South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

[kumquat]

Pretty heavy in Filton

[Mapantz]

.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

[EllyTech]

1 minute ago, Nick Croker said:

I like the look of the SNOW finger pointing my way out of South London.

That'll create a million 'yellow-snow' jokes, you watch.

[Chris K]

29 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Snow showers just to my North (Thornbury area i reck) snow showers to the South (Bristol)......just a few flakes here. Missing out in SG today.

Latest for tomorrow? It is getting as confusing in here as in mad thread!

Is it a downgrade OR as you were? Cheers

Yep was a brief heavy snow shower and it started to settle very fast. Sun back out and thawing slowly.

[John88B]

7 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

It's arrived in SG. Looks like it might get fairly heavy

Fizzling out here now but gave us another dusting.

[EllyTech]

Just now, Mapantz said:

.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

Yay! You're okay! Thought you'd fallen in a snow hole.

[MidnightSnow]

2 minutes ago, Nick Croker said:

I like the look of the SNOW finger pointing my way out of South London.

1,000,000 yellow snow jokes.

[Ben Sainsbury]

1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

4th Place? Do you mean within the verification stats of the high res models, excluding GFS, ECM etc. A little confused?

[A.J]

1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

.. just to add .. the ICON has fallen to 4th place in forecast verification. It's now behind Norway's YR model. Quite a way behind the WRF, and miles behind the AROME.

with posts like that, if you were female, I'd marry ya

[wiltshire weather]

3 minutes ago, Nick Croker said:

I like the look of the SNOW finger pointing my way out of South London.

Should give quite a covering for those who catch that shower train!

[jy]

mick take sort of period....videos last night of snow from mates 3 miles away,snowing in all the old haunts in Kent where I lived,purchased compost for my gardening....frozen solid.......so Godshill....Redlynch......Downton have any of you seen snow on the ground,its still bone dry here ,as for tomorrow looks like flip a coin lol

[Mapantz]

3 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

4th Place? Do you mean within the verification stats of the high res models, excluding GFS, ECM etc. A little confused?

Mainly Hi res, but GFS included. No ECM. (EWN = blended WRF model)

Edited February 28, 2018 by Mapantz

[Ben Sainsbury]

Just now, Mapantz said:

Mainly Hi res, but GFS included. No ECM.

Ah that helps, cheers!

[Theresnoway]

Met office view of 3pm tomorrow.... INCOMING!

[karlos1983]

GFS looking good early doors, you know what they say, get the snow in  first, and err

[jtay]

1 minute ago, jy said:

mick take sort of period....videos last night of snow from mates 3 miles away,snowing in all the old haunts in Kent where I lived,purchased compost for my gardening....frozen solid.......so Godshill....Redlynch......Downton have any of you seen snow on the ground,its still bone dry here ,as for tomorrow looks like flip a coin lol

Tomorrow's our time jy

We had the slightest dusting yesterday. Our butcher lives Alderbury way and he said that they had more laying than Downton.

[CheesepuffScott]

4 minutes ago, jy said:

mick take sort of period....videos last night of snow from mates 3 miles away,snowing in all the old haunts in Kent where I lived,purchased compost for my gardening....frozen solid.......so Godshill....Redlynch......Downton have any of you seen snow on the ground,its still bone dry here ,as for tomorrow looks like flip a coin lol

Been bone dry here in Redlynch!

[Tonyinhampshire]

1 hour ago, Mr Bartlettazores said:

Haha indeed! I’m not too bothered as live in Winchester and there has been a few cms of snow there yesterday but it does seem that a snowshield has set up everywhere else in South Hampshire! The snow literally starts and finishes as you enter / leave Winchester off the M3! 

I call it the pizza slice zone. Also happens with thunderstorms. I think it might be the Solent microclimate, which to be fair did deliver 1 inch of snow on coast which was not forecast, about A Month ago.

[MidnightSnow]

[karlos1983]

[MidnightSnow]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

That doesn't look right but I'll take it. You'd expect much higher amounts in South Wales and SE Ireland.

Edit: My bad. Thought it was total snowfall accumulated.

Edited February 28, 2018 by MidnightSnow

[Leon1]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

14cm for me!?

[Dormouse]

Show us your snowman!

[Ben Sainsbury]

2 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

That doesn't look right but I'll take it. You'd expect much higher amounts in South Wales and SE Ireland.

Have to agree, but yeah GFS 12z looking a little better.

[Fitzwis]

Looking ominous here in Jersey from midnight onwards ?

Edited February 28, 2018 by Fitzwis