South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

[Philbill]

These phone weather apps are overrated. If the BBC forecast is correct and I believe it is looking at the models (especially the one 2nd from the right) then we could have a historic event on Thursday on top of lying snow from showers going through Wednesday. Interesting times.

[Frosty hollows]

24 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:

True FH! Just gone back through that forecast and if that blizzard happens like that, it will be an epic event!

I grew up in N.England and central belt of Scotland, so have had my fair share of disruptive weather and the aftermath. So long as you're close to arterial routes , it's all great stuff especially as a kid. But if you've got a long commute or are in a very rural area it can be hell on earth especially if you lose power. 

[Climate change]

5 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Just when you couldn't think it couldn't get any worse..

My app looks like that but for Thursday.

[That ECM]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

I’m not in the best of ways, can someone give me a quick summary of how the end of the week looks.

ps cheers @Man With Beard for your words in the Mad thread, hard work being Purbeck coaster ??‍♂️

Confused. Gfs low going north. Ukmo low going east. Ecm sort of in the middle. BBC going for blizzard. Met going for snow to rain. Nothing going to be sorted for 48hours or so.

[Frosty hollows]

25 minutes ago, matt111 said:

1.1°C here so still above freezing but the dewpoints now at -7°C which is the lowest I've recorded. 

Lightweight 

[Climate change]

[Frosty hollows]

26 minutes ago, matt111 said:

1.1°C here so still above freezing but the dewpoints now at -7°C which is the lowest I've recorded. 

Lightweight 

[karlos1983]

DP record!!!!! -7.9c 

[Frosty hollows]

6 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

I’m not in the best of ways, can someone give me a quick summary of how the end of the week looks.

ps cheers @Man With Beard for your words in the Mad thread, hard work being Purbeck coaster ??‍♂️

Looks effing amazing here.  4th in the league and 4 inches on the ground.Whoop

[OldBloke]

I note that the 500 hPa (18,000ft)  is now a Northerly bringing in Scandinavian air across the east as I speak. This is bringing in moist air in the form of high cirrus cloud and possibly altostratus. As a result temperatures are starting to rise in the North East of the country. There is a small block or precip' just off the N.E coast which is falling as rain at present. I also note that temperatures are starting to rise in the far South West (plus 5 being recorded) as the active front which will possibly produce the low pressure area on Tuesday moves ever closer to the west of us. No wonder the forecasters are struggling with a confirmed outcome. Even Tuesday might show variations for Thursday!

[Mark Parsons]

43 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

Would this event be like the February 09 event? I can't really remember it that well for some reason, probs under the influence of certain narcotics and by that I mean vallium  

If this happens it will be worse than many on here have ever experienced.....

[karlos1983]

1 minute ago, OldBloke said:

I note that the 500 hPa (18,000ft)  is now a Northerly bringing in Scandinavian air across the east as I speak. This is bringing in moist air in the form of high cirrus cloud and possibly altostratus. As a result temperatures are starting to rise in the North East of the country. There is a small block or precip' just off the N.E coast which is falling as rain at present. I also note that temperatures are starting to rise in the far South West (plus 5 being recorded) as the active front which will possibly produce the low pressure area on Tuesday moves ever closer to the west of us. No wonder the forecasters are struggling with a confirmed outcome. Even Tuesday might show variations for Thursday!

Sorry but that’s all BS!

[That ECM]

1 minute ago, Mark Parsons said:

If this happens it will be worse than many on here have ever experienced.....

And if it doesn't it won't be

[OldBloke]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Sorry but that’s all BS!

Sorry to be the bearer of the news Karlos, but it is what is happening now. Oh and sorry to hear Arsenal lost today.

[Frosty hollows]

6 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

Lightweight 

Dew point -8c. Glad I stocked up on coconut oil for chapped lips,etc

[EllyTech]

5 minutes ago, OldBloke said:

I note that the 500 hPa (18,000ft)  is now a Northerly bringing in Scandinavian air across the east as I speak. This is bringing in moist air in the form of high cirrus cloud and possibly altostratus. As a result temperatures are starting to rise in the North East of the country. There is a small block or precip' just off the N.E coast which is falling as rain at present. I also note that temperatures are starting to rise in the far South West (plus 5 being recorded) as the active front which will possibly produce the low pressure area on Tuesday moves ever closer to the west of us. No wonder the forecasters are struggling with a confirmed outcome. Even Tuesday might show variations for Thursday!

Culdrose temp was 4C with dew point -2C at ten to six tonight. Thats not far from the conditions in my neighbourhood. The whole country is under the influence of Siberian cold from tonight onwards. 

[Jason74]

11 minutes ago, That ECM said:

Confused. Gfs low going north. Ukmo low going east. Ecm sort of in the middle. BBC going for blizzard. Met going for snow to rain. Nothing going to be sorted for 48hours or so.

And it does the hokey cokey and turns around...that's what it's all about. Woooaaahhh....

[matt111]

DP's gone back up to -6°C at the moment but the temperatures dropping quickly now. 0.4°C

[EllyTech]

Temp 0C  Humidity 64%  Dewpoint -5C   Pressure 1029.2 

[Frosty hollows]

Think I've gone overboard warming the house pre beast. Sitting in shorts and vest and considering opening the window

[eddy88888]

21 minutes ago, CheesepuffScott said:

However, GFS 12z looks in line with snow risk charts. Fingers crossed.

yes but you will take thursdays blizzards wont you should give us a good covering on the bbc forcast looks a good few hours worth of snow even on the coast no rain till friday 

[Mapantz]

8 minutes ago, OldBloke said:

I note that the 500 hPa (18,000ft)  is now a Northerly bringing in Scandinavian air across the east as I speak. This is bringing in moist air in the form of high cirrus cloud and possibly altostratus. As a result temperatures are starting to rise in the North East of the country. There is a small block or precip' just off the N.E coast which is falling as rain at present. I also note that temperatures are starting to rise in the far South West (plus 5 being recorded) as the active front which will possibly produce the low pressure area on Tuesday moves ever closer to the west of us. No wonder the forecasters are struggling with a confirmed outcome. Even Tuesday might show variations for Thursday!

What part of this is a Northerly?

The precip in the North east is not rain. There's sub -8C 850hPa temperatures.

Temperatures aren't rising in the SW?

 

Edited February 25, 2018 by Mapantz

[jethro]

20 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Just when you couldn't think it couldn't get any worse..

Just accept facts, you need to move.

[EllyTech]

1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

What part of this is a Northerly?

The precip in the North east is not rain. There's sun -8C 850hPa temperatures.

Temperatures aren't rising in the SW?

 

The only precipitation at the moment is making inroads to Aberdeen. Nothing elsewhere.

[Mapantz]

1 minute ago, jethro said:

Just accept facts, you need to move.

I'd never move just for snow, Jethro. This place is buzzing from late Spring until Autumn. And, I'm within a bike journey's distance of dozens of amazing beaches.