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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!


Message added by Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

We also have a special post SSW cold spell discussion open here:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/89358-ssw-related-cold-spell-will-it-wont-it/

Thank you!

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Early guidance forewarning of next weeks weather was issued earlier on, and this has been further enhanced with extended outlooks in bulletins. AFAIK (comms not being my area) public agencies and majo

Come on those looking for the breadown before the major cold and snow has begun You will be very lucky if that is the correct word to see this in ANY winter in the rest of your lives I would sugg

Microscale detail absorbing an awful lot of attention on here, when in reality it is a waste of emotion. The macroscale pattern is now fixed - it will not change significantly now for the start of nex

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The feature running across the south remains a bit high risk as the uppers across the channel demonstrate. We should be ok but folk in southern counties wouldn’t want it deepening or been modelled much further north

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1 minute ago, Rickoza said:

Looks like reload to me after the worst of this one passes through.  Going to be a busy time at the football with all the up-and-coming postponements I'm sure.

...........yeah, might have to go into next season at this rate!!!

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Just now, chionomaniac said:

WOW Just another Amazing run from the ECM this time. Deep cold, Bitter winds. Multiple snow chances. Iberian low. It has it all!

My salt must have tripled in price!

Who the hell wants frozen salt?

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I wonder if this is how January 7th 1987 would have been if the internet and Netweather had been around!

This is amazing but it's also starting to get a little worrying, especially for the elderly and homeless.

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20 minutes ago, Crashlanding said:

Chart porn defo on the cards here so the anticipation is killing me!

 

are there any models on here (i cant find any, maybe looking in the wrong place) for Wind Chill temps? 

potentially a eventful week on the way!

We have them on the viewers (GFS and Netwx Models) in NW Extra if you still have a sub :) 

Looking a tad chilly on them

mondayeve-wc.png

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9 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

Is that just for southern and central areas 

Not at all, look at 850s winds and instability, good for much further north. I think the 12z is less of a snowmaker at that point, however, but it would lock in extended cold, so swings and roundabouts.

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4 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

WOW Just another Amazing run from the ECM this time. Deep cold, Bitter winds. Multiple snow chances. Iberian low. It has it all!

My salt must have tripled in price!

I think your salt has risen higher than the zimbabwian inflation rate ! 

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6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

216 Another record perhaps - While the reload 'loads "" ' then -20c at the surface ( shawbrook springs to mind )

5956483F-E313-4365-9A21-4F20957FD956.thumb.png.d445d30c47ba04406a40d93ae42290ae.png

 

Was just thinking that, t192 looks incredibly cold overnight for Scotland.

ECMOPEU12_192_1.png

 

 

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This Is all looking quite ridiculous lol, seriously how are we all going to cope? I CANT BLOODY WAIT!!! Bring it on..

think this is going to be like 91 but I was only 11 so looking forward to this jobby 

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5 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

216 Another record perhaps - While the reload 'loads "" ' then -20c at the surface ( shawbrook springs to mind )

5956483F-E313-4365-9A21-4F20957FD956.thumb.png.d445d30c47ba04406a40d93ae42290ae.png

 

lowest I can find is -16.9 in the e Scottish glens @ T162

 

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9 minutes ago, Stu_London said:

The feature running across the south remains a bit high risk as the uppers across the channel demonstrate. We should be ok but folk in southern counties wouldn’t want it deepening or been modelled much further north

That's incorrect. May I very strongly suggest that you read the following post:

It's very well written and highly informative. In fact, anyone with the slightest bit of interest in cold and snow would do well to read it. :)

Edited by Buzz
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23 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Blizzard pushing up from the South...

ECH1-168.GIF.thumb.png.3e756218fa875998686b2a6499050012.pngECU0-168.GIF.thumb.png.58f79de20dcbaa34c0e55eb886951b7c.png

It doesn't quite happen on this run as most of the precipitation stays in France, but this is a theme going forward in the day 8-10 range.

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