South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards

[Argyle1980]

22 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Easy!!! Blizzard! I couldn’t do it to you all, team player me!

Heres the ECM view on snow accumulations for end of the weeks fun..

I’m not greedy, I’d take that!

Some lovely dark colours on that map ? 

[offerman]

13 hours ago, ajpoolshark said:

Eh?...... Thursday and Friday would absolutely bury a good chunk if the South if the 12z GFS somehow verified.... I put my post code into the NWextra forecast and totted up the snowfall for Friday and into Saturday and came up 52cm!!     

Eh? But I can’t understand how?

quite often when we get only light blue shading over us -5s 850s  is more often than not marginal mostly sleet rain for our region .

So how on earth would you get 52cm of snow when green and yellows showing as per these screen grabs. ( unless you live on a mountain in Wales where indeed it looks like they could get buried. )

 

i just font see how? Open for correction though AJ. 

[EllyTech]

What am I doing posting in the MAD thread? 

[ThundersnowDays]

-2.C here. Very sunny though which is nice. 

[philglossop]

Car serviced, anti freeze done.

Watch it rain next week  

[snowponies]

The low on Thursday/friday reminds me of Feb 2009, wasn't that a easterly as well? We had 50cms and the army had to come rescue people stranded on the a386 and the local town halls gave emergency shelter. Was absolutely amazing and was the start of my snow/cold obsession. Remember riding my horse on the moors and the snow almost came up to her shoulders! And having a canter on the main road as the snow was so deep. My current horse is a lot smaller and is only just coming back into work after being poorly so we won't be able to venture out if the snow is very deep but I haven't ridden in snow for 8 years now, maybe just a toddle down the lane... I'm praying to the weather gods this comes off, after the 2013 event where the channel islands stole all our snow I think I'd have a mental breakdown if it happens again.

[Catacol]

Hmmm - ECM absolutely buries the South West on this run. Less than a week out now. I would very much like ECM to have one of its good forecasting weeks because if it is getting this nailed then we are about to have the biggest snow storm down here in a very long time.... Anyone fancy near on 3 days of constant snow from a stalling system??!

[SNOW CRYSTAL]

4 minutes ago, EllyTech said:

What am I doing posting in the MAD thread? 

Well you're obviously MAD too!! 

[karlos1983]

Icon mirrors my thoughts for how the low might look come the end of the week!

ECM shows some south coast potential on Wednesday! Especially if you are on a pokey out bit (technical term)

Edited February 24, 2018 by karlos1983

[SNOW CRYSTAL]

3 minutes ago, philglossop said:

Car serviced, anti freeze done.

Watch it rain next week  

Well I've done my bit and bought the anti-freeze. My hubby is still dithering as to whether we need it 

[EllyTech]

3 minutes ago, snowponies said:

The low on Thursday/friday reminds me of Feb 2009, wasn't that a easterly as well? We had 50cms and the army had to come rescue people stranded on the a386 and the local town halls gave emergency shelter. Was absolutely amazing and was the start of my snow/cold obsession. Remember riding my horse on the moors and the snow almost came up to her shoulders! And having a canter on the main road as the snow was so deep. My current horse is a lot smaller and is only just coming back into work after being poorly so we won't be able to venture out if the snow is very deep but I haven't ridden in snow for 8 years now, maybe just a toddle down the lane... I'm praying to the weather gods this comes off, after the 2013 event where the channel islands stole all our snow I think I'd have a mental breakdown if it happens again.

Stock up on doughnuts. They are the antidote and will help brush off any depressionial (I made that word up) onslaught.

[Bazray]

4 minutes ago, Catacol said:

Hmmm - ECM absolutely buries the South West on this run. Less than a week out now. I would very much like ECM to have one of its good forecasting weeks because if it is getting this nailed then we are about to have the biggest snow storm down here in a very long time.... Anyone fancy near on 3 days of constant snow from a stalling system??!

3 days of constant snow? Yea go on then, you have twisted my arm.

Edited February 24, 2018 by Bazray

[Nights King]

2 minutes ago, snowponies said:

The low on Thursday/friday reminds me of Feb 2009, wasn't that a easterly as well? We had 50cms and the army had to come rescue people stranded on the a386 and the local town halls gave emergency shelter. Was absolutely amazing and was the start of my snow/cold obsession. Remember riding my horse on the moors and the snow almost came up to her shoulders! And having a canter on the main road as the snow was so deep. My current horse is a lot smaller and is only just coming back into work after being poorly so we won't be able to venture out if the snow is very deep but I haven't ridden in snow for 8 years now, maybe just a toddle down the lane... I'm praying to the weather gods this comes off, after the 2013 event where the channel islands stole all our snow I think I'd have a mental breakdown if it happens again.

Not sure but it was a marginal event for low ground so no where near depth of cold in 2009 I'd suspect? This looks like sea level and coastal areas would be safe from wet stuff currently. 

[festivalking]

33 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Easy!!! Blizzard! I couldn’t do it to you all, team player me!

Heres the ECM view on snow accumulations for end of the weeks fun..

I’m not greedy, I’d take that!

Those charts are dreamy I'm even going to forget that accumulation charts are a waste of bandwidth.

[ARTDEMOLE]

Screen wash with antifreeze important being -0.7c with apparent at -4,4c.

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, SNOW CRYSTAL said:

Well I've done my bit and bought the anti-freeze. My hubby is still dithering as to whether we need it 

I replaced my washer solution with minus 5 stuff and I smuggly went to use this morning to find they frozen.. 

Must find better. 

[karlos1983]

Screen was blank this morning, dp too low. 

Edited February 24, 2018 by karlos1983

[jtay]

4 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Icon mirrors my thoughts for how the low might look come the end of the week!

ECM shows some south coast potential on Wednesday! Especially if you are on a pokey out bit (technical term)

And the fax chart for Tuesday shows a convergence zone in the channel. Yesterday this was further South over the channel islands.

So as you rightly say, potentially good if you're on a pokey out bit. 

[EllyTech]

To be expected with very lower dew points - hardly any frost on car windscreen. Unless there's moisture in the air, we won't see much ice forming on dry surfaces. The ground will be moist so frosty grass, hedges and trees is something I'm very much looking forward to seeing, all day, late into the day.

[lettice]

Just had a met office yellow warning of snow for Tuesday pop up on the app

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-02-27

[Richard Fisher]

Here we go guys the first warning out which includes our region

 

 

[karlos1983]

Well what do ya know, cold air not only over Latvia but the UK and more specifically Southern UK. Phew it was tense there for a minute ?

I appear to be coming over all funny

 

Edited February 24, 2018 by karlos1983

[Winter2009]

And now snow warning for Tuesday and Wednesday before the main event later in the week. Loving this !! ❄️❄️❄️❄️☃️⛄️

[EllyTech]

Oh and the possibility of thundersnow. Cheers MetO!

[EllyTech]

1 minute ago, Winter2009 said:

And now snow warning for Tuesday and Wednesday before the main event later in the week. Loving this !! ❄️❄️❄️❄️☃️⛄️

Yeah of little faith, you were.