Plymouth
  • Weather Preferences: Cold & snow, hot & thundery!
  • Location: Plymouth

Got to say I'm slightly baffled. I live in Plymouth yet all the ppn heading up from the channel just seems to be stalling on the coast? No significant snowfall in the last couple of hours... hoping this will change soon! Glad to hear there are lots of areas around me who are getting a snowfest! ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bracknell, Berkshire
  • Location: Bracknell, Berkshire
6 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Expand please. Pivoting from where to where?

The general direction of travel..the low was always forecast to move northwest. It has hung around  a bit longer and a tad further east on 12z gfs. But as it begins to pivot and move northwest the rainbands in the eastern channel are looking as though they are doing the same.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

Bristle Boy... this pivot could be perfect timing if you look at the line of heavy showers to our SE. :shok::shok:

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Poole Dorset
  • Location: Poole Dorset
2 minutes ago, TallPaul said:

Got to say I'm slightly baffled. I live in Plymouth yet all the ppn heading up from the channel just seems to be stalling on the coast? No significant snowfall in the last couple of hours... hoping this will change soon! Glad to hear there are lots of areas around me who are getting a snowfest! ?

Nick Sussex said this morning it may stall on the coastline maybe he was right.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Just now, EllyTech said:

How far inland please?

Most optimistic (least extensive) is HIRLAM:

hirlamuk-42-13-0.png?01-16

GFS showing mostly just rain where it's not snow but that seems hard to believe given surface temps:

15-574.GIF?01-12 15-778.GIF?01-12

ICON the most extensive:

iconeu_uk1-42-17-0.png?01-15

 

I really hope the movement aloft of above-zero 850s is being carried out too efficiently i.e. that in reality it will cool/mix out more quickly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Isle Of Wight - Newport
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters/Hot summers
  • Location: Isle Of Wight - Newport

Another picture from the front of the close.

BA5BFB7B-06B3-4A69-9E8E-5F0CCA19E2C4.jpeg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

Cant believe theres no-one having a coffee in the cafe.....

weymouth beach cafe webcam

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
2 minutes ago, john w said:

The general direction of travel..the low was always forecast to move northwest. It has hung around  a bit longer and a tad further east on 12z gfs. But as it begins to pivot and move northwest the rainbands in the eastern channel are looking as though they are doing the same.

I think the precipitation/energy stalls somewhat within the low. It can pivot but you might see the heavy precip move more slowly. The general direction of travel of that low being NW.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: South Lakeland.
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme events.
  • Location: South Lakeland.
8 minutes ago, kent said:

According to the radar you should be under it by now with a lot more to come.

The radar is deceiving - I am not getting anything. There is literally no snow falling right now and when it does it so light. Literaly at the point where I feel like crying. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Yelverton, Dartmoor
  • Location: Yelverton, Dartmoor

It's blowing an absolute hoolie here and constant snow since 12.30. Quite spectacular but hardly any lying snow, it's getting blown away. Where does it all go I wonder? ??

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Home Kettering. Work Somerset.
  • Location: Home Kettering. Work Somerset.

Anything that looks a little heavier on the radar, just reduces to the light stuff when it gets to me. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wembury, South West Devon.
  • Location: Wembury, South West Devon.

Surface air temp rising rapidly in Wembury, SW Devon the last hour :angry: If that carries on at that rate, it'll be above freezing well before midnight.

image.thumb.png.0c4050e5122e4a0d47a0a5f7fd88eaf5.png

Edited by Steve Caiels
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

I have no pavements 

90AE590E-CCEE-4740-A9BD-4426E8D13EE1.thumb.jpeg.4ebd8825ca2f7247427a46755447411f.jpeg

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers and cold winters with snow.
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL

Can people put there locations in there profile my ESP is playing up today.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire

Just went for a wonder outside would say it's there is around 5cm of snow out there at the moment with drifts even higher and looking at radar looks like more (Could me more than 5cm not sure)

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
Just now, Steve Caiels said:

Surface air temp rising rapidly in the last hour :angry: If that carries on at that rate, it'll be above freezing well before midnight.

image.thumb.png.0c4050e5122e4a0d47a0a5f7fd88eaf5.png

 

Am I right in saying this will mean bigger snowflakes, but more risk of turning to rain on the coasts?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Falmouth, Cornwall.
  • Location: Falmouth, Cornwall.

Heavy snow all afternoon in St Keverne (on the Lizard).  No sign of it turning to rain here as yet.  Drifting through all the gates onto the roads - not sure how the drive home will be!

20180301_172317[1].jpg

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl
  • Weather Preferences: frosty, lots of snow and good ol fashion thunderstorms.
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl

This is picture of a303 at solstice park.

177.jpg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
4 minutes ago, Singularity said:

Most optimistic (least extensive) is HIRLAM:

hirlamuk-42-13-0.png?01-16

GFS showing mostly just rain where it's not snow but that seems hard to believe given surface temps:

15-574.GIF?01-12 15-778.GIF?01-12

ICON the most extensive:

iconeu_uk1-42-17-0.png?01-15

 

I really hope the movement aloft of above-zero 850s is being carried out too efficiently i.e. that in reality it will cool/mix out more quickly.

I think judging from the models, this is another nowcasting situation.

I good indicator for anyone concerned would be the constancy of your snowfall. If you start to see larger 'fatter' flakes, basically wet snow, its a sign the 850s are increasing at the cloud base.

I believe right now, most if not all are still seeing powder type dry snow, so no issues currently.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
9 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Currently on Wessex way - gridlocked! Near blizzard conditions! 

I work at Whiteley (M27 J9) and after seeing the radar mid-morning, I made my mind up to come home at lunchtime.

I am so glad I did, as the entire M27, A31 and A338 are at a standstill. According to TomTom I would have faced a 5 hour journey home had I left at my normal 4pm....

Snow now as heavy as it's been all day. Probably about 10cm now, though hard to tell as it's all blowing around. Temp been stuck at -3.1 for hours though starting to creep up a smidge now -2.9.

Wondering what awaits me when I wake up in the morning. Still snowing? Freezing rain? Perhaps slightly milder and a slight thaw? Who knows!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
Just now, Steve Caiels said:

Surface air temp rising rapidly in the last hour :angry: If that carries on at that rate, it'll be above freezing well before midnight.

image.thumb.png.0c4050e5122e4a0d47a0a5f7fd88eaf5.png

Where are u located Steve?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...