Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
Sign in to follow this  
Paul

Model output discussion - here comes the beast!

Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

We also have a special post SSW cold spell discussion open here:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/89358-ssw-related-cold-spell-will-it-wont-it/

Thank you!

Message added by Paul

Recommended Posts

Looks like reload to me after the worst of this one passes through.  Going to be a busy time at the football with all the up-and-coming postponements I'm sure.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

216 Another record perhaps - While the reload 'loads "" ' then -20c at the surface ( shawbrook springs to mind )

5956483F-E313-4365-9A21-4F20957FD956.thumb.png.d445d30c47ba04406a40d93ae42290ae.png

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The feature running across the south remains a bit high risk as the uppers across the channel demonstrate. We should be ok but folk in southern counties wouldn’t want it deepening or been modelled much further north

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Rickoza said:

Looks like reload to me after the worst of this one passes through.  Going to be a busy time at the football with all the up-and-coming postponements I'm sure.

...........yeah, might have to go into next season at this rate!!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yep..the feature dumps its load..!!!

The helps converts another easterly in flow....

 

ECM1-216.gif

ECM0-216.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wow just wow gfs ukmo ecm absolutely epic. If these come anywhere close we will be digging ourselves out this time next week. :cold:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well, the ECM has raised the bar again tonight. To sustain that depth of cold this late in the season is amazing. :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, chionomaniac said:

WOW Just another Amazing run from the ECM this time. Deep cold, Bitter winds. Multiple snow chances. Iberian low. It has it all!

My salt must have tripled in price!

Who the hell wants frozen salt?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

An astonishingly cold and off the scale 850 hPa temperature anomaly across the majority of Great Britain on Wednesday:

ECMOPEU12_144_34.thumb.png.eda6389b8926414e052a279aa4dc9cac.png

Indicating cold upper air temperatures ranging between -15°c and -18°c. Very close to January 1987.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

***** warning ⚠️ ***** warning ⚠️ *****

given current model output 

this app may implode next week 

 

 

6E9C570B-BEB3-4627-948D-845A3E3DCDFA.jpeg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I wonder if this is how January 7th 1987 would have been if the internet and Netweather had been around!

This is amazing but it's also starting to get a little worrying, especially for the elderly and homeless.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, Crashlanding said:

Chart porn defo on the cards here so the anticipation is killing me!

 

are there any models on here (i cant find any, maybe looking in the wrong place) for Wind Chill temps? 

potentially a eventful week on the way!

We have them on the viewers (GFS and Netwx Models) in NW Extra if you still have a sub :) 

Looking a tad chilly on them

mondayeve-wc.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

Is that just for southern and central areas 

Not at all, look at 850s winds and instability, good for much further north. I think the 12z is less of a snowmaker at that point, however, but it would lock in extended cold, so swings and roundabouts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

WOW Just another Amazing run from the ECM this time. Deep cold, Bitter winds. Multiple snow chances. Iberian low. It has it all!

My salt must have tripled in price!

I think your salt has risen higher than the zimbabwian inflation rate ! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

216 Another record perhaps - While the reload 'loads "" ' then -20c at the surface ( shawbrook springs to mind )

5956483F-E313-4365-9A21-4F20957FD956.thumb.png.d445d30c47ba04406a40d93ae42290ae.png

 

Was just thinking that, t192 looks incredibly cold overnight for Scotland.

ECMOPEU12_192_1.png

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This Is all looking quite ridiculous lol, seriously how are we all going to cope? I CANT BLOODY WAIT!!! Bring it on..

think this is going to be like 91 but I was only 11 so looking forward to this jobby 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

216 Another record perhaps - While the reload 'loads "" ' then -20c at the surface ( shawbrook springs to mind )

5956483F-E313-4365-9A21-4F20957FD956.thumb.png.d445d30c47ba04406a40d93ae42290ae.png

 

lowest I can find is -16.9 in the e Scottish glens @ T162

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'll admit it, a little bit of wee nearly came out when I saw this...

 

 

ECMOPEU12_192_1.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Stu_London said:

The feature running across the south remains a bit high risk as the uppers across the channel demonstrate. We should be ok but folk in southern counties wouldn’t want it deepening or been modelled much further north

That's incorrect. May I very strongly suggest that you read the following post:

It's very well written and highly informative. In fact, anyone with the slightest bit of interest in cold and snow would do well to read it. :)

Edited by Buzz

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Fingers said:

Can anyone post country wide 850’s for the coldest days in 87, 91, 10 and 13? Interested to see where this is predicted to sit!! It looks completely bonkers!

Did this a while back. 1987 got virtually minus 20 uppers. 1991: minus 16. 2010 can't remember exactly at the moment but I think around minus 12. 2013 briefly hit minus 14.

The forecast spell best matches 1991, but it will be better because the cold pool is far bigger this time.

@feb1991blizzard you may have to change your name to march2018blizzard!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
23 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Blizzard pushing up from the South...

ECH1-168.GIF.thumb.png.3e756218fa875998686b2a6499050012.pngECU0-168.GIF.thumb.png.58f79de20dcbaa34c0e55eb886951b7c.png

It doesn't quite happen on this run as most of the precipitation stays in France, but this is a theme going forward in the day 8-10 range.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...