South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

[Duane S.]

Well I got it wrong and the Met got it spot on when I queried on here yesterday why the Dorset coastline wasn’t showing as more it risk.

I was anticipating a fraction more southerly in the flow than we got today. I just didn’t factor in enough inflow into the trough ref the wind direction. My punishment was evidently to have to watch the lovely channel streamer stream away underneath me all day long. 

I therefore predict I will get absolutely no snow Thursday! ?

Edited February 28, 2018 by s4lancia

[EllyTech]

9 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Thought they weren't for seeding until April. I've not done anything yet.

They germinated extra quick and boy have they shot up. I did well with my broccoli last year, it seems to like me. But... I'll have to pot them on I suppose.. Something to do to prevent cabin fever. 

[Purplepixii]

Friday downgrade for me according to MO although Thursday still looks promising. Feel on the verge of a wobble but we'll see.

[karlos1983]

I’m absolutely bricking it now!!! ???

[FreezeManiac]

Was not expecting it, but a nice covering in Basingstoke now.

[eddy88888]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

I’m absolutely bricking it now!!! ???

why karlos do you think we will get a good pasting i live in ferndown

[EllyTech]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

I’m absolutely bricking it now!!! ???

I'll second that. 

[SteveB]

-4.7c and DP of -10.1c

Brrrrr

[divadee]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

I’m absolutely bricking it now!!! ???

Me to. And still awake...... I need sleep before tomorrow. 

[Black Rat]

Working away this week, currently in a hotel just outside of Wokingham, 

Had some decent snow showers yesterday, and it still makes me smile when people were watching the snow in the office, loads of people with smiles on their faces, people talking to people they wouldn't normally speak with, wish it could snow everyday - for me it just brings people together

NB - From my hotel room I can see light snow blowing around in the air, hoping I'll get some decent snow tomorrow in my current location, obviously would rather by home (Frome) in front of the log fire 

 

Good luck to everyone on the SW tomorrow

[karlos1983]

1 minute ago, eddy88888 said:

why karlos do you think we will get a good pasting i live in ferndown

I hope so, just having a wobble lol I won’t relax until I see it falling out he sky & the radar build! ???

[Bristawl Si]

10 minutes ago, AWD said:

Anyone want a step by step understanding of tomorrow's & Friday's potential snow, I fully recommend reading Nick F's recent post in the Short Range Model Thread.

Very simplistic but thorough and looking promising for many Southern & Western members.

Read it. Looks ok for us but not til Friday. Imby for Bristol.

[jtay]

17 minutes ago, Polar Bear said:

I can also see the moon Matt.. 

It's still coming down at Wembley, which could well be in your sights.

[EllyTech]

For prosterity - read slowly. I did and it gets more and more hair-raising as you do. Then factor in how long we might have this snow hanging around. Will the cold stay? What's the latest, I daren't look.

 

Chief Forecaster's assessment

Widespread snow is expected to develop through Thursday afternoon and evening, accompanied by strong easterly winds, leading to drifting of lying snow in places. Around 10-20 cm is likely to fall quite widely, with the potential for up to 50 cm over parts of Dartmoor and Exmoor. As less cold air follows from the south, there is a chance of snow turning to freezing rain in places, with widespread icy stretched forming making driving conditions dangerous. The warning has been updated to reflect the growing confidence of a severe spell of weather and to remove parts of North Wales and Southeast England

Edited February 28, 2018 by EllyTech
correcting the autocorrect

[karlos1983]

I found a snow scooter today in Go Outdoors!! I had to buy it, can’t flipping wait to use it lol (hopefully)

I’ve named it (standard vehicle procedure) “slip bang ouch”

Edited February 28, 2018 by karlos1983

[eddy88888]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

I hope so, just having a wobble lol I won’t relax until I see it falling out he sky & the radar build! ???

Yes deff im a postie out  on delivery tommorow going to run round get back before the heavy stuff sets in after 12pm onwards 

Edited February 28, 2018 by eddy88888

[Polar Bear]

1 minute ago, jtay said:

It's still coming down at Wembley, which could well be in your sights.

Where’s the ? sign instead of a like.. thank you! I may be able to treat myself to that celebratory gin after all tonight. ?

[jtay]

3 minutes ago, Polar Bear said:

Where’s the ? sign instead of a like.. thank you! I may be able to treat myself to that celebratory gin after all tonight. ?

You don't have undersoil heating do you?

[EllyTech]

2 minutes ago, EllyTech said:

For prosterity - read slowly. I did and it gets more and more hair-raising as you do. Then factor in how long we might have this snow hanging around. Will the cold stay? What's the latest, I daren't look.

 

Chief Forecaster's assessment

Widespread snow is expected to develop through Thursday afternoon and evening, accompanied by strong easterly winds, leading to drifting of lying snow in places. Around 10-20 cm is likely to fall quite widely, with the potential for up to 50 cm over parts of Dartmoor and Exmoor. As less cold air follows from the south, there is a chance of snow turning to freezing rain in places, with widespread icy stretched forming making driving conditions dangerous. The warning has been updated to reflect the growing confidence of a severe spell of weather and to remove parts of North Wales and Southeast England

Removing whole British districts is the most severe outcome though. 

[Andy Bown]

Just walked back from a birthday meal in town, seriously cold, snow flurrying and windy, minus 5.1c and I dread to think what the feels like temperature is!!

Is this long streaming line of snow on another convergence zone!

[matt111]

Got my supplies. Yes I've opened some of them already. 

[Zephyr]

Current surface analysis as of 21z

[EllyTech]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

Got my supplies. Yes I've opened some of them already. 

Always double-up on supplies during severe weather! Sheesh. 

[CheesepuffScott]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

Got my supplies. Yes I've opened some of them already. 

Mmm party rings!

[matt111]

Just now, CheesepuffScott said:

Mmm party rings!

It's the first time I've had them for ages. Love them.