South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

[matt111]

1 minute ago, Climate_Eyes said:

-4dgC here already, dew point got down to - 11.4 last night which is pretty impressive for here.

 

Nothing at all today, yesterday's dusting is long gone. Been sat just a short way south of the streamer for a couple of hours now but it seems to have reached it's southern extent. Fingers are crossed, mind.

 

Try sitting just north of a streamer for 3 days. 

[khodds]

no fair 

[mike5900]

snowing here

[divadee]

So I was going to attempt an early night for an early window watch tomorrow and then the bring in a weather warning. Damn It! 

[Bristawl Si]

Just now, Richard Fisher said:

I think Bristol will be a tale of 2 cities tomorrow and Friday. City centre Bristol with heat effect probably won’t see more than 5 cm but surrounding towns no more than 3 - 4 miles away will see a lot more snow.

Chinio (a poster i genuinely respect for his knowledge) has posted in mad thread a few mins ago that the Hirlam 'take' on tomorrow should not be discounted. That forecasts main snow to our East (away from Bristol) and would favour more Dorset, Wilts, Hants and then into London area. Imby comment.

[Leon1]

lets see how accurate accuweather really is with this snow incoming for us soon apparently?

[Fred Sykes]

6 minutes ago, CheesepuffScott said:

Yellow, Amber, Red, it is so colourful! 

Yes, but red looks so much better further south!

[Mapantz]

I know it's difficult, but I honestly wouldn't bother looking at any more chart output now. Watch the radar and just see what occurs. It won't actually be pinned down until the event is happening.

[matt111]

5 minutes ago, khodds said:

no fair 

I'm just inside it. 

[Bristawl Si]

Just now, Mapantz said:

I know it's difficult, but I honestly wouldn't bother looking at any more chart output now. Watch the radar and just see what occurs. It won't actually be pinned down until the event is happening.

Agreed but

I CANT HELP IT!! I NEED A BEER! And it is now Beer O'clock especially as Spurs are playing so badly

[karlos1983]

5 minutes ago, khodds said:

no fair 

Well you’ve got pink over you, I’m in the warning area, but this is beginning to annoy me now, I can’t catch a streamer for the life of me ? i had better be rewarded tomorrow 

 

Edited February 28, 2018 by karlos1983

[meshellby]

Lamppost watch confirms flurries in the East Dorset/Hampshire border area!  good luck for everyone tomorrow! 

[AWD]

3 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Chinio (a poster i genuinely respect for his knowledge) has posted in mad thread a few mins ago that the Hirlam 'take' on tomorrow should not be discounted. That forecasts main snow to our East (away from Bristol) and would favour more Dorset, Wilts, Hants and then into London area. Imby comment.

12z Hirlam;

I'd certainly accept that with no quabbles.

For me, it's going to be "bye bye model output" & hello radar tomorrow.  Only the radar will hold the truth.

[Glenn Redwood]

If it misses us I will explode

[Glenn Redwood]

Blizzard prep is ready. I have ale, fire and crisps

[Climate_Eyes]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

Try sitting just north of a streamer for 3 days. 

Yeah I can imagine that's super frustrating

It has to be our time soon, surely?

Who else is in the no laying snow club?

 

By the way, best of luck to all for the next couple of days. Much as I'd obviously love a bit to remember this spell as more than freezing cold but dry for me, like a lot of others I can't really think of a group of folk who deserve to get buried in snow more than you SW lot (I'm sure someone would disagree though!).

 

[Ashme]

22 minutes ago, Barbel said:

I’m hoping the radar is accurate as there seems to be streamer heading for me nr Axminster/Colyton from up country. Anyone further East confirm please??

Light snow here in Ilminster

[EllyTech]

2 minutes ago, Glenn Redwood said:

If it misses us I will explode

ew messy 

 

[dancing daisy]

3 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Agreed but

I CANT HELP IT!! I NEED A BEER! And it is now Beer O'clock especially as Spurs are playing so badly

We are just giving them the home draw to earn a few quid. ?

[mike5900]

heavy snow here. blowing sideways in a strong breeze

[Mattster1]

3 minutes ago, AWD said:

12z Hirlam;

I'd certainly accept that with no quabbles.

For me, it's going to be "bye bye model output" & hello radar tomorrow.  Only the radar will hold the truth.

Ireland’s east coat would take a hammering

[matt111]

10 minutes ago, Climate_Eyes said:

Yeah I can imagine that's super frustrating

It has to be our time soon, surely?

Who else is in the no laying snow club?

 

By the way, best of luck to all for the next couple of days. Much as I'd obviously love a bit to remember this spell as more than freezing cold but dry for me, like a lot of others I can't really think of a group of folk who deserve to get buried in snow more than you SW lot (I'm sure someone would disagree though!).

 

Very frustrating watching the snow being wasted in the channel

I think we all deserve it, nearly all of us have been snowless for so long now. 

We're all supporting each other for the next few days in willing the snow towards us. 

Edited February 28, 2018 by matt111

[karlos1983]

3 minutes ago, Glenn Redwood said:

If it misses us I will explode

Lol you and me both!! If it goes Pete tong completely, self combustion could lead to the welsh mountains being destroyed...... every cloud ?

3 minutes ago, Glenn Redwood said:

Blizzard prep is ready. I have ale, fire and crisps

That looks fantastic! Love a log fire 

[Fred Sykes]

4 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Well you’ve got pink over you, I’m in the warning area, but this is beginning to annoy me now, I can’t catch a streamer for the life of me ? i had better be rewarded tomorrow 

 

well I'm under that precipitation but all i've had is a few small flakes blowing around in the wind. Doesn't seem to warrant a warning?? Is anyone getting any decent snow from this?

[Bristawl Si]

2 minutes ago, AWD said:

12z Hirlam;

I'd certainly accept that with no quabbles.

For me, it's going to be "bye bye model output" & hello radar tomorrow.  Only the radar will hold the truth.

Chinio's post had a Hirlam precip chart for 14.00 tomorrow so an Apples&Pears job.

Yes you're right. Model output is secondary now to actual.